Research of Pavement Performance Evaluation and Prediction System of Highway Based on Linear Regression Method

Weiwei Yan, W. Peng, Huaiyu Xu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Highway evaluation and prediction system of highway pavement is used for evaluating and predicting utilization performance on the structure of the highway pavement by adopting computer technology. Performance evaluation and prevention system of highway pavement based on linear regression method is put forward in the article. Firstly, it is to analyze the detection data on actual road and establish an evaluation index model to influence the utilization performance of the pavement to work out each performance evaluation index. Secondly, it is to establish a performance index prediction model according to the performance evaluation index and adopt the liner regression method to fit model parameters so as to obtain the optimum fitting parameters. Finally, it is to finish performance prediction in accordance with the optimum fitting parameters and draw the performance index prediction curve. The test result shows that the method can effectively predict pavement performance.
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基于线性回归方法的公路路面性能评价与预测系统研究
公路路面评价预测系统是采用计算机技术对公路路面结构的利用性能进行评价和预测的系统。提出了基于线性回归方法的公路路面性能评价与防治体系。首先,对实际道路检测数据进行分析,建立影响路面利用性能的评价指标模型,计算出各性能评价指标;其次,根据绩效评价指标建立绩效指标预测模型,采用线性回归方法对模型参数进行拟合,从而得到最优的拟合参数。最后根据最优拟合参数完成性能预测,绘制性能指标预测曲线。试验结果表明,该方法能有效地预测路面性能。
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