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Historical trends show more declining than increasing species among European pollinators. 历史趋势表明,在欧洲传粉媒介中,物种的减少多于物种的增加。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-11-03 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2600774123
Carlos Martínez-Núñez, François Duchenne, Natasha de Manincor, Guillaume Ghisbain, Ante Vujic, Ahlam Sentil, Marija Miličić, Denis Michez, Ignasi Bartomeus

Anthropogenic global change presents a growing threat to insect pollinators. Yet, long-term, continental-scale assessments of their population trends remain limited. Here, we leveraged a curated database of over four million occurrence records, covering 88% of extant bee and hoverfly species in Europe, to assess persistence, richness, and occupancy trends over the past century. Species persistence at the European level was relatively high, with modern records available for 87% of bee and 89% of hoverfly species. Regional richness changes were modest, with declines in the Atlantic and Continental regions for both pollinator groups. Recent increases were observed in the Alpine region for bees, but species richness remained largely stable elsewhere. At the species level, however, a more concerning picture emerged: Most bee species and about half of hoverfly species declined in occupancy. Species traits explained little variation in these trends, although there was a weak tendency for cold-adapted bees to show steeper declines than warm-adapted ones. Genera showing some of the steepest declines include parasitic or dietary specialists, though neither of these traits significantly predicted occupancy trends. Overall, we highlight clear warning signs of species population declines, but with potential recovery opportunities if we take urgent actions to reverse those trends.

人为的全球变化对传粉昆虫构成了越来越大的威胁。然而,对其人口趋势的长期的、大陆范围的评估仍然有限。在这里,我们利用了一个包含超过400万次发生记录的数据库,覆盖了欧洲现存蜜蜂和食蚜蝇物种的88%,来评估过去一个世纪的持久性、丰富度和占用趋势。欧洲的物种持久性相对较高,有87%的蜜蜂和89%的食蚜蝇物种的现代记录。区域丰富度变化不大,大西洋和大陆地区的两个传粉者群体都有所下降。最近在高山地区观察到蜜蜂的增加,但其他地方的物种丰富度基本保持稳定。然而,在物种水平上,出现了一幅更令人担忧的画面:大多数蜜蜂物种和大约一半的食蚜蝇物种的占用率下降了。物种特征解释了这些趋势的微小变化,尽管适应寒冷的蜜蜂比适应温暖的蜜蜂表现出更急剧的下降趋势。表现出一些急剧下降的属包括寄生或饮食专家,尽管这些特征都不能显著预测占用趋势。总的来说,我们强调了物种数量下降的明确警告信号,但如果我们采取紧急行动扭转这些趋势,就有潜在的恢复机会。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging existing grid infrastructure for rapid US renewable and storage deployment. 利用现有电网基础设施快速部署美国可再生能源和储能系统。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2603919123
Emilia Chojkiewicz, Umed Paliwal, Duncan Callaway, Amol Phadke

Rapid electricity demand growth, grid connection delays, and supply chain constraints create a serious risk of supply shortages and rising electricity costs in the next few years. This paper studies the strategy of adding colocated renewables and storage at existing power plants to take advantage of spare grid capacity. Using satellite imagery, we assess solar and wind potential near 3,890 U.S. fossil and renewable plants. By 2030, we find that existing fossil plants could host up to 597 GW of economically viable solar and wind without exceeding the existing interconnection capacity of each site. Existing renewable plants could host an additional 260 GW of firm capacity-comprising storage paired with added solar and wind capacity. These additions could accelerate clean energy deployment and enhance reliability and affordability, but realizing this potential is contingent upon regulatory reforms and coordinating the operational constraints of colocated resources.

电力需求的快速增长、电网连接的延迟和供应链的限制将在未来几年造成供应短缺和电力成本上升的严重风险。本文研究了在现有电厂中增加可再生能源和储能并网的策略,以充分利用电网的备用容量。利用卫星图像,我们评估了美国近3890家化石和可再生能源工厂的太阳能和风能潜力。我们发现,到2030年,现有的化石电厂可以在不超过每个站点现有互联容量的情况下,承载高达597吉瓦经济可行的太阳能和风能。现有的可再生能源发电厂可以容纳额外的260吉瓦的固定容量——包括与增加的太阳能和风能容量相结合的储能。这些新增能源可以加速清洁能源的部署,提高可靠性和可负担性,但实现这一潜力取决于监管改革和协调资源并存的运营限制。
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引用次数: 0
Biodiversity supports coastal nutrient cycling with a stable source of fish excretion. 生物多样性以稳定的鱼类排泄物来源支持沿海养分循环。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2630042123
Amanda L Subalusky
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引用次数: 0
Disentangling biases in responding from substantive effects in computational psychiatry. 从计算精神病学的实质性影响中分离出偏见。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-16 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2624329123
Claire M Gillan, Stephen M Fleming, Marion Rouault, Tricia X F Seow
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引用次数: 0
Toward cooler cities by larger homogeneous functional clusters. 由较大的同质功能集群向较冷的城市迁移。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2617717123
Xucai Zhang, Xiaobing Wei, Xiaoping Liu, Honghong Wei, Yue Zheng, Hongkai Gu, Yangzi Che, Yeran Sun, Ming Luo, Weilin Liao, Haosheng Huang, Kangning Huang

