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Commentary: Prioritising Randomized Trials; David P. Farrington's Legacy for Criminology in the 21st Century 评论:随机试验的优先级;大卫·p·法灵顿对21世纪犯罪学的遗产:随着犯罪学研究向意识形态倾斜,随机实验是强化真正科学的关键。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2371
David Weisburd
<p>While randomized trials have become more common over the last quarter century, it remains the case that they are still rare relative to other approaches to assess programs or policies. Mazerolle et al. (<span>2023</span>), for example, identifies an upward trend in the use of randomized controlled trials in policing between 2004 and 2018, but shows that only 12% of all studies of evidence-based policing during that period used this method.</p><p>The increasing number of randomized trials that have been conducted in the 21st century in criminal justice suggests the practicality of carrying out randomized trials in a variety of areas in criminology. However, it is certainly still the case that many practitioners avoid randomized trials because of the constraints they often place on practitioner decision making (e.g. Clarke and Cornish <span>1972</span>). It is also the case that ethical and legal concerns often come up in developing such trials, as well as practical (financial and other) challenges around implementation of RCTs. David Farrington discussed alternative approaches when randomized trials are not an option, such as opting for within-individual analyses of crime causation (as opposed to between-individual analyses) based on high quality prospective longitudinal data (Farrington et al. <span>2002</span>). These can all be strong methods for drawing conclusions about programs or interventions, but Farrington saw it as critical for criminology as a science to prioritise randomized trials.</p><p>My observations of criminology as a discipline over the last few years lead me to another cause of resistance to randomized trials, which has not been noted as a key barrier to experimental research in the past. This is the turn towards ideology over science in criminology more generally. I do not have empirical data on this trend, but personal experience and conversations with colleagues lead me to the view that it has emerged as an important barrier to objective scientific work. An example of this was brought to my attention at a recent American Society of Criminology meeting at a panel I observed. One of the panelists, after noting that police and police research have become unpopular and stigmatised in criminology, stated that ‘it is clear from research that the police do not prevent crime’, continuing that only interventions relying on partnerships with the community prevent crime. I heartily agree that when the police partner with the community, they are likely to have greater crime prevention benefits. My colleagues and I have also produced evidence of this and argued for community/police partnerships over the years (e.g., see Braga and Weisburd <span>2010</span>). But there is also strong experimental evidence that the police can prevent crime when they simply increase patrol at crime hot spots without community involvement (Sherman and Weisburd <span>1995</span>; Braga et al. <span>2019</span>). This finding is well established, having be
虽然在过去的25年里,随机试验变得越来越普遍,但相对于其他评估项目或政策的方法,它们仍然很少见。例如,Mazerolle等人(2023)发现,2004年至2018年期间,警务中使用随机对照试验的趋势呈上升趋势,但表明在此期间,所有循证警务研究中只有12%使用了这种方法。21世纪在刑事司法领域进行的越来越多的随机试验表明,在犯罪学的各个领域进行随机试验是可行的。然而,由于随机试验经常对从业者的决策施加限制,许多从业者避免随机试验的情况仍然存在(例如Clarke和Cornish 1972)。此外,在开展此类试验的过程中,经常会出现伦理和法律问题,以及围绕随机对照试验实施的实际(财务和其他)挑战。David Farrington在无法进行随机试验时讨论了其他方法,例如选择基于高质量前瞻性纵向数据的犯罪因果关系的个体内部分析(而不是个体之间的分析)(Farrington et al. 2002)。这些都是得出有关项目或干预措施结论的有力方法,但法林顿认为,作为一门科学,优先考虑随机试验对犯罪学至关重要。在过去的几年里,我对犯罪学作为一门学科的观察使我发现了对随机试验的抵制的另一个原因,这在过去并没有被认为是实验研究的一个关键障碍。在犯罪学中,这是一种意识形态而非科学的转变。我没有关于这一趋势的经验数据,但个人经验和与同事的交谈使我认为,它已经成为客观科学工作的一个重要障碍。在最近的一次美国犯罪学学会(American Society of Criminology)会议上,我观察了一个小组,引起了我的注意。在注意到警察和警察研究在犯罪学中变得不受欢迎和污名化之后,一位小组成员指出,“从研究中可以清楚地看出,警察并不能预防犯罪”,并继续说,只有依靠与社区合作的干预才能预防犯罪。我由衷地同意,当警察与社区合作时,他们可能会有更大的预防犯罪的好处。多年来,我和我的同事也提出了这方面的证据,并主张建立社区/警察合作伙伴关系(例如,见Braga和Weisburd 2010)。但也有强有力的实验证据表明,如果警察在没有社区参与的情况下,在犯罪热点地区增加巡逻,就可以预防犯罪(Sherman and Weisburd 1995;Braga et al. 2019)。这一发现得到了充分的证实,并在美国国家科学院的两个小组中得到了陈述(Frydl和Skogan 2004;Weisburd and Majmundar 2018),以及Campbell系统评论(Braga 2007)。但这并不符合许多犯罪学家对警察和犯罪控制的真实看法。这是意识形态战胜科学的一个例子。我所担心的是,有时意识形态,以及许多犯罪学家想要相信的东西,似乎已经超越了科学证据。我总是告诉我的学生,‘我们的工作是讲真话’——公开地描述证据所说的,在这方面,也要清楚证据的局限性。有时候,证据与我们认为的真实或我们希望的真实相矛盾。但作为科学家,我们的义务是提供证据,而不是我们希望的证据是什么。有时,证据并不符合政治背景下的流行或可接受的观点。这个小组只是犯罪学意识形态转变的一个小例子,但在我看来,这似乎是将意识形态置于科学之上的更大趋势的一部分。在过去的一年里,我与一些年轻的同事进行了多次交谈,在交谈中,我被他们的感受所震惊,他们认为审稿人在评估他们的论文时,偏向于某一特定的结果或观点。