A Comparative Review of Specification Tests for Diffusion Models

IF 1.9 3区 数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY International Statistical Review Pub Date : 2026-08-05 Epub Date: 2025-05-29 DOI:10.1111/insr.12616
A. López-Pérez, D. Diz-Castro, M. Febrero-Bande, W. González-Manteiga
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Abstract

Diffusion models play an essential role in modelling continuous-time stochastic processes in the financial field. Therefore, several proposals have been developed in the last decades to test the specification of stochastic differential equations. We provide a survey to collect some developments on goodness-of-fit tests for diffusion models and implement some of these methods to illustrate their finite sample behaviour, regarding size and power, by means of a simulation study. We also apply the ideas of distance covariance to propose a test for the parametric specification of diffusion models, comparing its performance with the other methods and analyzing the effect of the curse of dimensionality. As real data examples, treasury securities with different maturities are considered.

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扩散模型规范试验的比较综述
扩散模型在金融领域连续时间随机过程建模中起着至关重要的作用。因此,在过去的几十年里,已经提出了几个建议来测试随机微分方程的规格。我们提供了一项调查,以收集扩散模型的拟合优度测试的一些进展,并通过模拟研究实现了其中的一些方法,以说明它们在大小和功率方面的有限样本行为。我们还应用距离协方差的思想提出了一种扩散模型参数规格的检验方法,比较了它与其他方法的性能,并分析了维数诅咒的影响。作为实际数据示例,我们考虑了不同期限的国债。
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来源期刊
International Statistical Review
International Statistical Review 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
5.00%
发文量
52
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: International Statistical Review is the flagship journal of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) and of its family of Associations. It publishes papers of broad and general interest in statistics and probability. The term Review is to be interpreted broadly. The types of papers that are suitable for publication include (but are not limited to) the following: reviews/surveys of significant developments in theory, methodology, statistical computing and graphics, statistical education, and application areas; tutorials on important topics; expository papers on emerging areas of research or application; papers describing new developments and/or challenges in relevant areas; papers addressing foundational issues; papers on the history of statistics and probability; white papers on topics of importance to the profession or society; and historical assessment of seminal papers in the field and their impact.
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