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Choice Modeling With Context Effects: Generalization for Observational Data 具有情境效应的选择模型:观测数据的泛化
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-08-31 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70030
Zakaria Babutsidze, William Rand, Emil Mirzayev, Nobuyuki Hanaki, Ismael Rafaï, Thierry Delahaye, Rodrigo Acuna-Agost

Established procedures of analyzing the effect of context on choice consider simple, compact environments in laboratory settings. However, these approaches severely limit the study of context effects and, as a consequence, the applicability of their findings. In this paper, we generalize existing approaches in modeling choice with the aim of developing a toolbox for the analysis of observational data. We consider three main context measures: attraction, compromise, and similarity. The proposed methodology hinges on ex ante calculation of context features for every alternative in multioption, multiattribute choice sets. This approach minimizes the computational complications of estimating the resulting choice model. The proposed approach is applied to air traveler choice data using an extensive observational dataset. This yields the first examination of all three context effects simultaneously in a large observational dataset. We discuss the consequences of product (re)design based on the results of the empirical exercise to showcase the potential use of the developed methodology in managerial practice.

分析环境对选择影响的既定程序考虑实验室设置中简单、紧凑的环境。然而,这些方法严重限制了对环境效应的研究,因此,限制了研究结果的适用性。在本文中,我们概括了现有的建模选择方法,目的是开发一个用于分析观测数据的工具箱。我们考虑了三个主要的语境衡量标准:吸引力、妥协和相似性。所提出的方法依赖于预先计算多选项、多属性选择集中每个选项的上下文特征。这种方法最大限度地减少了估计结果选择模型的计算复杂性。该方法应用于使用广泛观测数据集的航空旅客选择数据。这是第一次在一个大型观测数据集中同时对所有三种环境效应进行检查。我们根据实证结果讨论了产品(再)设计的后果,以展示开发的方法在管理实践中的潜在用途。
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引用次数: 0
Everything in Its Own Time: Planning Horizons Vary Across Financial Domains 一切都有自己的时间:规划视野因金融领域而异
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70035
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Alycia Chin, David Zimmerman, Wilbert van der Klaauw

Financial planning horizons reflect the time periods people use for their financial decisions. They are measured to understand and inform financial decisions and to predict financial outcomes like using a financial advisor, having a retirement account, or having lower inflation expectations. Financial surveys typically ask participants to report one planning horizon for “saving and spending,” seemingly assuming that people use one planning horizon for saving and for spending and that this one planning horizon also applies to other financial domains such as investing and retirement finances. The underlying reasoning may be that money is fungible, with one extra dollar of spending removing one dollar from the money available for saving, investing, or retirement finances. Here, we report on three US-wide studies in which people indicated using different planning horizons across financial domains, which were differentially associated with financial outcomes. Median planning horizons were significantly shorter for saving and spending than for retirement finances (Study 1); for spending than for saving (Study 2); and, in order, for spending, saving, investing, and retirement finances (Study 3). Short-term (vs. long-term) planning horizons were often more valid predictors of financial outcomes (Studies 1–3), suggesting that short-term planning horizons may take precedence in financial decisions. A combination of short-term and long-term planning horizons may even have independent associations with financial outcomes (Study 3). We conclude that planning horizon questions should ask about specific financial domains and that multiple planning horizons may be relevant to specific financial outcomes.

财务规划周期反映了人们用于财务决策的时间段。衡量这些指标是为了理解并为财务决策提供信息,并预测财务结果,比如聘请财务顾问、拥有退休账户或降低通胀预期。财务调查通常要求参与者报告“储蓄和支出”的规划范围,似乎假设人们使用一个规划范围来储蓄和支出,并且这个规划范围也适用于其他金融领域,如投资和退休财务。潜在的理由可能是钱是可替代的,每多花一美元,就会从可用于储蓄、投资或退休的资金中减少一美元。在这里,我们报告了三个美国范围的研究,在这些研究中,人们表示在不同的金融领域使用不同的规划视野,这与财务结果有不同的关联。储蓄和支出的中位数计划期限明显短于退休财务(研究1);消费多于储蓄(研究2);依次是消费、储蓄、投资和退休财务(研究3)。短期(相对于长期)规划视野往往更有效地预测财务结果(研究1-3),这表明短期规划视野可能优先考虑财务决策。短期和长期规划视野的结合甚至可能与财务结果有独立的联系(研究3)。我们的结论是,规划视界问题应该询问具体的财务领域,而多个规划视界可能与具体的财务结果相关。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “Does Time Pressure Alter the Affect Gap in Risky Choice?” 修正“时间压力会改变风险选择的影响差距吗?”
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70039

