Lotte Thomsen, Shyamain Wickramasingha, Adrian Smith
Global production networks (GPNs) are currently impacted by multiple crises. Yet, crises have received little attention in GPN scholarship. This article shows how the entangled drivers of polycrisis affect the economic geographies of suppliers and their integration into GPNs. It develops an analytical framework for exploration of accumulated uncertainties in conjunctural moments of polycrisis. The management of unknown ‘uncertainties’ other than ‘risk’ for lead firms is a key element. Focusing on Bangladesh’s apparel industry, this article explores the industry’s responses and struggles, and provides insights into the wider processes of inclusion and exclusion in the global economy during polycrisis.
{"title":"Polycrisis and global production networks: a framework for understanding industry dynamics in times of accumulated uncertainty","authors":"Lotte Thomsen, Shyamain Wickramasingha, Adrian Smith","doi":"10.1093/jeg/lbag066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbag066","url":null,"abstract":"Global production networks (GPNs) are currently impacted by multiple crises. Yet, crises have received little attention in GPN scholarship. This article shows how the entangled drivers of polycrisis affect the economic geographies of suppliers and their integration into GPNs. It develops an analytical framework for exploration of accumulated uncertainties in conjunctural moments of polycrisis. The management of unknown ‘uncertainties’ other than ‘risk’ for lead firms is a key element. Focusing on Bangladesh’s apparel industry, this article explores the industry’s responses and struggles, and provides insights into the wider processes of inclusion and exclusion in the global economy during polycrisis.","PeriodicalId":48251,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Geography","volume":"73 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2026-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149221367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-10-19DOI: 10.1007/s11187-026-01291-8
Serghei Musaji, Qiong Wu, Julio De Castro
{"title":"Body shifted, soul not: migrant identity, social inclusion, and small business success","authors":"Serghei Musaji, Qiong Wu, Julio De Castro","doi":"10.1007/s11187-026-01291-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-026-01291-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":21803,"journal":{"name":"Small Business Economics","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149221373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Book review forum: Why transportation fails: Critiques from South Africa and beyond","authors":"Yingling Fan,Lisa Seftel,Christo Venter,Astrid Wood","doi":"10.1177/00420980261495911","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980261495911","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51350,"journal":{"name":"Urban Studies","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-10-17DOI: 10.1007/s11187-026-01286-5
Gustavo Barboza,Alessandro Braga,Aubin Duchier
Abstract Why do some regions achieve higher levels of economic development while others do not? This paper introduces the Agglomeration-Clustering-Knowledge Spillovers (AC-KS) model, a conceptual framework for better understanding the nature of such differences. We argue that the missing piece of this puzzle is the process by which localized anchors ignite dynamic triangular forces between agglomeration, clustering, and knowledge spillovers, setting in motion a life cycle of first- and second-generation knowledge spillover effects. In this framework, we conceptualize that the spread and positive effects related to knowledge spillovers are governed by the strength-length-completeness triad of the triangularity relationship among agglomeration, clustering, and knowledge spillovers. These interactions then result in conical shapes whose base area and height, respectively, capture decaying effects of geographic reach and local intensity of knowledge-spillover entrepreneurship. The model’s originality lies in its geometric characterization of knowledge spillovers and in integrating fragmented literatures on the relationship among agglomeration, clusters, and knowledge spillovers. Its value is both theoretical and practical: the framework predicts when benefits concentrate or diffuse, offering diagnostic guidance for balancing reach (base) and intensity (height) across the knowledge spillover lifecycle stages of spark, expansion, and decline.
