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Journal of Corporate Finance Research / Корпоративные Финансы | ISSN: 2073-0438最新文献

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The Impact of Disclosing Digitalization Information on Corporate Financial Performance 披露数字化信息对企业财务绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.56-69
Elena Fedorova, P. Drogovoz, Alexander Nevredinov
The purpose of the present study is to assess the relationship between digitalization disclosure indicators and market capitalization in the Russian market, including during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research methodology includes text analysis to evaluate various components of digital transformation (business model transformation, process transformation, domain transformation, organization transformation) and digitalization. The model was assessed using panel regression and machine learning methods. The empirical basis of the study included financial indicators of 70 Russian companies and annual reports for 2017–2021. The main results are: 1) wider disclosure of information about digitalization in the annual reports of Russian companies increased company market capitalization; 2) the transformation of processes and organizationswas highly significant for Russian companies; 3) the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated digitalization and led to a partial catch-up in the level of digitalization among less advanced companies. The results of this study can be used by investors and company management to develop more competent and comprehensive digital policies.
本研究旨在评估俄罗斯市场数字化披露指标与市场资本化之间的关系,包括在 COVID-19 大流行期间。研究方法包括文本分析,以评估数字化转型(业务模式转型、流程转型、领域转型、组织转型)和数字化的各个组成部分。使用面板回归和机器学习方法对模型进行了评估。研究的实证基础包括 70 家俄罗斯公司的财务指标和 2017-2021 年的年度报告。主要结果如下1)在俄罗斯公司年度报告中更广泛地披露数字化信息提高了公司市值;2)流程和组织转型对俄罗斯公司意义重大;3)COVID-19 大流行加速了数字化进程,并导致较落后公司的数字化水平部分赶超。投资者和公司管理层可利用本研究的结果来制定更有效、更全面的数字化政策。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Board Members’ Social Capital on the Resilience of Public Companies to Exogenous Shocks 董事会成员的社会资本对上市公司抵御外来冲击能力的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.82-103
Dmitry Kirpishchikov, M. Zavertiaeva
The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of board members’ social capital on firms’ market-based metrics of resilience to exogenous shocks. The social capital of directors was measured by their professional, political, and international connections. Firms’ resilience was evaluated based on their ability to resist and recover from the impact of shocks, as determined by stock market data. The data covers the period from 2007 to 2020 for over 200 Russian companies whose shares were included in the calculation of the Moscow Exchange Broad Market Index. During this period, three exogenous shocks occurred: the global financial crisis of 2008–2009, commodity price shock and sanctions in 2014–2015, and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The system generalized method of moments is used to estimate the effect of directors’ connections on theability to mitigate shocks, while OLS with robust standard errors is used to reveal the influence of directors’ connections on firms’ ability to recover from shocks. The results indicate that professional connections moderated the negative impact on firms’ resistance to shocks and improved recovery speed during the global financial crisis. However, this type of connection reduced stock recovery speed after the COVID-19 crisis. Political and international connections have different effects on market-based metrics of firm resilience. It is possible that shocks of different nature require firms to leverage various forms of social capital from their directors in order to mitigate the negative effects of such shocks.
本研究的目的是估算董事会成员的社会资本对企业抵御外来冲击的市场指标的影响。董事的社会资本通过他们的专业、政治和国际联系来衡量。公司的抗冲击能力则根据其抵御冲击和从冲击中恢复的能力进行评估,由股票市场数据决定。数据涵盖 2007 年至 2020 年期间 200 多家俄罗斯公司的情况,这些公司的股票被纳入莫斯科交易所大盘指数的计算范围。在此期间,发生了三次外生冲击:2008-2009 年的全球金融危机、2014-2015 年的商品价格冲击和制裁以及 2020 年的 COVID-19 大流行。采用系统广义矩法估计董事人脉对缓解冲击能力的影响,采用带稳健标准误差的 OLS 方法揭示董事人脉对公司从冲击中恢复能力的影响。结果表明,在全球金融危机期间,专业关系缓和了对企业抵御冲击能力的负面影响,并提高了企业的恢复速度。然而,在 COVID-19 危机之后,这类联系降低了股票的恢复速度。政治联系和国际联系对企业抗冲击能力的市场指标有不同的影响。不同性质的冲击可能要求企业利用其董事提供的各种形式的社会资本,以减轻此类冲击的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Ownership Structure and Corporate Risk Disclosure in Emerging Countries 新兴国家的所有权结构与公司风险披露
Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.70-81
M. Adamu
The study examines the impact of ownership structure on corporate risk disclosure in African emerging countries. The sample includes 42 firms that are listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange and the Nigerian Stock Exchange. The data for the independent variables were taken from the Bloomberg data stream, whereas the data for the dependent variable were taken from annual reports retrieved from the website of the sample companies. The study’s time period runs from 2014 to 2018. Regression and content analysis were employed as the analytical tools. We perform text analysis on company annual reports to ascertain the risks that companies disclose, and regression analysis was used to establish the extent to which ownership structure influenced corporate risk disclosure. The result shows that strategic and environmental risk disclosures are dominated by operational risk disclosure. It has become a convention for the firms to divulge considerable positive, past, non-monetary information rather than negative, future and monetary risk information. Moreover, it is discovered that the decision to improve risk disclosure is largely influenced by company size and profitability. In contrast, firms are reluctant to unveil risk information provided the shares of the company are not concentrated in the hands of few individuals. Nonetheless, company risk disclosure practice is unaffected by institutional investors, government, foreigners, insider ownership and leverage. It can be concluded that the enterprises operating in emerging African markets have made improvements totheir risk disclosure practices. However, there is still room for further improvement. Monetary, future, and negative risk information are the most important risk disclosures that various stakeholder groups, such as investors, demand to see. Hence, there is a need for regulation that can compel corporations to publish the most pertinent risk information. Even though risk disclosure is voluntary in these two African emerging countries, ownership structure is one of significant predictors of corporate risk disclosure.