这通常涉及显示种族或阶层对结果的影响,因此他们觉得自己有望得出一组特定的发现。当然,种族和阶层分化是美国乃至其他社会面临的最重要问题之一,但如果这些同事提出的观点是正确的,那么由于对特定结果的偏见,我们将离解决这些问题更远。这是Pattillo(2021)提出的观点,他认为社会科学家过于关注黑人的劣势,导致刻板印象的强化,而忽视了黑人社区特定优势的有力证据。 科学是关于尽可能地确定“真相”,而不是关于加强特定的政治立场或信仰。值得注意的是,我们的研究建议虽然对热点警务有影响,也对关注犯罪热点的社会干预有影响,但根本没有涉及警察。相反,我们建议以微观地理分析单位收集犯罪数据,以确定城市犯罪集中的水平,以及导致犯罪集中程度更高或更低的因素。这些批评并没有阻止我们的项目获得资助,但这是我们需要回应的“重要”批评。值得注意的是,评论者认为提出这些问题很重要,而且完全不觉得有必要详细说明对警察的指控,因为这些指控符合警察的特定意识形态观点。当然有很多关于警察滥用职权的研究,但这里的评论几乎没有显示出警务世界的细微差别。此外,审稿人在要求我们审查我们过去的研究是否以道德和程序公正的方式应用时,并没有感到任何约束。这当然是一个有趣的问题,也是我和我的同事在一个试验场试验中深入研究的问题(Weisburd et al. 2022),但要求在一项不同的提案中回顾过去的工作,显然似乎是一种意识形态的转变。最后,关于提升职业生涯的评论当然不在审查的框架之内。然而,资助者显然感到有义务将这些评论包括在内,这本身就提出了对犯罪学中特定意识形态观点作出反应的压力的问题。我没有犯罪学实验工作贬值的经验证据,但我再次听到年轻学者告诉我,人们已经从重视强有力的实验研究和此类研究的元分析转向重视犯罪学的民族志和定性研究。我想强调的是,这类研究是科学的重要组成部分,在我看来,它是对随机试验的补充。例如,在系统评价中包含定性数据肯定有很大的好处(Ajzenstadt 2016)。但这类研究不能替代对项目成果进行严格的实验试验。例如,定性方法是发展对驱动实验结果的机制的理解的关键,并且可以为需要由犯罪学家解决的问题提供重要见解。它们在实验范式之外也有很多价值。但我听到的更多的是推动实验性研究贬值。对实验研究的“工程师观点”的反应是一种推进关于什么是有效的知识的途径(Stevenson 2023),它认为不可能有一种建立在实验科学上的“基于证据的”方法,这将我们推向了意识形态与科学同等重要的犯罪学。这直接与大卫·法灵顿的遗产相矛盾,他呼吁我们在评估研究中优先考虑实验。我们需要进行严格的实验研究,并对与传统智慧不同的发现持开放态度!随机试验在评估项目和治疗方面具有特殊的价值。当然,并不是所有的随机试验都能充分发挥随机化的好处。例如,有时程序不能可靠地遵循,在这种情况下,随机试验提供有效答案的能力受到挑战。反过来,有时随机实验不能被广泛推广,因为被检查的特定样本。当涉及到在现实生活中实施高保真度的随机试验时,存在明显的挑战,当然,当涉及到对相关研究结果的细微解释时,还存在额外的挑战(Jeffery et al. 2024)。然而,与犯罪学中其他常用的方法相比,采用忠实度随机实验并检查感兴趣的人群,得出的结论不那么模棱两可,也不太受研究者偏见的威胁(Weisburd, Lum, and Petrosino, 2001)。这是大卫·法灵顿在他的职业生涯中一直强调的一点,他试图鼓励严格的随机试验。大卫·法灵顿(David Farrington)试图在犯罪学中建立一门更强大的科学,在这门科学中,随机试验将优先用于评估项目和政策。这并不意味着他认为随机试验是唯一值得重视的方法。他是纵向研究的坚定支持者,并认为当随机试验无法选择时,应该推广其他模拟实验的分析——包括个体内部分析和倾向评分匹配——以试图确定犯罪的原因(Farri
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引用次数: 0
Different Pathways of Externalising Behaviour Problems From Preschool to Youth: A Test of Risk and Protective Factors and Potential Origins 学龄前至青少年外化行为问题的不同途径:风险、保护因素和潜在根源的测试。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2370
Friedrich Lösel, Mark Stemmler, Doris Bender
<div> <section> <h3> Background</h3> <p>This article is dedicated to David Farrington who was a giant in criminology and, in particular, a pioneer in studying developmental pathways of delinquent and antisocial behaviour. Numerous studies followed his work. Systematic reviews of his and others' research described between two and seven (mainly 3–5) trajectories. The variation is due to the age of individuals, kind and seriousness of problem behaviour, data sources, assessment methods and cultural context. Reviews stated a lack of research on very early starting problem behaviour, broad developmental outcomes, data from multiple informants and (beyond description) on risk and protective factors or potential causes of the different trajectories.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Aims</h3> <p>The present study addresses these issues in a prospective longitudinal design and test of the concept of antisocial potential (AP) in Farrington's ICAP theory.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>Data on more than 600 children and their families were gathered in a prospective longitudinal design over 10 years in Germany. To avoid potentially negative effects of criminal justice interventions, the study concentrates on child development from ages 4–5 to 6–7, 8–9, 10–12 and 13–14 years. Child externalising behaviour problems were assessed using the social behaviour questionnaire by kindergarten educators, mothers, school teachers and youth self-reports. Developmental trajectories were analysed by general growth curve modelling (GGCM) across five time points. The prediction and explanation of different pathways included family factors (SES, stressful life events, aggressive and inconsistent parenting) and child characteristics (intelligence, resting heart rate, disruptive behaviour, temperament and social adaptability). In accordance with dose–response relationships, we also tested accumulated factors in the Cracow Risk/Needs Instrument.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>The GGCM analysis revealed five developmental trajectories: high-chronics (2.4%), high-reducers (7.9%), medium-reducers (22.4%), late-starters medium (8.7%) and low-chronics (continuously unproblematic youngsters; 58.6%). Although the group with high externalising problems across all time points was rather small due to the affluent context of the region, there were significant social and individual differences between this and the other groups that fitted to ICAP theory. Furthermore, the study revealed differences between those youngsters that desisted from behaviour problems or sta