{"title":"The shapes of knowledge spillovers: the AC-KS model","authors":"Gustavo Barboza,Alessandro Braga,Aubin Duchier","doi":"10.1007/s11187-026-01286-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-026-01286-5","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Why do some regions achieve higher levels of economic development while others do not? This paper introduces the Agglomeration-Clustering-Knowledge Spillovers (AC-KS) model, a conceptual framework for better understanding the nature of such differences. We argue that the missing piece of this puzzle is the process by which localized anchors ignite dynamic triangular forces between agglomeration, clustering, and knowledge spillovers, setting in motion a life cycle of first- and second-generation knowledge spillover effects. In this framework, we conceptualize that the spread and positive effects related to knowledge spillovers are governed by the strength-length-completeness triad of the triangularity relationship among agglomeration, clustering, and knowledge spillovers. These interactions then result in conical shapes whose base area and height, respectively, capture decaying effects of geographic reach and local intensity of knowledge-spillover entrepreneurship. The model’s originality lies in its geometric characterization of knowledge spillovers and in integrating fragmented literatures on the relationship among agglomeration, clusters, and knowledge spillovers. Its value is both theoretical and practical: the framework predicts when benefits concentrate or diffuse, offering diagnostic guidance for balancing reach (base) and intensity (height) across the knowledge spillover lifecycle stages of spark, expansion, and decline. ","PeriodicalId":21803,"journal":{"name":"Small Business Economics","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210787","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
As algorithmic pricing becomes more prevalent, understanding consumer responses to AI-set prices is increasingly important. Across two experiments with Chilean students (N = 165) and U.S. consumers (N = 631), we examined how the price-setting agent (AI vs. human) and price format (round vs. just-below) influence consumer responses. Study 1 provides directional evidence that consumers respond less favorably to AI-set prices and supports a preference for round over just-below prices when pricing is attributed to AI. Study 2 supports the less favorable response to AI pricing and provides directional evidence for the predicted price-format effect. Importantly, Study 2 provides evidence consistent with perceived manipulation as an underlying mechanism: just-below prices heighten perceptions that AI pricing is intended to influence or exploit consumers, reducing recommendation likelihood and purchase intention. These findings extend research on algorithmic pricing, psychological pricing, and digital nudging.
{"title":"When AI Sets the Price: How Consumers Interpret Price Formats and Intent","authors":"Alvaro Chacon, Ricardo Limongi","doi":"10.1111/joca.70080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/joca.70080","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>As algorithmic pricing becomes more prevalent, understanding consumer responses to AI-set prices is increasingly important. Across two experiments with Chilean students (<i>N</i> = 165) and U.S. consumers (<i>N</i> = 631), we examined how the price-setting agent (AI vs. human) and price format (round vs. just-below) influence consumer responses. Study 1 provides directional evidence that consumers respond less favorably to AI-set prices and supports a preference for round over just-below prices when pricing is attributed to AI. Study 2 supports the less favorable response to AI pricing and provides directional evidence for the predicted price-format effect. Importantly, Study 2 provides evidence consistent with perceived manipulation as an underlying mechanism: just-below prices heighten perceptions that AI pricing is intended to influence or exploit consumers, reducing recommendation likelihood and purchase intention. These findings extend research on algorithmic pricing, psychological pricing, and digital nudging.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47976,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Consumer Affairs","volume":"60 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149206042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joseph Goeb, Bart Minten, Thomas Reardon, A Myint Zu, May Thet Htar
Increased vertical integration and coordination are defining features of transforming and modernising agricultural value chains in low‐ and middle‐income countries, with important implications for market efficiency and farm‐level transformation. However, research documenting these processes in transforming domestic value chains is limited, with existing studies largely focusing on large firms, foreign direct investment and high‐value food products, leaving less understood how domestic processors in staple food value chains expand into complementary businesses and services. We study these processes in the rice value chain—the most important staple in Southeast Asia—in Myanmar, using unique large‐scale data from domestic rice mills and farmers. We show that both modern and traditional mills serve as key nodes in local rice value chains, fulfilling diverse roles beyond processing at both the farm and post‐harvest levels. Yet, statistical tests that control for mill and farmer characteristics, respectively, show that modern mills are more engaged in vertical integration and coordination, particularly in post‐harvest value chain segments, highlighting the co‐development of modern processing and business expansion. Consistent with this pattern in the miller data, farmers using a modern mill are more likely to receive complementary services—especially post‐harvest—and to adopt modern production practices more broadly. However, this expansion is uneven, with services reaching large farms more frequently than small and medium farms.