Philips, R., Pachur, T., Vögele, C., & Brevers, D. (2025). Does Time Pressure Alter the Affect Gap in Risky Choice? Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 38(3), e70028. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.70028.

The figure descriptions for Figures 2 and 3 were inadvertently swapped in the published article. The correct descriptions for each figures are provided below:

We apologize for this error.

Philips, R., Pachur, T., Vögele, C., &;Brevers, D.(2025)。时间压力会改变风险选择的影响差距吗?行为决策学报,38(3),e708。https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.70028。在发表的文章中,图2和图3的图形描述被无意中交换了。每个数字的正确描述如下:我们为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Choosing Versus Rejecting: The Effect of Decision Mode on Subsequent Preferential Choices 选择与拒绝:决策模式对后续优先选择的影响
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-08-10 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70032
Sangsuk Yoon, Vinod Venkatraman

People often make decisions by either choosing an alternative they like (choose mode) or rejecting alternatives they dislike (reject mode). Previous research has demonstrated that these two decision modes involve distinct cognitive processes. In the current work, we further investigate whether these distinct cognitive processes in these two decision modes symmetrically or asymmetrically impact people's subsequent preferences for their preferred (chosen or nonrejected) alternatives. Across three experiments involving consumer goods, we found that participants exhibited stronger preferences for items preferred through the choose mode compared with items preferred through the reject mode. Using eye tracking, we demonstrate that this effect can be explained by more selective visual attention directed toward task-compatible alternatives in choosing versus rejecting decisions. We discuss the implications of our findings for theory and practice in the context of consumer preferences, as well as their extensions to other decision domains.

人们通常通过选择他们喜欢的选择(选择模式)或拒绝他们不喜欢的选择(拒绝模式)来做决定。先前的研究表明,这两种决策模式涉及不同的认知过程。在当前的工作中,我们进一步研究了这两种决策模式下的不同认知过程是否对称或不对称地影响人们对其首选(已选择或未拒绝)替代方案的后续偏好。在三个涉及消费品的实验中,我们发现参与者对通过选择模式偏爱的物品比通过拒绝模式偏爱的物品表现出更强的偏好。通过眼动追踪,我们证明了这种效应可以解释为在选择和拒绝决策时,更多的选择性视觉注意力指向任务兼容的替代方案。我们讨论了我们的发现在消费者偏好的背景下对理论和实践的影响,以及它们对其他决策领域的扩展。
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引用次数: 0
The Moral Dilution Effect: Irrelevant Information Influences Judgments of Moral Character 道德稀释效应:不相关信息影响道德品质判断
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-08-03 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70034
Cillian McHugh, Eric R. Igou

It is reasonable to expect that when making a judgment, we only consider the relevant (or diagnostic) information and that nonrelevant (nondiagnostic) information should not, and thus does not, influence our judgments. Previous research has shown that this is not always the case and that the inclusion of nondiagnostic information can reduce the impact of diagnostic information in judgments. This phenomenon is known as the dilution effect, and it has been observed for a range of judgments, including product evaluations, probability judgments, and predictions relating to people's behavior. The dilution effect has been explained as a consequence of the representativeness heuristic, such that the inclusion of nondiagnostic information reduces the match between the target and a typical member of the category. Consistent with this notion and recent approaches to moral decision making, we predict that the dilution effect should be observed for judgments about morality. Across four studies (total N = 2535), we tested for the dilution effect on judgments of morally bad actors and morally good actors. Overall, our results showed a dilution effect for judgments of both good and bad actors. People's moral evaluations of both good and bad actors were less extreme when the descriptions included nondiagnostic information. We showed that this effect is not the result of humanization, and we found that the robustness of the effect appears to be moderated by valence, with a more robust effect for bad actors. Our results highlight avenues for future research.