本研究探讨了非洲新兴国家所有权结构对企业风险披露的影响。样本包括在约翰内斯堡证券交易所和尼日利亚证券交易所上市的 42 家公司。自变量数据来自彭博数据流,因变量数据来自样本公司网站上的年度报告。研究时间段为 2014 年至 2018 年。我们采用了回归分析和内容分析作为分析工具。我们对公司年报进行文本分析,以确定公司披露的风险,并采用回归分析来确定所有权结构对公司风险披露的影响程度。结果表明,战略风险和环境风险的披露以经营风险的披露为主。企业习惯于披露大量正面的、过去的、非货币性的信息,而不是负面的、未来的和货币性的风险信息。此外,研究还发现,改进风险披露的决定在很大程度上受公司规模和盈利能力的影响。相反,只要公司股份不集中在少数人手中,公司就不愿公布风险信息。尽管如此,公司的风险披露行为并不受机构投资者、政府、外国人、内部人持股和杠杆率的影响。可以得出的结论是,在非洲新兴市场经营的企业在风险披露实践方面有所改进。但是,仍有进一步改进的空间。货币、未来和负面风险信息是投资者等各利益相关群体要求看到的最重要的风险披露信息。因此,有必要制定法规,强制企业公布最相关的风险信息。尽管在这两个非洲新兴国家,风险披露是自愿的,但所有权结构是企业风险披露的重要预测因素之一。
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引用次数: 0
Study of the Reaction of Stock Markets to the Cancel Culture Phenomenon in Relation to Russia 股票市场对俄罗斯取消文化现象的反应研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.104-115
Ksenia Badukina, Nadezhda Korol, Anastasia Yaroshenko
Suspension of business in Russia by most foreign corporations after the events of 24 February 2022 led to the fact that the social phenomenon of “cancel culture” is now also considered within the framework of global economy and finance. In recent years, the IT industry is appraised as one of the fastest-growing, and the study of its reaction to global events is highlyrelevant. Using the Event Study method, this study proves that there is no significant impact of the declaration of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on US stock market dynamics of IT companies with branches in Russia. The analysis of individual cases from the sample of companies shows that the companies’ decision to suspend or continue business in Russia depended only on the presence of a significant share of revenues in Russia, the degree of reputational and sanctions risks, and the specifics of corporate ESG policies. The model is limited by the sample and period of analysis. In order to verify model reliability, we applied the t-test that determined the significance of the results. The research is of practical relevance because internationally operating companies may use its data to evaluate risks and make strategic decisions.