{"title":"Vertical Integration and Coordination in Modernising Staple Food Value Chains: Evidence From Myanmar's Rice Sector","authors":"Joseph Goeb, Bart Minten, Thomas Reardon, A Myint Zu, May Thet Htar","doi":"10.1111/1477-9552.70088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.70088","url":null,"abstract":"Increased vertical integration and coordination are defining features of transforming and modernising agricultural value chains in low‐ and middle‐income countries, with important implications for market efficiency and farm‐level transformation. However, research documenting these processes in transforming domestic value chains is limited, with existing studies largely focusing on large firms, foreign direct investment and high‐value food products, leaving less understood how domestic processors in staple food value chains expand into complementary businesses and services. We study these processes in the rice value chain—the most important staple in Southeast Asia—in Myanmar, using unique large‐scale data from domestic rice mills and farmers. We show that both modern and traditional mills serve as key nodes in local rice value chains, fulfilling diverse roles beyond processing at both the farm and post‐harvest levels. Yet, statistical tests that control for mill and farmer characteristics, respectively, show that modern mills are more engaged in vertical integration and coordination, particularly in post‐harvest value chain segments, highlighting the co‐development of modern processing and business expansion. Consistent with this pattern in the miller data, farmers using a modern mill are more likely to receive complementary services—especially post‐harvest—and to adopt modern production practices more broadly. However, this expansion is uneven, with services reaching large farms more frequently than small and medium farms.","PeriodicalId":14994,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Agricultural Economics","volume":"85 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149199018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-10-16DOI: 10.1177/00420980261492209
Munqeth Othman Agha
Syrian cities experienced extensive destruction during the 2011–2024 conflict, much of it inflicted by the Assad regime. Yet destruction did not end with the cessation of local hostilities; it persisted in formerly opposition-controlled enclaves through organized looting and mass municipal demolitions. This article asks why destruction was disproportionately concentrated in informal and formerly opposition-controlled areas, and especially at their intersection. It argues that these patterns were intentional, serving the regime’s double war: a military war to defeat the armed opposition, and an urban-economic war to incorporate undesirable urban forms into real-estate accumulation. Combining spatial autocorrelation analysis with Bayesian negative binomial and penalized logistic models across Damascus, Aleppo, and Homs, the study shows that destruction was spatially structured, concentrating where informality and opposition-control intersect, which jointly predict destruction beyond military necessity. This logic persisted across wartime, post-capture, and post-conflict periods. Urbicide thus operates as a dual-purpose modality for authoritarian urbanism: a wartime tactic and a mechanism of post-conflict socioeconomic reordering.
{"title":"Winning the double war: Urbicide, informality, and reconstruction in Syrian cities after 2011","authors":"Munqeth Othman Agha","doi":"10.1177/00420980261492209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980261492209","url":null,"abstract":"Syrian cities experienced extensive destruction during the 2011–2024 conflict, much of it inflicted by the Assad regime. Yet destruction did not end with the cessation of local hostilities; it persisted in formerly opposition-controlled enclaves through organized looting and mass municipal demolitions. This article asks why destruction was disproportionately concentrated in informal and formerly opposition-controlled areas, and especially at their intersection. It argues that these patterns were intentional, serving the regime’s double war: a military war to defeat the armed opposition, and an urban-economic war to incorporate undesirable urban forms into real-estate accumulation. Combining spatial autocorrelation analysis with Bayesian negative binomial and penalized logistic models across Damascus, Aleppo, and Homs, the study shows that destruction was spatially structured, concentrating where informality and opposition-control intersect, which jointly predict destruction beyond military necessity. This logic persisted across wartime, post-capture, and post-conflict periods. Urbicide thus operates as a dual-purpose modality for authoritarian urbanism: a wartime tactic and a mechanism of post-conflict socioeconomic reordering.","PeriodicalId":51350,"journal":{"name":"Urban Studies","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149198905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-10-16DOI: 10.1177/00420980261493801
Jaeyong Yoo, Patryk Babiarz
Residential mobility shapes labor markets, housing demand, infrastructure needs, and regional development in the United States. Policymakers rely on official migration data to monitor population movements, but these data are often released after the underlying moves have occurred. Because many households search online for jobs, housing, cost of living, schools, climate, and other destination-specific information before moving, online search activity may provide early signals of migration interest. This study examines whether Google Trends data improve the prediction of U.S. interstate migration flows. Using Internal Revenue Service state-to-state migration records and Google Trends data for all 50 states and the District of Columbia from 2004 to 2018, the study estimates gravity-based panel models of unilateral out-migration and bilateral origin-destination flows. The results show that migration-related search intensity is associated with subsequent migration flows and improves predictive performance beyond conventional gravity-model covariates and fixed effects. These findings suggest that Google Trends data can serve as a timely complement to administrative migration records. Search data do not replace official statistics, but they can help identify emerging migration patterns before administrative data become available.