背景:这篇文章是献给大卫·法灵顿,他是犯罪学的巨人,特别是在研究犯罪和反社会行为的发展途径方面的先驱。在他的工作之后进行了大量的研究。对他和其他人研究的系统回顾描述了两到七条(主要是3-5条)轨迹。这种差异是由于个体的年龄、问题行为的种类和严重性、数据来源、评估方法和文化背景造成的。评论指出,缺乏对非常早期的问题行为、广泛的发展结果、来自多个信息提供者的数据以及(无法描述的)关于不同轨迹的风险和保护因素或潜在原因的研究。目的:本研究通过对Farrington的ICAP理论中反社会潜能(AP)概念的前瞻性纵向设计和检验来解决这些问题。方法:对德国600多名儿童及其家庭进行了为期10年的前瞻性纵向研究。为了避免刑事司法干预的潜在负面影响,该研究将重点放在4-5岁至6-7岁、8-9岁、10-12岁和13-14岁的儿童发展上。采用幼儿园教育工作者、母亲、学校教师和青少年自述的社会行为问卷对儿童外化行为问题进行了评估。通过一般生长曲线模型(GGCM)分析了五个时间点的发育轨迹。对不同路径的预测和解释包括家庭因素(社会地位、压力生活事件、攻击性和不一致的父母)和儿童特征(智力、静息心率、破坏性行为、气质和社会适应性)。根据剂量-反应关系,我们还测试了克拉科夫风险/需求工具中的累积因素。结果:GGCM分析揭示了5个发展轨迹:高慢者(2.4%)、高慢者(7.9%)、中慢者(22.4%)、晚起者、中慢者(8.7%)和低慢者(持续无问题的青少年;58.6%)。尽管由于该地区的富裕背景,在所有时间点上具有高度外部化问题的群体相当小,但这一群体与符合ICAP理论的其他群体之间存在显着的社会和个体差异。此外,该研究还揭示了那些不再有行为问题或开始晚一些的年轻人之间的差异。在克拉科夫风险/需求工具中,累积因素的预测有效性对于持续存在严重行为问题的群体和没有严重行为问题的群体的比较是非常好的。结论:我们的研究结果表明,攻击性、不良行为、冲动和其他外化行为的不同途径在儿童早期就已经开始了。行为稳定性(高慢性问题vs低慢性问题)很好地由儿童和家庭特征预测,但在行为改变的轨迹上也有似是而非的发现。总的来说,这些发现强调了早期发育预防的必要性。
{"title":"Different Pathways of Externalising Behaviour Problems From Preschool to Youth: A Test of Risk and Protective Factors and Potential Origins","authors":"Friedrich Lösel,&nbsp;Mark Stemmler,&nbsp;Doris Bender","doi":"10.1002/cbm.2370","DOIUrl":"10.1002/cbm.2370","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Background&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;This article is dedicated to David Farrington who was a giant in criminology and, in particular, a pioneer in studying developmental pathways of delinquent and antisocial behaviour. Numerous studies followed his work. Systematic reviews of his and others' research described between two and seven (mainly 3–5) trajectories. The variation is due to the age of individuals, kind and seriousness of problem behaviour, data sources, assessment methods and cultural context. Reviews stated a lack of research on very early starting problem behaviour, broad developmental outcomes, data from multiple informants and (beyond description) on risk and protective factors or potential causes of the different trajectories.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Aims&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;The present study addresses these issues in a prospective longitudinal design and test of the concept of antisocial potential (AP) in Farrington's ICAP theory.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Methods&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;Data on more than 600 children and their families were gathered in a prospective longitudinal design over 10 years in Germany. To avoid potentially negative effects of criminal justice interventions, the study concentrates on child development from ages 4–5 to 6–7, 8–9, 10–12 and 13–14 years. Child externalising behaviour problems were assessed using the social behaviour questionnaire by kindergarten educators, mothers, school teachers and youth self-reports. Developmental trajectories were analysed by general growth curve modelling (GGCM) across five time points. The prediction and explanation of different pathways included family factors (SES, stressful life events, aggressive and inconsistent parenting) and child characteristics (intelligence, resting heart rate, disruptive behaviour, temperament and social adaptability). In accordance with dose–response relationships, we also tested accumulated factors in the Cracow Risk/Needs Instrument.&lt;/p&gt;\u0000 &lt;/section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;section&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;h3&gt; Results&lt;/h3&gt;\u0000 \u0000 &lt;p&gt;The GGCM analysis revealed five developmental trajectories: high-chronics (2.4%), high-reducers (7.9%), medium-reducers (22.4%), late-starters medium (8.7%) and low-chronics (continuously unproblematic youngsters; 58.6%). Although the group with high externalising problems across all time points was rather small due to the affluent context of the region, there were significant social and individual differences between this and the other groups that fitted to ICAP theory. Furthermore, the study revealed differences between those youngsters that desisted from behaviour problems or sta","PeriodicalId":47362,"journal":{"name":"Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health","volume":"35 1","pages":"10-21"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11786933/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142956548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Persistent Aggressive Behaviour From Childhood to Adolescence: The Influence of Environmental Tobacco Exposure and the Protective Role of Fish Consumption 儿童至青少年的持续攻击行为:环境烟草暴露的影响和鱼类消费的保护作用。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2368
Jianghong Liu, Yi Yang, Haoer Shi, Keri Ka-Yee Wong, Adrian Raine