我们有理由期望,在做出判断时,我们只考虑相关(或诊断性)信息,而不相关(非诊断性)信息不应该影响我们的判断,因此也不会影响我们的判断。先前的研究表明,情况并非总是如此,并且包含非诊断信息可以减少诊断信息在判断中的影响。这种现象被称为稀释效应,已经在一系列判断中观察到,包括产品评估、概率判断和与人们行为有关的预测。稀释效应被解释为代表性启发式的结果,即非诊断信息的包含减少了目标与类别的典型成员之间的匹配。与这一概念和最近的道德决策方法相一致,我们预测在道德判断中应该观察到稀释效应。在四项研究中(总N = 2535),我们测试了道德上坏的行为者和道德上好的行为者的判断的稀释效应。总的来说,我们的结果显示了对好演员和坏演员的判断的稀释效应。当描述包含非诊断性信息时,人们对好演员和坏演员的道德评价都不那么极端。我们发现这种效应不是人性化的结果,我们发现这种效应的稳健性似乎被效价所缓和,对不良行为者的影响更强。我们的研究结果为未来的研究指明了方向。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “The Mere Audience-Size Effect: How Incidental Audience Non-Normatively Influences the Perceived Product Quality” 对“单纯受众规模效应:偶然受众如何非规范地影响感知产品质量”的修正
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70036

Qiu, T, Li, X, Lu, J. The Mere Audience-Size Effect: How Incidental Audience Non-Normatively Influences the Perceived Product Quality. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2025; 38: e70022.

FIGURE 4 Perceived product quality as a function of audience size and deliberation order in Study 5. Error bars indicate standard errors.

We apologize for this error.

邱婷,李晓明,卢杰。单纯受众规模效应:偶然受众对感知产品质量的非规范性影响。行为决策学报;38: e70022。图4研究5中感知产品质量随受众规模和审议顺序的函数。误差条表示标准误差。我们为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Intuition in Decision Making: Insights From Drift Diffusion Modeling 决策中的直觉:来自漂移扩散模型的见解
IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-07-18 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70033
Tianqi Hu, Ilkka Leppänen, L. Alberto Franco

Research on intuition often produces conflicting results and suffers from reliability issues due to the lack of tools that can conclusively evaluate a person's latent intuitive position. It has been recently proposed that a decision maker's intuitive position can be evaluated by estimating parameters with sequential sampling models (SSMs), which provide a biologically plausible framework to measure how intuition affects decisions. In two studies, we use the drift diffusion model (DDM), as a type of SSM, to investigate topics where intuition is difficult to evaluate. In Study 1, we used the DDM to examine how the cognitive reflection test (CRT) scores relate to intuition in risky decision making and found that individuals with high CRT scores had superior performance and relied more on intuition. These findings challenge the conventional view that high CRT scores imply less reliance on intuition and that intuition is detrimental to decision performance. In Study 2, we examined the cross-domain stability of the preference for intuition and found that decision makers rely more on intuition in the social decision domain than in the risky decision domain and that these measures are not correlated across the two domains. The evidence for this unstable preference has hitherto primarily resulted from self-reports, which have a questionable ability to assess the preference for intuition. In both studies, we demonstrate that the DDM can accurately simulate the decision outcome and decision time patterns that are affected by intuition, providing evidence for the usefulness of DDM analysis in the study of intuition.