{"title":"Predicting U.S. migration flows with online search data","authors":"Jaeyong Yoo, Patryk Babiarz","doi":"10.1177/00420980261493801","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980261493801","url":null,"abstract":"Residential mobility shapes labor markets, housing demand, infrastructure needs, and regional development in the United States. Policymakers rely on official migration data to monitor population movements, but these data are often released after the underlying moves have occurred. Because many households search online for jobs, housing, cost of living, schools, climate, and other destination-specific information before moving, online search activity may provide early signals of migration interest. This study examines whether Google Trends data improve the prediction of U.S. interstate migration flows. Using Internal Revenue Service state-to-state migration records and Google Trends data for all 50 states and the District of Columbia from 2004 to 2018, the study estimates gravity-based panel models of unilateral out-migration and bilateral origin-destination flows. The results show that migration-related search intensity is associated with subsequent migration flows and improves predictive performance beyond conventional gravity-model covariates and fixed effects. These findings suggest that Google Trends data can serve as a timely complement to administrative migration records. Search data do not replace official statistics, but they can help identify emerging migration patterns before administrative data become available.","PeriodicalId":51350,"journal":{"name":"Urban Studies","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149198953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-10-16DOI: 10.1177/00420980261492432
Taylor Davey
Climate budgeting aims to integrate carbon accounting into municipal financial budgeting, promising to align annual spending decisions with long-term emissions targets. Yet limited attention has been given to how this calculative framework operates within existing administrative practices and contested political contexts. This article examines the City of Edmonton’s 2022 Carbon Budget, the first municipal climate budget implemented in North America. Drawing on interviews, policy documents, and observations of public budget deliberations, it traces how carbon metrics were developed, applied to budget profiles, and interpreted by administrators and councillors. The analysis finds that efforts to translate climate impacts into conventional fiscal formats encountered substantial methodological limits. Most investments could not be quantified, indirect and longer-term effects remained excluded, and aggregated results suggested proposed climate investments would have little effect on Edmonton’s emissions pathway. Rather than increasing transparency or building consensus, the project intensified disagreements over municipal responsibilities, public support, and the justification of climate spending. Comparison with Oslo demonstrates that climate budgeting’s effects may depend less on technical design than on the political authority, administrative capacity, and institutional relationships within which it operates. Climate budgeting should be understood not as a transferable accounting solution, but as a situated deliberative framework that makes some climate impacts visible while reorganizing, rather than resolving, political contestation.
{"title":"The politics of calculative tools in practice: Climate budgeting in Edmonton","authors":"Taylor Davey","doi":"10.1177/00420980261492432","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980261492432","url":null,"abstract":"Climate budgeting aims to integrate carbon accounting into municipal financial budgeting, promising to align annual spending decisions with long-term emissions targets. Yet limited attention has been given to how this calculative framework operates within existing administrative practices and contested political contexts. This article examines the City of Edmonton’s 2022 Carbon Budget, the first municipal climate budget implemented in North America. Drawing on interviews, policy documents, and observations of public budget deliberations, it traces how carbon metrics were developed, applied to budget profiles, and interpreted by administrators and councillors. The analysis finds that efforts to translate climate impacts into conventional fiscal formats encountered substantial methodological limits. Most investments could not be quantified, indirect and longer-term effects remained excluded, and aggregated results suggested proposed climate investments would have little effect on Edmonton’s emissions pathway. Rather than increasing transparency or building consensus, the project intensified disagreements over municipal responsibilities, public support, and the justification of climate spending. Comparison with Oslo demonstrates that climate budgeting’s effects may depend less on technical design than on the political authority, administrative capacity, and institutional relationships within which it operates. Climate budgeting should be understood not as a transferable accounting solution, but as a situated deliberative framework that makes some climate impacts visible while reorganizing, rather than resolving, political contestation.","PeriodicalId":51350,"journal":{"name":"Urban Studies","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149198908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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