Background

Understanding changes in aggressive behaviour throughout child development is crucial for identifying effective intervention strategies. This study investigates children's aggressive behaviour in a longitudinal cohort and explores the role of environmental tobacco exposure and fish consumption as potential risk and protective factors, respectively, for persistent aggression in children.

Methods

This study involved 452 children from the Chinese Jintan Cohort. Aggressive behaviour was assessed at ages 6 and 12 years using the child behaviour checklist (CBCL) and the Reactive–Proactive Aggression Questionnaire (RPQ), respectively. Information on lifestyle habits and living environment, including parental smoking, was collected via questionnaires. Linear regression was employed to investigate the association between childhood and adolescence aggressive behaviour with relevant covariates adjusted. Subsequently, we conducted interaction analyses to explore the moderating effects of parent smoking and fish consumption on the association.

Results

We identified no significant association between childhood and adolescent aggression in the entire sample. Interaction analysis revealed environmental tobacco exposure as a moderator for the association. Specifically, persistent reactive and total aggression across development was only observed among those with environmental tobacco exposure (reactive: β = 0.549, p = 0.020; total: β = 0.654, p = 0.035). Furthermore, within the parent smoking subgroup, freshwater fish consumption at the age of 12 showed a marginally significant interaction with childhood aggression (reactive: p = 0.061; total: p = 0.095). A significant longitudinal association for aggression was found only among those consuming fish less frequently at the age of 12 years (reactive: β = 0.927, p = 0.002; total: β = 1.082, p = 0.006).

Conclusion

Our findings suggest exposure to environmental tobacco as a contributing factor to the lasting presence of aggressive behaviour during children's development, whereas freshwater fish consumption shows potential protective effects.

背景:了解整个儿童发展过程中攻击行为的变化对于确定有效的干预策略至关重要。本研究对儿童的攻击行为进行了纵向队列调查,并分别探讨了环境烟草暴露和鱼类消费作为儿童持续攻击的潜在风险和保护因素的作用。方法:本研究纳入来自中国金坛队列的452名儿童。在6岁和12岁时分别使用儿童行为检查表(CBCL)和反应-主动攻击问卷(RPQ)评估攻击行为。通过问卷调查收集生活习惯和生活环境信息,包括父母吸烟情况。采用线性回归研究儿童期和青春期攻击行为之间的关系,并调整相关协变量。随后,我们进行了交互分析,以探索父母吸烟和鱼类消费对该关联的调节作用。结果:我们在整个样本中没有发现童年和青少年攻击之间的显著关联。相互作用分析显示,环境烟草暴露是该协会的调节因素。具体而言,仅在环境烟草暴露者中观察到持续的反应性攻击和总攻击(反应性:β = 0.549, p = 0.020;Total: β = 0.654, p = 0.035)。此外,在父母吸烟亚组中,12岁时食用淡水鱼与儿童攻击行为之间存在显著的交互作用(反应性:p = 0.061;p = 0.095)。只有在12岁时较少吃鱼的年龄组中,攻击性存在显著的纵向关联(反应性:β = 0.927, p = 0.002;Total: β = 1.082, p = 0.006)。结论:我们的研究结果表明,在儿童发育过程中,接触环境烟草是导致攻击性行为持续存在的一个因素,而食用淡水鱼则有潜在的保护作用。
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引用次数: 0
Does the School Environment and School Engagement in Early High School Predict Trajectories of Anti-Social Behaviour? A National Longitudinal Study of Australian Youth From 12 to 19 years 高中早期的学校环境和学校参与是否能预测反社会行为的轨迹?一项针对12至19岁澳大利亚青年的全国性纵向研究。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2366
Olivia Halls, Ben Edwards

Background

Schools are widely considered important agents of social control for young people. Consequently, school engagement, disengagement and the school environment are key to understanding behavioural outcomes during adolescence. This study addresses an empirical gap in longitudinal research by examining new types of school engagement, as well as school-level environmental factors.

Aims

To understand the role that school engagement and the school environment play in shaping trajectories of antisocial behaviour.

Methods

Using longitudinal survey of Australian children (LSAC), this study employed trajectory analysis to identify trajectories of ASB over 4 waves. We tested the influence that early high school engagement and the school environment had on ASB trajectories through a series of multinomial logistic regressions.