2022 年 2 月 24 日事件后,大多数外国公司暂停了在俄罗斯的业务,这导致 "取消文化 "这一社会现象现在也在全球经济和金融框架内得到了考虑。近年来,IT 行业被认为是发展最快的行业之一,研究其对全球事件的反应具有重要意义。本研究采用 "事件研究法 "证明,俄乌冲突声明对在俄罗斯设有分支机构的 IT 公司的美国股市动态没有显著影响。对公司样本中个别案例的分析表明,公司暂停或继续在俄罗斯开展业务的决定仅取决于在俄罗斯的收入所占比重、声誉和制裁风险程度以及公司环境、社会和公司治理政策的具体情况。该模型受到样本和分析时间的限制。为了验证模型的可靠性,我们采用了 t 检验来确定结果的显著性。这项研究具有现实意义,因为国际运营公司可以利用其数据来评估风险并做出战略决策。
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引用次数: 0
Characteristics and Development Trends of the Digital Assets Segment in Modern Practice in Russia and Abroad 俄罗斯和国外现代实践中数字资产领域的特点和发展趋势
Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.42-55
Egor Pastukhov
The paper aims to identify the key trends and risks associated with the introduction and spread of digital assets, including the digital ruble, in the Russian financial market. This study is timely due to the rapid growth of market capitalization for digital financial assets based on blockchain technology in both international and Russian financial markets, as more and more countries prepare to launch their own national digital currencies. However, there is a dearth of information in scientific and practical literature regarding the prospects, challenges, and risks associated with introducing digital financial assets, including the digital ruble, into Russia. The data for the analysis included official statistics and analytics from the Bank ofRussia and central banks of countries considering introducing digital national currencies. It also included the content of key Russian legislative acts related to digital currencies, as well as examples of the implementation of digital financial assets from Russian and international practices. The main research methods employed were a systematic approach, analysis of fundamental theoretical propositions in the literature, and case analysis. The paper discusses the existing types of digital financial assets, both internationally and in Russia, and assesses the demand for these assets in the Russian capital market, as well as their potential for lending to small and medium-sized businesses. It also considers the most common problems associated with the development of this segment and possible solutions, including regulatory measures. The second part ofthe paper explores the prospects and challenges of introducing a digital ruble into the Russian financial system. It assesses the potential impact of this new currency on the stability of domestic banks and monetary conditions in Russia, including inflation. Future research could focus on quantifying a wide range of risks associated with the introduction of digital financial assets, as well as modelling supply and demand for these assets.
本文旨在确定与俄罗斯金融市场引入和传播数字资产(包括数字卢布)相关的主要趋势和风险。随着越来越多的国家准备推出自己的国家数字货币,基于区块链技术的数字金融资产在国际和俄罗斯金融市场上的市值迅速增长,因此这项研究非常及时。然而,有关俄罗斯引入数字金融资产(包括数字卢布)的前景、挑战和风险的科学和实用文献信息却十分匮乏。分析数据包括俄罗斯银行和考虑引入国家数字货币的国家中央银行的官方统计数据和分析。分析数据还包括俄罗斯与数字货币相关的主要法案内容,以及俄罗斯和国际实践中实施数字金融资产的实例。采用的主要研究方法包括系统方法、文献中基本理论命题的分析以及案例分析。本文讨论了国际和俄罗斯现有的数字金融资产类型,并评估了俄罗斯资本市场对这些资产的需求,以及它们向中小型企业提供贷款的潜力。本文还探讨了与该领域发展相关的最常见问题以及可能的解决方案,包括监管措施。本文第二部分探讨了在俄罗斯金融体系中引入数字卢布的前景和挑战。它评估了这种新货币对俄罗斯国内银行的稳定性和货币条件(包括通货膨胀)的潜在影响。未来的研究可侧重于量化与引入数字金融资产相关的各种风险,以及建立这些资产的供需模型。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Russian Green Bond Market Strong Enough to Hedge in the Crisis Times? 俄罗斯绿色债券市场是否足以在危机时期避险?
Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.26-41
Ion Frecautan
The scope of this research has two facets. First, we study the spillover effects between the Russian green bonds and the leading capital market’s ‘indexes before and after the February 2022 events. Second, the identified level of asset connectedness permits to identify portfolio management implications for the analyzed assets. To reveal the spillover effects, we applied the vector autoregressive model and created a synthetic index to capture the dynamics of the green bonds market which included 14 green bond issues between 2021 and 2023 in Russia. We analyze oil & gas, electrical utilities, metals & extraction, chemical sectors collectively referred to as “pollution intensive indexes”. The paper contributes by discoveringthat the total connectedness index (TCI) between Russian green bond market and pollution intensive indexes changed over time and increased after the outbreak of the conflict. Additionally, the paper is novel on revealing the relationship between low hedging effectiveness and hedging ratio of green bond and energy, metals and extraction, sustainability and oil and gas indexes which indicate no need for hedging after February events. The optimal bivariate portfolio weights analysis shows that Russian green bonds market is an outstanding instrument for assets portfolio management during geopolitical conflict. These findings have implications for the government and other stakeholders to manage both the contagion and climate risks during the military conflict.