Urban heat island (UHI) intensifies heat-related risks and environmental degradation in cities worldwide, yet existing mitigation strategies have largely overlooked how the spatial scale of homogeneous functional building clusters influences local climate. This scale may matter because buildings with similar functions often share similar morphology, activity schedules, and anthropogenic heat-release patterns, allowing their spatial contiguity to shape ventilation and heat accumulation. Here, we introduce the Urban Homogeneous Scale (UHS)-an indicator that measures the spatial scale of contiguous, functionally similar building clusters-and analyze 233,844 observations across 101 global cities to assess its potential for mitigating surface UHI. We find that larger UHS is associated with lower surface UHI: every 100-meter increase in UHS corresponds to 4.5% decrease in daytime UHI. This daytime cooling effect is particularly more pronounced in inland, humid, and high-income regions. In low-income regions, larger building area and higher building volume more strongly weaken UHS cooling capacity than in wealthier regions, revealing a socioeconomic inequality in UHS's mitigation benefits. Our findings identify the spatial scale of building clusters as a essential dimension of urban form associated with urban heat burden, and suggest that considering UHS alongside targeted controls on built environmental characteristics may inform future heat-mitigation planning.

城市热岛(UHI)加剧了全球城市的热相关风险和环境退化,但现有的缓解策略在很大程度上忽视了同质功能建筑集群的空间规模如何影响当地气候。这种尺度可能很重要,因为具有相似功能的建筑通常具有相似的形态、活动时间表和人为热释放模式,从而使它们的空间连续性能够塑造通风和热量积累。在这里,我们引入了城市均匀尺度(UHS)——一个衡量连续的、功能相似的建筑群的空间尺度的指标,并分析了101个全球城市的233,844个观测结果,以评估其减轻地表UHS的潜力。我们发现,较大的UHS与较低的地表UHI相关:UHS每增加100米,对应的白天UHI减少4.5%。这种白天的降温效果在内陆、潮湿和高收入地区尤为明显。在低收入地区,较大的建筑面积和较高的建筑体量比富裕地区更强烈地削弱了UHS的制冷能力,揭示了UHS缓解效益的社会经济不平等。我们的研究结果表明,建筑集群的空间规模是与城市热负担相关的城市形态的一个重要维度,并建议将UHS与有针对性的建筑环境特征控制一起考虑,可能会为未来的热缓解规划提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
A Bering Sea marine heatwave triggers unprecedented crab hybridization, challenging fisheries management. 白令海的海洋热浪引发了前所未有的螃蟹杂交,对渔业管理提出了挑战。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2625670123
Erin J Fedewa, Emily R Ryznar, Connor P Cleary, Jennifer L Gardner, Shannon M Hennessey, W Christopher Long, Jon I Richar, Leah S Zacher, Michael A Litzow

Marine heatwaves are increasingly recognized for their capacity to generate ecological surprises, yet the pathways that propagate these unexpected responses are often poorly understood. Here, we document an unanticipated ecological response 7 y after a Bering Sea marine heatwave, in which formerly rare snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) × Tanner crab (C. bairdi) hybrid abundance increased 13.4-fold, and the proportion of commercial-sized hybrid males increased 13.1-fold, relative to historical averages. Using causal modeling, we show that the hybrid crab surge was mediated by a heatwave-induced collapse of snow crab rather than direct thermal effects on hybrid survival or increased spatial overlap between mature snow and Tanner crab. Our results reveal an indirect cascading pathway through which an extreme climate event triggered unexpected ecological consequences and unforeseen challenges for fisheries management in the Bering Sea. The dramatic increase in abundance of harvestable hybrid crab, coupled with their exclusion from existing management frameworks, highlights the vulnerability of inflexible management systems to unanticipated ecosystem responses.