Results

Of the 2983 Australian school students included in the study, three trajectory groups were identified: no ASB (n = 1599), low-level ASB (n = 1158) and moderate-level ASB (n = 88). The influence of truancy, suspension/expulsion and school avoidance were all particularly strong, and student–teacher relationships were found to both directly and indirectly influence levels of ASB.

Conclusions

This longitudinal study provides a comprehensive overview of trajectories of antisocial behaviour during adolescence and how they are influenced by experiences at school. It confirms the strong influence of behavioural disengagement and offers new insights into the role of affective school engagement and the school environment.

背景:学校被广泛认为是对年轻人进行社会控制的重要媒介。因此,学校参与、脱离和学校环境是理解青少年行为结果的关键。本研究通过考察新型的学校参与以及学校层面的环境因素,解决了纵向研究中的经验差距。目的:了解学校参与和学校环境在塑造反社会行为轨迹中的作用。方法:本研究采用澳大利亚儿童纵向调查(LSAC),采用轨迹分析方法识别ASB的4波发展轨迹。我们通过一系列多项逻辑回归测试了高中早期参与和学校环境对ASB轨迹的影响。结果:在纳入研究的2983名澳大利亚在校学生中,确定了三个轨迹组:无ASB (n = 1599),低水平ASB (n = 1158)和中等水平ASB (n = 88)。逃学、停学/开除和逃避学校的影响都特别强,师生关系对ASB水平有直接和间接的影响。结论:这项纵向研究提供了青春期反社会行为轨迹的全面概述,以及他们如何受到学校经历的影响。它证实了行为脱离的强大影响,并为情感学校参与和学校环境的作用提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Longitudinal-Experimental Design and the Development and Prevention of Criminal Offending Over the Life-Course: Advances in Science and Policy From the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study 纵向实验设计与终身犯罪的发展和预防:来自剑桥-萨默维尔青年研究的科学和政策进展。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2369
Brandon C. Welsh

Background

David Farrington (1944–2024) wrote extensively about the methodological rigour and utility of the longitudinal-experimental research design to advance knowledge about the development, explanation, prevention and treatment of antisocial behaviour and criminal offending over the life-course. Founded in 1935, the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study (CSYS) is recognised as the first randomised controlled trial in criminology and the first longitudinal-experimental study in criminology.

Aims

To report on key scientific and policy contributions made by the CSYS in investigating the development and prevention of delinquency and criminal offending over the life-course.

Methods

Uses previously analysed observational and experimental data from follow-ups of study participants conducted in middle age (N = 494; mean = 47 years) and old age (N = 488; 84–92 years).

Results

Identified several parental socialisation practices and interactions during childhood (but not father absence) as strongly associated with serious criminal offending in middle age. Support for peer deviancy as a causal mechanism for iatrogenic effects among treatment groups, compared to pair-matched controls, during middle age drew policy attention to group-based prevention interventions.

Conclusions

The longitudinal-experimental design is a highly important yet under-utilised methodological approach in criminology. Future research should include revisiting the original plan for the design, addressing a key potential concern of the design and carrying out longer follow-ups at key stages of the life-course.

背景:David Farrington(1944-2024)撰写了大量关于纵向实验研究设计方法的严谨性和实用性的文章,以促进有关反社会行为和犯罪在生命过程中的发展、解释、预防和治疗的知识。剑桥-萨默维尔青年研究(CSYS)成立于1935年,被认为是犯罪学领域的第一个随机对照试验,也是犯罪学领域的第一个纵向实验研究。目的:报告CSYS在调查青少年一生中犯罪和刑事犯罪的发展和预防方面的重要科学和政策贡献。方法:使用先前分析的观察和实验数据,这些数据来自中年研究参与者的随访(N = 494;平均= 47岁)和老年(N = 488;84 - 92年)。结果:确定了童年时期父母的一些社会化实践和互动(但不是父亲缺席)与中年时的严重犯罪行为密切相关。与配对对照组相比,支持同伴偏差作为治疗组中医源性效应的因果机制,在中年期间引起了政策对基于群体的预防干预的关注。结论:纵向实验设计在犯罪学中是一种非常重要但尚未得到充分利用的方法。未来的研究应包括重新审视设计的原始计划,解决设计的关键潜在问题,并在生命历程的关键阶段进行更长时间的随访。
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引用次数: 0
Cumulative Risk and Cumulative Protection: Relative Contributions to Predicting Substance Use, Antisocial Behaviour and Mental Health Across Development 累积风险和累积保护:在整个发展过程中预测物质使用、反社会行为和心理健康的相对贡献。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2365
Max A. Halvorson, Justin D. Caouette, John S. Briney, Margaret R. Kuklinski, Sabrina Oesterle, J. David Hawkins

Background

Cumulative risk scores predict negative outcomes including antisocial behaviour and mental health. Less work has examined the role of cumulative protection, despite the availability of preventive interventions focused on bolstering protection across domains. Understanding links between cumulative risk and protection measured in childhood and later outcomes can help to guide the timing of prevention programmes.

Aims

The study aimed to understand the relative contributions of early adolescent cumulative risk and cumulative protection in Grade 6 on distal outcomes six to seven years later, at ages 18–19.