对直觉的研究往往会产生相互矛盾的结果,并且由于缺乏能够最终评估一个人潜在直觉位置的工具而受到可靠性问题的困扰。最近有人提出,决策者的直觉位置可以通过序列抽样模型(SSMs)估计参数来评估,这提供了一个生物学上合理的框架来衡量直觉如何影响决策。在两项研究中,我们使用漂移扩散模型(DDM)作为SSM的一种,来研究直觉难以评估的主题。在研究1中,我们使用DDM检验了风险决策中认知反射测试(CRT)得分与直觉的关系,发现CRT得分高的个体表现优异,更多地依赖直觉。这些发现挑战了传统观点,即高CRT分数意味着对直觉的依赖较少,直觉不利于决策绩效。在研究2中,我们检查了直觉偏好的跨领域稳定性,发现决策者在社会决策领域比在风险决策领域更依赖直觉,并且这些措施在两个领域之间不相关。迄今为止,这种不稳定偏好的证据主要来自自我报告,它在评估直觉偏好方面的能力值得怀疑。在这两项研究中,我们都证明了DDM可以准确地模拟受直觉影响的决策结果和决策时间模式,为DDM分析在直觉研究中的有用性提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Monetary Priming Reduces Children's Sensitivity to Variations in Potential Gain Magnitude in a Cheating Scenario 货币启动降低儿童对作弊情景中潜在收益幅度变化的敏感性
IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-07-10 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70027
Łukasz Markiewicz, Agata Trzcińska

This study examines whether monetary priming increases children's cheating and moderates the effect of prize attractiveness on their cheating behavior. While rational economic theory suggests that individuals cheat more when incentives are greater, previous findings have been inconsistent. We propose that monetary priming could explain these mixed results, hypothesizing that it may not only increase cheating but also influence sensitivity to reward magnitude. We conducted a quasi-experimental study in which children (7–10 years old, N = 178) were primed (or not) with money (real or symbolic money) before participating in a “roll a die” task that determined the number of rewards they could obtain. This task utilized an electronic die (DICE+), which enabled us to identify both actual and self-reported values of die rolls. As expected, monetary priming (both real and symbolic) increased cheating among the children. Furthermore, our results demonstrated that while participants were more inclined to cheat for more attractive prizes in non-monetary priming conditions, they became insensitive to the attractiveness of potential gains after monetary priming. These findings suggest that monetary priming may activate a business decision frame in which rewards of any size can prompt action, and proportionality is not taken into account. Our results may help explain inconsistencies in previous studies on the relationship between incentives and cheating, suggesting that unintentional monetary priming (e.g., through monetary incentives) in some experiments could mask the effects of reward size.

本研究考察了金钱启动是否会增加儿童的作弊行为,并调节奖品吸引力对其作弊行为的影响。虽然理性经济学理论认为,当激励更大时,个人会更多地作弊,但之前的研究结果并不一致。我们提出,货币启动可以解释这些复杂的结果,假设它不仅会增加作弊行为,还会影响对奖励大小的敏感性。我们进行了一项准实验研究,让7-10岁的儿童(N = 178)在参与“掷骰子”任务之前(决定他们可以获得的奖励数量)先启动(或不启动)金钱(真钱或象征性的钱)。这项任务使用了一个电子模具(DICE+),这使我们能够识别实际和自我报告的骰子滚动值。不出所料,金钱刺激(真实的和象征性的)增加了孩子们的作弊行为。此外,我们的研究结果表明,尽管参与者在非货币启动条件下更倾向于为了更有吸引力的奖品而作弊,但他们对货币启动后潜在收益的吸引力变得不敏感。这些发现表明,货币启动可能会激活一个商业决策框架,在这个框架中,任何规模的奖励都可以促使行动,而不成比例性则不被考虑在内。我们的研究结果可能有助于解释之前关于激励和欺骗之间关系的研究的不一致性,表明在一些实验中无意的货币启动(例如,通过货币激励)可能掩盖奖励大小的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does Time Pressure Alter the Affect Gap in Risky Choice? 时间压力会改变风险选择的影响差距吗?
IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70028
R. Philips, T. Pachur, C. Vögele, D. Brevers

