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Institutional Design, Outside Director Effectiveness, and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from Japan's 2015 Hybrid Board Reform* 制度设计、外部董事效能与股价崩盘风险:来自日本2015年混合董事会改革的证据*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-10-14 Epub Date: 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70044
Baiqiao Yin

This study investigates the effect of a hybrid board structure that combines Anglo-American principles with traditional Japanese practices on stock price crash risk. The 2015 amendment to Japan's Companies Act introduced the Audit and Supervisory Committee (ASC) structure, designed to strengthen outside directors' effectiveness through enhanced statutory authority, improved information access, and greater influence over board decisions. Using panel data from Japanese listed firms from 2013 to 2019 and employing a difference-in-differences approach, this study finds that ASC adoption significantly reduces future crash risk. This effect is more pronounced in firms with higher board independence and those with female outside directors, which benefit more from the institutional advantages of ASC adoption. However, the “unnatural selection” of outside directors weakens this relationship, indicating that formal compliance alone is insufficient to improve governance outcomes. Overall, the findings suggest that hybrid board structures can achieve broad acceptance while enhancing the effectiveness of outside directors when tailored to local institutional contexts, offering practical guidance for reforms in insider-dominated economies.

本研究探讨了英美原则与日本传统做法相结合的混合型董事会结构对股价崩盘风险的影响。2015年日本《公司法》修正案引入了审计与监督委员会(ASC)结构,旨在通过加强法定权力、改善信息获取和对董事会决策的更大影响力来加强外部董事的有效性。本研究利用2013年至2019年日本上市公司的面板数据,采用差异中的差异方法,发现采用ASC显著降低了未来的崩溃风险。这种效应在董事会独立性较高的公司和拥有女性外部董事的公司中更为明显,这些公司从采用ASC的制度优势中获益更多。然而,外部董事的“非自然选择”削弱了这种关系,表明仅靠形式上的合规不足以改善治理结果。总体而言,研究结果表明,混合董事会结构可以获得广泛接受,同时根据当地制度背景进行调整,可以提高外部董事的有效性,为内部人主导的经济体的改革提供实用指导。
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引用次数: 0
Developing Predictive and Explainable Models for Cryptocurrency Delistings: A Case Study of Binance Exchange 开发加密货币退市的预测和可解释模型:以币安交易所为例
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-10-14 Epub Date: 2026-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70045
Sungju Yang, Hunyeong Kwon

This study develops an explainable machine learning model to predict cryptocurrency delistings using Binance data. It combines quantitative indicators (price, volume) with qualitative data from real-time news and Reddit. Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) is used to extract topic trends and community reactions, which are transformed into time-series features. XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost are compared, with SHAP applied for model interpretability. Results show that sharp price drops, repeated risk-topic exposure, and Reddit responses strongly predict delisting. XGBoost achieves the best performance, offering practical insights for early warning systems and investor protection.

本研究开发了一个可解释的机器学习模型,使用Binance数据预测加密货币退市。它结合了定量指标(价格、交易量)和来自实时新闻和Reddit的定性数据。利用潜狄利克雷分配(Latent Dirichlet Allocation, LDA)提取话题趋势和社区反应,并将其转化为时间序列特征。比较XGBoost、LightGBM和CatBoost,采用SHAP进行模型可解释性分析。结果显示,价格大幅下跌,反复的风险话题曝光,以及Reddit的回应强烈预测了退市。XGBoost实现了最佳性能,为预警系统和投资者保护提供了实用的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Temporal Duality of Insider Share Pledging: Short-Term Incentives and Long-Term Discipline in Korean Firms* 内部人股权质押的时间二元性:韩国公司的短期激励与长期约束*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-10-14 Epub Date: 2026-03-05 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70038
Sojeong Ahn, Jiyoon Lee, Hyun-Han Shin

This study analyzes the temporal duality of insider share pledging in Korea using a regulation-based definition of insiders. We show that short-term pledging firms exhibit superior performance, higher value, and lower volatility, coincident with upward earnings management for price support. In the long term, enhanced external monitoring disciplines this opportunism, reducing earnings management and volatility. Consequently, pledging functions as a dynamic process—evolving from a short-term incentive mechanism into a long-term disciplinary force—rather than a static tool, highlighting the importance of considering time-varying effects when evaluating the governance implications of pledging.