Methods

Data are from the Community Youth Development Study, a community-randomised trial of the Communities That Care prevention system. The analysis sample consisted of 2002 participants from 12 control communities. Logistic regression models were estimated to quantify the main and interactive effects of Grade 6 cumulative risk and protection on alcohol, tobacco and cannabis use; antisocial behaviour, and depression at ages 18–19.

Results

When considered in separate models, cumulative risk and protection were each associated with later alcohol, tobacco and cannabis misuse; antisocial behaviour and depression. When considered together, coefficients for cumulative protection were attenuated, whereas coefficients for cumulative risk remained similar in magnitude. Cumulative risk was associated with larger outcome prevalence differences (average of 9%) than cumulative protection (average of 2%). Evidence for risk-protection interactions was not observed.

Conclusions

Although early adolescent cumulative protection was associated with later outcomes, these associations were largely reduced when considering cumulative risk. Findings emphasise the importance of addressing cumulative risk when designing preventive interventions.

背景:累积风险评分预测包括反社会行为和心理健康在内的负面结果。尽管存在侧重于加强跨领域保护的预防性干预措施,但研究累积保护作用的工作较少。了解在儿童期测量的累积风险和保护与后来的结果之间的联系,有助于指导预防规划的时机。目的:本研究旨在了解青少年早期累积风险和6年级累积保护对6 - 7年后18-19岁远端预后的相对贡献。方法:数据来自社区青年发展研究,这是社区护理预防系统的一项社区随机试验。分析样本包括来自12个对照社区的2002名参与者。估计了Logistic回归模型,以量化6级累积风险和保护对酒精、烟草和大麻使用的主要影响和相互作用;反社会行为,以及18-19岁的抑郁症。结果:在单独的模型中考虑时,累积风险和保护都与后来的酒精、烟草和大麻滥用有关;反社会行为和抑郁。当一起考虑时,累积保护系数被减弱,而累积风险系数在量级上保持相似。与累积保护(平均2%)相比,累积风险与更大的结果患病率差异相关(平均9%)。没有观察到风险保护相互作用的证据。结论:尽管青少年早期累积保护与后来的结果相关,但当考虑累积风险时,这些关联在很大程度上降低了。研究结果强调了在设计预防干预措施时解决累积风险的重要性。
{"title":"Cumulative Risk and Cumulative Protection: Relative Contributions to Predicting Substance Use, Antisocial Behaviour and Mental Health Across Development","authors":"Max A. Halvorson,&nbsp;Justin D. Caouette,&nbsp;John S. Briney,&nbsp;Margaret R. Kuklinski,&nbsp;Sabrina Oesterle,&nbsp;J. David Hawkins","doi":"10.1002/cbm.2365","DOIUrl":"10.1002/cbm.2365","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Background</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Cumulative risk scores predict negative outcomes including antisocial behaviour and mental health. Less work has examined the role of cumulative protection, despite the availability of preventive interventions focused on bolstering protection across domains. Understanding links between cumulative risk and protection measured in childhood and later outcomes can help to guide the timing of prevention programmes.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aims</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The study aimed to understand the relative contributions of early adolescent cumulative risk and cumulative protection in Grade 6 on distal outcomes six to seven years later, at ages 18–19.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Data are from the Community Youth Development Study, a community-randomised trial of the Communities That Care prevention system. The analysis sample consisted of 2002 participants from 12 control communities. Logistic regression models were estimated to quantify the main and interactive effects of Grade 6 cumulative risk and protection on alcohol, tobacco and cannabis use; antisocial behaviour, and depression at ages 18–19.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>When considered in separate models, cumulative risk and protection were each associated with later alcohol, tobacco and cannabis misuse; antisocial behaviour and depression. When considered together, coefficients for cumulative protection were attenuated, whereas coefficients for cumulative risk remained similar in magnitude. Cumulative risk was associated with larger outcome prevalence differences (average of 9%) than cumulative protection (average of 2%). Evidence for risk-protection interactions was not observed.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Although early adolescent cumulative protection was associated with later outcomes, these associations were largely reduced when considering cumulative risk. Findings emphasise the importance of addressing cumulative risk when designing preventive interventions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47362,"journal":{"name":"Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health","volume":"35 1","pages":"22-30"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142956546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of Neurodiversity in a UK High Secure Psychiatric Hospital Cohort: A Records Study 英国高度戒备精神病院群组中神经多样性的普遍性:一项记录研究。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2363
Freya Walker, David Murphy, Laura Gröger, Estelle Moore

Background

The term neurodiversity is an umbrella term for any atypical pattern of cognitive ability, including but not confined to neurodevelopmental disorders. Research suggests that several neurodivergent conditions are overrepresented in offender populations, with a recent survey suggesting that over half of those coming into contact with the criminal justice system may have a neurodivergent condition. Considerable effort has been invested in trying to divert people with such conditions out of long-stay hospitals, but nevertheless, a few studies in secure hospitals suggest that while prevalence in hospitals may be lower than in prisons, it is high relative to the general population.

Aims

To determine the prevalence of recorded neurodivergent conditions in one high secure hospital.

Methods

We conducted a records survey of a resident cohort of men in one high secure hospital in England during December 2022.

Results

Records were accessed for all 197 resident men. According to these records, over one-half (115, 58%) of the men had at least one neurodivergent condition; nearly a third (56, 29%) had more than one form of neurodivergent condition. The most frequently recorded form of neurodivergent condition was general cognitive dysfunction (24%), followed by general language difficulties (16%), ADHD (15%) and autism (14%) and those with a history of seizures (14%) and atypical brain scans (12%). Dyslexia was reported within 6.5% of patient notes, acquired brain injury 5% and chromosomal disorders 2%. The survey also suggests some differences in the prevalence of neurodivergent disorders across clinical groups, with higher rates among people with mental illness than with personality disorder. Prevalence was also unevenly distributed across nature of ward type.