People often exhibit systematic differences in their risky choices when decisions elicit high anticipatory affect compared to choices that are relatively affect-poor—typically showing lower decision quality and greater risk aversion. This affect gap can be modeled by assuming that people use a compensatory strategy (i.e., a strategy that weighs outcomes against their probability of occurring) in affect-poor choices, but a simple non-compensatory strategy that considers outcome but ignores probability information in affect-rich choices. The reasons for this difference in strategy selection, however, are not yet understood. To examine whether the affect gap may reflect that in affect-rich choices, cognitive resources are more strongly taxed (leading to a simplification of the underlying decision strategy), we investigated whether the affect gap is impacted by a time pressure manipulation. Participants were asked to choose between affect-rich prospects (medical lotteries) and economically equivalent but relatively affect-poor prospects (monetary lotteries), either without a time constraint or under time pressure. The results indicated that the affect gap manifested similarly under time pressure as without time pressure. Specifically, differences between affect-rich and affect-poor choices in strategy selection did not differ between time pressure conditions, and differences in decision quality and risk aversion were even slightly attenuated under time pressure. The findings suggest that the differences in decision behavior between affect-rich and affect-poor choices are not driven by cognitive constraints. We discuss the potential psychological mechanisms involved in the affect gap.

当决策引起高预期影响时,人们在做出风险选择时,往往会表现出系统性的差异,而相比之下,影响相对较差的选择通常表现出较低的决策质量和更大的风险厌恶。这种影响差距可以通过假设人们在影响差的选择中使用补偿策略(即权衡结果与其发生概率的策略),而在影响多的选择中使用考虑结果但忽略概率信息的简单非补偿策略来建模。然而,这种策略选择差异的原因尚不清楚。为了检验情感差距是否反映了在情感丰富的选择中,认知资源的消耗更大(导致潜在决策策略的简化),我们研究了情感差距是否受到时间压力操纵的影响。参与者被要求在情感丰富的前景(医疗彩票)和经济上同等但相对较差的前景(金钱彩票)之间做出选择,要么没有时间限制,要么有时间压力。结果表明,时间压力下的影响差距与没有时间压力时相似。具体而言,在不同的时间压力条件下,情感丰富和情感贫乏的策略选择差异不存在差异,在时间压力条件下,决策质量和风险厌恶的差异甚至略有减弱。研究结果表明,情感丰富和情感贫乏的决策行为差异并不是由认知约束驱动的。我们讨论了情感缺口的潜在心理机制。
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引用次数: 0
Learning Processes in the Judge–Advisor System: A Neglected Advantage of Advice Taking 法官-顾问系统中的学习过程:被忽视的听取建议的优势
IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1002/bdm.70029
Thomas Schultze, Alexander Stern, Stefan Schulz-Hardt

Previous research in the judge–advisor paradigm has focused on how judges utilize the wisdom of others by taking their advice and on the beneficial effect of receiving advice on judges' postadvice final judgments about the exact same problem. However, a completely different possibility of how judges might benefit from advice has been overlooked so far: Learning processes could improve the accuracy of judges' subsequent initial judgments from one problem to another problem on the same type of task as well. Hence, we test the assumption that advice can induce individual performance enhancements that differ as a function of the advisor's judgment accuracy. The results of three experiments support our hypothesis and indicate positive learning, particularly when participants receive high-quality advice. Furthermore, we show that external information about the advisor's accuracy is not crucial for the occurrence of these individual performance enhancements. In general, our results suggest that advice can have a positive effect on judges' subsequent initial judgments.

先前对法官-顾问范式的研究主要集中在法官如何通过接受他人的建议来利用他人的智慧,以及接受建议对法官就同一问题提出建议后的最终判断的有益影响。然而,迄今为止,法官如何从建议中受益的另一种完全不同的可能性被忽视了:学习过程也可以提高法官在同一类型任务中从一个问题到另一个问题的后续初步判断的准确性。因此,我们测试了这样一个假设,即建议可以诱导个人绩效的提高,这种提高是作为顾问判断准确性的函数而不同的。三个实验的结果支持我们的假设,并表明积极的学习,特别是当参与者得到高质量的建议时。此外,我们还表明,关于advisor的准确性的外部信息对于这些单个性能增强的发生并不重要。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,建议可以对法官随后的初步判断产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
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