本研究使用基于监管的内部人定义来分析韩国内部人股权质押的时间二元性。我们发现,短期质押公司表现出卓越的业绩、更高的价值和更低的波动性,与向上的盈余管理相一致,以支持价格。从长期来看,加强外部监控可以约束这种机会主义,减少盈余管理和波动性。因此,承诺是一个动态过程,从短期激励机制演变为长期纪律力量,而不是一个静态工具,这突出了在评估承诺的治理影响时考虑时变效应的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Data Assets Textual Information Disclosure and Bond Credit Spreads: Evidence from China* 数据资产文本信息披露与债券信用价差:来自中国的证据*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-10-14 Epub Date: 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70042
Huaili Lyu, Qianqian Qiu, Jiayuan Li, Ziqiao Yan

Based on the data information disclosure practices in recent years, data assets emerged as a critical economic resource in China. This study employs textual analysis of bond prospectuses to develop a measure for data assets disclosure and investigates its influence on bond pricing. Empirical results demonstrate data assets disclosure significantly reduces bond credit spreads. Mechanism tests confirm that corporate data assets disclosure reduces bond credit spreads by mitigating information asymmetry. Further analysis shows that the effect of transactional data assets is significantly stronger than that of operational data assets. Text readability analysis reveals that poor text readability weakens the mitigating effect of data assets disclosure on credit spreads. The initial disclosure of data assets led to a greater reduction in credit spreads than that of time series variation. This study advances the credit spreads literature by quantifying the informational value of data assets in bond markets.

基于近年来的数据信息披露实践,数据资产已成为中国重要的经济资源。本研究以债券招股说明书为研究对象,采用文本分析的方法,研究数据资产披露对债券定价的影响。实证结果表明,数据资产披露显著降低了债券信用利差。机制检验证实,企业数据资产披露通过缓解信息不对称而降低债券信用利差。进一步分析表明,事务性数据资产的影响明显强于经营性数据资产。文本可读性分析表明,文本可读性差削弱了数据资产披露对信用利差的缓解作用。与时间序列变化相比,初始披露数据资产导致的信贷息差降幅更大。本研究通过量化债券市场数据资产的信息价值来推进信用价差文献。
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引用次数: 0
Government Credit Support and Post-Policy Spillovers in Bank Lending: Evidence from Korea During COVID-19* 政府信贷支持和银行贷款的政策后溢出效应:来自新冠肺炎期间韩国的证据*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-08-25 Epub Date: 2026-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70050
Munbak Choe, Joon Chae

This paper examines whether Korea's COVID-19 credit support programs generated spillover effects on bank lending to riskier firms. While banks extended relatively more credit to riskier eligible SMEs during the policy period (2020), lending to riskier non-eligible firms also increased in the post-policy period (2021–2022), indicating a spillover beyond directly targeted firms. This post-policy increase is concentrated among banks with limited regulatory capital headroom and high exposure to policy-eligible lending. The evidence is strongest for Z-score and Leverage and is supported by pre-policy trend tests, firm fixed effects, and additional post-policy interactions of firm characteristics.

本文考察了韩国的COVID-19信贷支持计划是否对银行向风险较高的企业提供贷款产生了溢出效应。虽然银行在政策期间(2020年)向风险较高的合格中小企业提供了相对更多的信贷,但在政策后时期(2021-2022年),对风险较高的不合格企业的贷款也有所增加,表明溢出效应超出了直接针对的企业。政策出台后的这种增长主要集中在监管资本空间有限、政策性贷款敞口高的银行。z分数和杠杆的证据是最强的,并得到政策前趋势测试、企业固定效应和企业特征的额外政策后相互作用的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Haircut Rigidity, Default Risk, and Bankruptcy Resolution in the Korean Repurchase Agreement Market* 韩国回购协议市场的剪值刚性、违约风险与破产清算*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-08-25 Epub Date: 2026-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70055
Min Soo Yu, Inkee Jang

We study repurchase agreement contracting in the Korean market, where the post-2020 minimum-margin framework and associated market practice make haircut adjustment relatively constrained. We develop a two-period model with strategic default, costly information acquisition, and an effective lower bound on haircut adjustment. The model yields three regimes that differ in whether debt remains information insensitive. Haircut rigidity does not eliminate risk; it reallocates risk adjustment toward repo rates, funding quantities, and, when information acquisition is cheap, screening. Extending the model to central clearing, we show that a weaker collateral constraint may be welfare-improving if a central counterparty reduces effective default exposure through novation, multilateral netting, centralized margining, and default-management arrangements. This policy implication is conditional on exposure reduction being large relative to implementation and participation costs.

我们研究了韩国市场的回购协议收缩,在韩国,2020年后最低保证金框架和相关的市场实践使得削发调整相对受限。我们建立了一个包含战略违约、昂贵的信息获取和减记调整的有效下界的两期模型。该模型得出了三种不同的制度,即债务是否仍然对信息不敏感。剪发刚性并不能消除风险;它将风险调整重新分配到回购利率、融资数量,以及在信息获取成本较低时进行筛选。将模型扩展到中央清算,我们表明,如果中央交易对手通过创新、多边净额结算、集中保证金和违约管理安排来减少有效的违约风险,那么较弱的抵押品约束可能会改善福利。这一政策影响的条件是相对于执行和参与成本而言,减少暴露的程度很大。
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引用次数: 0
Can the Establishment of Bankruptcy Courts Improve Firm Investment Efficiency? Evidence from China 破产法院的设立能否提高企业投资效率?来自中国的证据
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-08-25 Epub Date: 2026-03-02 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70040
Xiangjun Fan, Yuetang Wang, Yuan Yuan

This paper examines the impact of the establishment of bankruptcy courts on firms' investment efficiency in China. The results show that the establishment of bankruptcy courts significantly enhances the investment efficiency of local firms. We identify the trust effect and the deterrence effect as the key mechanisms through which bankruptcy courts improve investment efficiency. The impact is particularly pronounced in firms located in better legal environments, among privately owned firms, and within firms characterized by lower internal control quality. These findings provide novel evidence on the economic consequences of judicial reform.