Conclusions

With the survey suggesting that the majority of patients in one high secure psychiatric hospital have at least one form of neurodivergent condition, it raises questions around how useful the term is and what the term neurodivergence means in this population. With each form of neurodiversity having different needs, the diversity of conditions present also raises questions around what a ‘neurodiverse informed model of care’ would look like in forensic mental health services.

背景:神经多样性是任何非典型认知能力模式的总称,包括但不限于神经发育障碍。研究表明,在罪犯群体中,几种神经发散性疾病的比例过高,最近的一项调查表明,接触刑事司法系统的人中,有一半以上可能患有神经发散性疾病。已经投入了相当大的努力,试图将有这种情况的人从长期住院医院转移出去,但是,在有保障的医院进行的一些研究表明,虽然医院的发病率可能低于监狱,但相对于一般人口来说,发病率很高。目的:确定在一家高度安全的医院中记录的神经发散性疾病的患病率。方法:我们于2022年12月在英国一家高度安全的医院对一组男性居民进行了记录调查。结果:197名常住男性均获得记录。根据这些记录,超过一半(115,58%)的男性至少有一种神经发散性疾病;近三分之一(56,29%)患有一种以上的神经发散性疾病。最常见的记录形式是一般认知功能障碍(24%),其次是一般语言障碍(16%),多动症(15%)和自闭症(14%),还有癫痫发作史(14%)和非典型脑部扫描(12%)。6.5%的患者记录报告了阅读障碍,5%的患者报告了获得性脑损伤,2%的患者报告了染色体疾病。该调查还表明,不同临床群体的神经发散性疾病患病率存在一些差异,精神疾病患者的患病率高于人格障碍患者。病区类型的患病率分布也不均匀。结论:调查表明,在一家高度安全的精神病院的大多数患者至少有一种形式的神经分化状况,这就提出了关于这个术语有多有用以及这个术语在这个人群中意味着什么的问题。由于每种形式的神经多样性都有不同的需求,目前的情况多样性也引发了关于“神经多样性知情护理模式”在法医心理健康服务中会是什么样子的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Low Parental Empathy Predicts Callous-Unemotional Traits in Children With Enhanced Autonomic Sensitivity to the Environment 低父母共情预测对环境自主敏感性增强的儿童的冷酷无情特征。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2364
Liat Kofler, Adrian Raine, Yu Gao

Introduction

Recent evidence suggests that autonomic nervous system functioning can reflect individual differences in sensitivity to the environment, which in turn moderates the effects of family context on psychopathic and antisocial behaviour. Although some preliminary research suggests that the coordination of the sympathetic (SNS) and parasympathetic (PNS) branches of the autonomic nervous system may reflect sensitivity to environmental influences, the majority of research to date has been limited in its focus on just one branch, and little is known about the effects of parental empathy on a child's psychopathic-like traits. This study aimed to address this gap by examining if the SNS and PNS jointly moderate the prospective contribution of parental empathy to youth psychopathic-like traits.

Methods

Male and female children (n = 340; age = 8–10 years) from the community completed an emotion regulation task during which their skin conductance level (SCL) and respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA) activity were recorded. Parental cognitive, affective, and somatic empathy were reported by the caregivers. The child's psychopathic-like traits were reported by the caregiver and the child and were reassessed 1 year later.

Results

Hierarchical regression indicated that after controlling for child sex, age, and concurrent CU traits, low affective empathy in parents predicted higher CU traits 1 year later in youths who exhibited reciprocal sympathetic activation (i.e., SNS activation along with PNS withdrawal), reflecting their enhanced sensitivity to the environment. No such effects were found for other psychopathic-like traits.

Conclusions

Findings suggest that reciprocal SNS reactivity may be a biological indicator for sensitivity to environmental influence and highlight the importance of examining the interactions among multiple systems to better understand the aetiology of psychopathic traits.

最近的证据表明,自主神经系统功能可以反映个体对环境敏感性的差异,从而调节家庭背景对精神病和反社会行为的影响。虽然一些初步研究表明,自主神经系统的交感神经(SNS)和副交感神经(PNS)分支的协调可能反映了对环境影响的敏感性,但迄今为止,大多数研究都局限于关注一个分支,并且对父母共情对儿童精神病样特征的影响知之甚少。本研究旨在通过研究社交网络和社交网络是否共同调节父母共情对青少年精神病样特征的预期贡献来解决这一差距。方法:男女儿童340例;年龄8-10岁的社区儿童完成情绪调节任务,记录他们的皮肤电导水平(SCL)和呼吸性窦性心律失常(RSA)活动。父母的认知、情感和躯体共情由照顾者报告。儿童的精神病样特征由照顾者和儿童报告,并在1年后重新评估。结果:层次回归表明,在控制了儿童性别、年龄和并发的CU特征后,父母的低情感共情预示着表现出互交交感激活(即SNS激活与PNS戒除)的青少年1年后具有更高的CU特征,反映了他们对环境的敏感性增强。在其他类似精神病的特征中没有发现这种影响。结论:研究结果表明,SNS的相互反应性可能是对环境影响敏感性的生物学指标,并强调了检查多个系统之间的相互作用对更好地了解精神病特征病因的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Addiction behind bars: Swiss symposium insights 囹圄中的毒瘾:瑞士研讨会的见解。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2362
Constantin Bondolfi, Patrick Bodenmann, Yasser Khazaal, Didier Delessert, Sophie Paroz, Rebecca Gray, Jean-Bernard Daeppen
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引用次数: 0
Exploration of a virtual reality exercise to help train police with responding to mental health crises in the community 探索虚拟现实演习,帮助培训警察应对社区中的心理健康危机。
IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1002/cbm.2361
Lisa M. Dario, Jesse D. Saginor