人们越来越认识到海洋热浪产生生态意外的能力,但传播这些意外反应的途径往往知之甚少。在这里,我们记录了一个意想不到的生态响应,在白垩海海洋热浪之后,与历史平均水平相比,以前罕见的雪蟹(Chionoecetes opilio)和Tanner蟹(C. bairdi)杂交丰度增加了13.4倍,商业大小的杂交雄蟹比例增加了13.1倍。通过因果模型,我们发现杂交蟹的激增是由热浪引起的雪蟹崩溃介导的,而不是直接的热效应对杂交存活的影响或成熟雪蟹和坦纳蟹之间空间重叠的增加。我们的研究结果揭示了一个间接的级联路径,通过该路径,极端气候事件引发了意想不到的生态后果和对白令海渔业管理的不可预见的挑战。可收获杂交蟹数量的急剧增加,加上它们被排除在现有的管理框架之外,突出了缺乏灵活性的管理系统对意想不到的生态系统反应的脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
Correction for Matt et al., An aquaglyceroporin governs cellular water and CO2 conductance relevant for vesicular mineral formation in a marine calcifier. 对Matt等人的更正,一种水甘油oporin控制着与海洋钙化剂中水泡状矿物形成相关的细胞水和CO2电导。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2633877123
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引用次数: 0
Global origins of tuna and billfish fisheries reveal the transition from coastal access to oceanic exploitation. 金枪鱼和长嘴鱼渔业的全球起源揭示了从沿海捕捞到海洋捕捞的转变。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-16 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2512066123
Torben C Rick, Adam J Andrews, Philippe Béarez, Marcella Festa, Thiago Fossile, Mark Hudson, Melanie Janßen-Kim, Maria José Juan-Jordá, Ariana B J Lambrides, Michelle J LeFebvre, Alisa Luthra, Bonnie Newsom, Sue O'Connor, Eréndira Quintana Morales, Arthur Spiess, Claudia Zancan, Caitlin Zimmer, Emma A Elliott Smith

Ocean ecosystems have played a crucial role in people's lives around the world for millennia. However, questions persist about when, why, and how people first began removing biomass from offshore habitats and established fisheries in distant, oceanic environments. We explore the antiquity and evolution of tuna (Thunnini) and billfish (Istiophoridae/Xiphiidae) fisheries, two groups of fishes that occur around the world, are economically significant, and are ecologically important open ocean apex predators. The earliest archaeological evidence of fishing for tuna occurs ~44,000 years ago and billfish at ~10,000 years ago, with early fisheries for some tuna species appearing around the world by 3,000 to 1,000 years ago. Most early fisheries are in areas where tunas and billfishes could be accessed relatively close to shore (e.g., submarine canyons) and/or where these fishes may come inshore seasonally or during warm ocean events. Early tuna and billfish fisheries were often linked to ceremony/ritual, alongside advances in maritime technologies. With few exceptions, sustained and intensive commercial exploitation of pelagic predators in offshore and oceanic habitats is a late development in the human past, occurring primarily during the last 200 y. Our findings document a long-term continuum of human interactions with global marine ecosystems spanning thousands of years, including significant differences between the timing and pathways by which people became dominant ecological drivers in nearshore compared to offshore/oceanic ecosystems.

数千年来,海洋生态系统在世界各地人们的生活中发挥了至关重要的作用。然而,关于人们何时、为何以及如何开始从近海栖息地和在遥远的海洋环境中建立渔业中移除生物质的问题仍然存在。我们探索了金枪鱼(Thunnini)和长嘴鱼(Istiophoridae/Xiphiidae)渔业的古代和演变,这两类鱼类分布在世界各地,具有重要的经济意义和生态意义。最早的捕捞金枪鱼的考古证据出现在大约44000年前,捕捞长嘴鱼的考古证据出现在大约10000年前,而一些金枪鱼品种的早期捕捞在3000到1000年前就出现在世界各地。大多数早期渔场位于金枪鱼和长嘴鱼可以相对靠近海岸(例如,海底峡谷)和/或这些鱼类可能季节性或在温暖的海洋事件期间靠近海岸的地区。早期的金枪鱼和长嘴鱼渔业通常与仪式/仪式以及海事技术的进步有关。除了少数例外,对近海和海洋栖息地中上层捕食者的持续和密集的商业开发是人类过去的晚期发展,主要发生在最近200年。我们的研究结果记录了人类与全球海洋生态系统的长期持续互动,跨越数千年。包括与近海/海洋生态系统相比,人类成为近岸生态系统主要生态驱动因素的时间和途径之间的显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Geography of groundwater use and depletion in internationally shared aquifers. 国际共享含水层的地下水使用和枯竭地理学。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-19 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2619357123
Marc F Müller, Kyle F Davis, Julie Faure, Davide Danilo Chiarelli, Fengwei Hung