本文考察了在中国设立破产法院对企业投资效率的影响。结果表明,破产法院的设立显著提高了地方企业的投资效率。我们认为信托效应和威慑效应是破产法院提高投资效率的关键机制。这种影响在法律环境较好的公司、私营公司和内部控制质量较低的公司中尤为明显。这些发现为司法改革的经济后果提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Credit Market Frictions and Bankruptcy Law Design—Implications for Korea* 信贷市场摩擦与破产法设计——对韩国的启示*
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-08-25 Epub Date: 2026-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70043
David Schoenherr

Bankruptcy law design has important implications for financial markets and economic growth. As bankruptcy law design interacts with local economic and political conditions, it is important to consider these factors when designing optimal bankruptcy law. This paper first describes major credit market frictions and how they interact with bankruptcy law design. After introducing important aspects of the Korean bankruptcy system, the paper discusses how economic, political, and cultural factors in Korea interact with bankruptcy law design. Based on this analysis, the paper derives implications for optimal bankruptcy design in Korea.

破产法的设计对金融市场和经济增长有着重要的影响。由于破产法设计与当地的经济和政治条件相互影响,因此在设计最优破产法时考虑这些因素是很重要的。本文首先描述了信贷市场的主要摩擦及其与破产法设计的相互作用。在介绍了韩国破产制度的重要方面之后,本文讨论了韩国的经济、政治和文化因素如何与破产法设计相互作用。在此基础上,本文提出了对韩国最优破产设计的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Negative ESG Premiums: Preference-Driven or Risk-Driven?* 负ESG溢价:偏好驱动还是风险驱动?*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-06-05 Epub Date: 2026-02-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70032
Na Liu, Yun Han, Fang Zhang, Wen Hua Sun

We use the implied cost of capital as a proxy for future expected returns and investigate the existence of an environmental, social, and governance (ESG) premium in China's A-share market. Our results show that high ESG stocks yield lower expected returns than low ESG stocks, with risk compensation being the primary driver of this negative ESG premium. Furthermore, we provide an explanation from a risk compensation mechanism of why ESG investment continues to grow despite the presence of a negative ESG premium.

我们使用隐含资本成本作为未来预期回报的代理,并调查中国a股市场中环境、社会和治理(ESG)溢价的存在。我们的研究结果表明,高ESG股票的预期回报率低于低ESG股票,风险补偿是这种负ESG溢价的主要驱动因素。此外,我们从风险补偿机制解释了为什么尽管存在负ESG溢价,ESG投资仍在继续增长。
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引用次数: 0
Does Independent Directors' Participation Matter in Interactive Information Exchange? Evidence from Earnings Communication Conferences in China* 独立董事参与互动信息交流是否重要?来自中国盈余沟通会议的证据*
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-06-05 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1111/ajfs.70033
Jingxin Li, Yong Ye

The study examines how independent directors’ (IDs’) participation in earnings communication conferences (ECCs) influences the quality of investor-management interactions. Using question-and-answer transcripts from Chinese ECCs, we construct a multidimensional measure of interaction quality that incorporates semantic relevance (via Sentence-BERT embeddings), response readability, and information content. We find that IDs' participation significantly enhances interaction quality. Mechanism analyses suggest that this effect operates through diligence signaling, real-time oversight, and reputational incentives. The enhancement is more pronounced when IDs are female, younger, have longer tenure, or hold fewer concurrent directorships. Moreover, the marginal benefit is greater when multiple IDs attend the ECC. Finally, we show that IDs' participation amplifies the positive capital market reaction to high-quality interactions. These findings highlight the critical role of IDs in promoting effective interactive information exchange.

本研究探讨了独立董事参与盈余沟通会议(ECCs)如何影响投资者-管理层互动的质量。使用中文ECCs的问答文本,我们构建了一个多维度的交互质量度量,包括语义相关性(通过句子bert嵌入)、响应可读性和信息内容。我们发现id的参与显著提高了交互质量。机制分析表明,这种效应通过勤勉信号、实时监督和声誉激励来发挥作用。当id为女性、较年轻、任期较长或同时担任董事职位较少时,这种增强更为明显。此外,当多个id参加ECC时,边际效益更大。最后,我们证明了id的参与放大了资本市场对高质量互动的积极反应。这些发现突出了id在促进有效的交互式信息交换方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies
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