Background

A substantial number of police–citizen interactions involve a civilian presenting in a mental health crisis, often with law enforcement as the first point of contact. Traditional training methods offer minimal opportunity for police to practice navigating such civilian interactions or to develop and strengthen relevant skills. Virtual reality (VR) offers a promising avenue for addressing this gap by immersing police officers in realistic, controlled environments that could help them to acclimatise to these encounters and understand their own reactions to them.

Aims

To examine the extent to which law enforcement officers become immersed in a virtual training environment (VTE), to assess their empathy and sympathy towards a non-player character (NPC) presenting with schizophrenic psychosis and how empathy and sympathy relate to virtual immersion.

Methods

Forty police officers—about a fifth of the department approached—participated in a VR mental health training scenario. Officers' immersion in the VTE was assessed using a 28-item Presence Questionnaire and their empathy and sympathy were measured using adapted standard scales. The study employed Fisher's Exact Test and Spearman's correlation to analyse the relationships between immersion, empathy and sympathy.

Results

Most officers experienced good levels of immersion, although nearly half felt confused or disoriented at the beginning of the session. Officers reported moderate levels of sympathy and higher empathy towards a non-player character. Significant correlations were found between specific aspects of immersion (e.g. sensory engagement) and empathy. Fisher's Exact Test revealed strong associations between physical interactions in the VTE and empathy/sympathy.

Conclusions

Our findings show that police are willing and able to engage in a VR exercise to learn about their response to people in a mental health crisis and that, in such circumstances, they can be both sympathetic and empathic. Next steps will be exploration of the value of such a tool to enhance real-life responding.

背景:大量的警民互动都涉及到平民出现心理健康危机,而执法部门往往是第一接触点。传统的培训方法只能为警察提供极少的机会来练习如何与平民互动,或发展和加强相关技能。虚拟现实(VR)为弥补这一不足提供了一个很有前景的途径,它能让警察沉浸在逼真、可控的环境中,从而帮助他们适应这些遭遇,并了解自己的反应:40名警官(约占所接触部门的五分之一)参加了虚拟现实心理健康培训情景。使用 28 项临场感问卷对警官在 VTE 中的沉浸感进行了评估,并使用改编的标准量表对他们的同理心和同情心进行了测量。研究采用费舍尔精确检验和斯皮尔曼相关性来分析沉浸感、同理心和同情心之间的关系:结果:尽管近一半的官员在课程开始时感到困惑或迷失方向,但大多数官员体验到了良好的沉浸感。官员们对非玩家角色的同情和共鸣程度较高。在沉浸感的特定方面(如感官参与)与移情之间发现了显著的相关性。费舍尔精确检验显示,在 VTE 中的身体互动与移情/同情之间存在密切联系:我们的研究结果表明,警察愿意并能够通过参与 VR 演练来了解他们对处于精神健康危机中的人所采取的应对措施,而且在这种情况下,他们能够同时表现出同情心和同理心。下一步将探索这种工具在加强现实生活中的应对能力方面的价值。
{"title":"Exploration of a virtual reality exercise to help train police with responding to mental health crises in the community","authors":"Lisa M. Dario,&nbsp;Jesse D. Saginor","doi":"10.1002/cbm.2361","DOIUrl":"10.1002/cbm.2361","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Background</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A substantial number of police–citizen interactions involve a civilian presenting in a mental health crisis, often with law enforcement as the first point of contact. Traditional training methods offer minimal opportunity for police to practice navigating such civilian interactions or to develop and strengthen relevant skills. Virtual reality (VR) offers a promising avenue for addressing this gap by immersing police officers in realistic, controlled environments that could help them to acclimatise to these encounters and understand their own reactions to them.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aims</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>To examine the extent to which law enforcement officers become immersed in a virtual training environment (VTE), to assess their empathy and sympathy towards a non-player character (NPC) presenting with schizophrenic psychosis and how empathy and sympathy relate to virtual immersion.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Forty police officers—about a fifth of the department approached—participated in a VR mental health training scenario. Officers' immersion in the VTE was assessed using a 28-item Presence Questionnaire and their empathy and sympathy were measured using adapted standard scales. The study employed Fisher's Exact Test and Spearman's correlation to analyse the relationships between immersion, empathy and sympathy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Most officers experienced good levels of immersion, although nearly half felt confused or disoriented at the beginning of the session. Officers reported moderate levels of sympathy and higher empathy towards a non-player character. Significant correlations were found between specific aspects of immersion (e.g. sensory engagement) and empathy. Fisher's Exact Test revealed strong associations between physical interactions in the VTE and empathy/sympathy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our findings show that police are willing and able to engage in a VR exercise to learn about their response to people in a mental health crisis and that, in such circumstances, they can be both sympathetic and empathic. Next steps will be exploration of the value of such a tool to enhance real-life responding.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47362,"journal":{"name":"Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health","volume":"34 6","pages":"539-554"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142591872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health
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