Transboundary aquifers (TBAs) underlie 35% of global groundwater-irrigated cropland, yet few are covered by formal cooperative arrangements. Whether this limited cooperation is consequential depends in part on where groundwater is used within shared aquifers, because pumping far from international borders may generate little cross-border impact. Combining [Formula: see text]116,000 well observations with global irrigation data across all 426 known TBAs, we assess how groundwater use and depletion differ from comparable domestic systems and how they are distributed relative to international borders. While we find no evidence of greater average depletion in TBAs, depletion is more strongly concentrated toward international borders in shared aquifers and varies substantially across systems. Irrigation is also more intensive and concentrated toward borders in shared aquifers, although much of this pattern is attenuated after accounting for border rivers. Groundwater-supplied irrigation remains more border-proximate after accounting for these rivers. A dyad-level typology distinguishes shared systems according to where groundwater demand is concentrated, linking their potential for cross-border interaction to different management options. These findings suggest that transboundary groundwater governance should be organized around the geography of groundwater use and potential cross-border interactions rather than treating shared aquifers as uniform governance units.

跨界含水层(TBAs)占全球地下水灌溉农田的35%,但很少有正式的合作安排。这种有限的合作是否有意义,部分取决于地下水在共享含水层中的使用位置,因为在远离国际边界的地方抽水可能不会产生跨境影响。结合所有426个已知tba的11.6万口井观测数据和全球灌溉数据,我们评估了地下水的使用和枯竭与可比较的国内系统有何不同,以及它们相对于国际边界的分布情况。虽然我们没有发现tba平均耗损更大的证据,但耗损更强烈地集中在共同含水层的国际边界,并且在不同系统之间差异很大。灌溉也更加密集,集中在共享含水层的边界,尽管考虑到边界河流后,这种模式的大部分减弱了。考虑到这些河流,地下水灌溉仍然更接近边界。二级类型学根据地下水需求集中的地方区分共享系统,将其跨境互动的潜力与不同的管理选择联系起来。这些发现表明,跨界地下水治理应该围绕地下水使用的地理和潜在的跨境相互作用来组织,而不是将共享的含水层视为统一的治理单元。
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引用次数: 0
Nutrient legacies from elephant megacarcasses create coldspots of biodiversity and hotspots of ecosystem processes. 大象巨型尸体的营养遗产造成了生物多样性的冷点和生态系统过程的热点。
IF 9.5 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-27 Epub Date: 2026-10-12 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2605332123
Courtney G Reed, Nathan P Lemoine, Michelle L Budny, Vincent C Clarke, Johan T du Toit, Ryan Helcoski, Helga Knoetze, Jane M Lucas, Joshua P Schimel, Izak P J Smit, Tercia Strydom, Aimee G Tallian, Dave I Thompson, Deron E Burkepile

Terrestrial megafauna (animals >1,000 kg) have substantial impacts on ecosystems while alive; yet, we know little about the impacts of these ecosystem engineers after they die. Like whale carcasses in the ocean, terrestrial megacarcasses may leave ecological legacies via the nutrient pulses they create on the landscape. Here, we investigated the impact of elephant megacarcasses on savanna ecosystems in Kruger National Park, South Africa. To determine how elephant carcasses affect below- and aboveground biodiversity and ecosystem processes, we collected soil and plant samples from 40 carcass sites (pairing "on carcass" and "off carcass" samples) ranging from 8 d to 7.7 y postmortem. We found that elephant carcasses released enormous pools of nutrients into savanna soils, increasing ammonium by 31×, nitrate by 7×, and phosphorus by 3× on average. These extreme ammonium concentrations were negatively correlated with the biodiversity of bacteria and plants, which were both suppressed at elephant carcass sites. Despite these decreases in biodiversity, ecosystem processes were strongly elevated at elephant carcass sites, with soil microbial respiration elevated for 1 to 2 y and herbivore grazing >3× higher for 7+ y postmortem. These results demonstrate that elephant megacarcasses generate coldspots of biodiversity but hotspots of ecosystem processes, unveiling a cryptic ecological function of megaherbivores that is extreme in both magnitude and duration relative to carcasses of smaller animals. As humans drive terrestrial megafauna toward extinction, we risk losing not only their ecosystem engineering abilities while they are alive but also the ecological legacies their carcasses create after death.

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引用次数: 0
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