本研究的范围包括两个方面。首先,我们研究了 2022 年 2 月事件前后俄罗斯绿色债券与主要资本市场 "指数 "之间的溢出效应。其次,资产关联度的确定有助于分析资产的投资组合管理影响。为了揭示溢出效应,我们采用了向量自回归模型,并创建了一个合成指数来捕捉绿色债券市场的动态,其中包括 2021 年至 2023 年期间在俄罗斯发行的 14 种绿色债券。我们分析了石油与天然气、电力公用事业、金属与采掘、化工行业,这些行业统称为 "污染密集指数"。本文的贡献在于发现了俄罗斯绿色债券市场与污染密集指数之间的总关联度指数(TCI)随着时间的推移而变化,并在冲突爆发后有所增加。此外,本文新颖地揭示了绿色债券与能源、金属和采掘、可持续发展和石油天然气指数的低对冲有效性和对冲比率之间的关系,这表明在二月事件后无需进行对冲。最佳双变量投资组合权重分析表明,俄罗斯绿色债券市场是地缘政治冲突期间资产投资组合管理的杰出工具。这些发现对政府和其他利益相关者在军事冲突期间管理传染和气候风险具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Determinants of Corporate Cash Holdings: Novel Evidence from Emerging Countries 企业现金持有量的决定因素:新兴国家的新证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.5-16
I. Yilmaz
The aim of this study is to investigate the determinants of corporate cash holdings in emerging countries. The sample comprises non-financial firms from six emerging countries, five of them commonly referred to as BRICS, plus Turkey. The dataset includes the data of 4,769 firms and covers a ten-year period from 2012 to 2021, resulting in a total of 47,690 firm-year observations. We run panel regressions, specifically fixed and random effects models, and conduct the J.A. Hausman [1] test to choose between the latter. We use several firm-specific variables as independent variables and the GDP growth rate and the inflation rate as country-specific control variables. The results reveal that firm size, leverage, capital expenditures, net working capital, operating cash flow, dividend payments, firm age, and research and development (R&D) expenditures are significant determinants of corporate cash holdings, with some differences among countries and/or industries in terms of the sign and the significance levels. The macroeconomic variables showed significant results in some countries and industries, yet they were not consistent enough to make general conclusions. This study provides new empirical evidence on the determinants of corporate cash holdings by using a large dataset from major emerging countries. Our findings have important implications for corporate managers and policymakers in designing cash holding and liquidity policies. A comprehensive understanding of the main determinants of corporate cash holdings enables managers to adopt appropriate financing and investing strategies in the long term, as well as better short-term financial policies.
本研究旨在探讨新兴国家企业现金持有量的决定因素。样本包括六个新兴国家的非金融企业,其中五个通常被称为金砖国家,另外还有土耳其。数据集包括 4,769 家公司的数据,涵盖 2012 年至 2021 年的十年期,共得出 47,690 个公司年观测值。我们进行了面板回归,特别是固定效应和随机效应模型,并进行了 J.A. Hausman [1] 检验,以在后者中做出选择。我们使用几个特定公司变量作为自变量,使用国内生产总值增长率和通货膨胀率作为特定国家的控制变量。结果显示,企业规模、杠杆率、资本支出、净营运资本、经营现金流、股利支付、企业年龄和研发支出是企业现金持有量的重要决定因素,不同国家和/或行业在符号和显著性水平上存在一些差异。宏观经济变量在一些国家和行业显示出显著结果,但它们的一致性不足以得出一般性结论。本研究通过使用主要新兴国家的大型数据集,为企业现金持有量的决定因素提供了新的经验证据。我们的研究结果对企业管理者和政策制定者制定现金持有和流动性政策具有重要意义。全面了解企业现金持有量的主要决定因素,有助于管理者采取适当的长期融资和投资战略以及更好的短期金融政策。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Corporate Governance 人工智能对公司治理的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.2.2024.17-25
Göktürk Kalkan
The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) marks a pivotal shift in the landscape of corporate governance, catalyzing a reevaluation of traditional frameworks and necessitating a forward-looking approach to decision-making, risk management, and ethical considerations. This study explores the multifaceted impact of AI on corporate governance, offering a nuanced analysis of how AI technologies are transforming the operational, strategic, and ethical dimensions of organizations. The research underscores the potential of AI to enhance decision-making processes, optimize operational efficiencies, and foster innovation by providing advanced analytical capabilities and predictive insights. However, it concurrently highlights the emergence of unprecedented challenges, including data privacy concerns, algorithmic bias, and the need for robust regulatory frameworks to mitigate risks associated with AI deployment. The article advocates for a proactive stance in redefining corporate governance models to accommodate the disruptive nature of AI, emphasizing the integration of ethical considerations and transparency in AI applications. It calls for a collaborative effort among corporate leaders, policymakers, and stakeholders to develop governance structures that not only leverage AI’s potential but also safeguard against its inherent risks. The study’s recommendations include the establishment of ethical AI guidelines, the adoption of transparent AI practices, and the continuous monitoring of AI systems to ensure their alignment with corporate governance objectives and societal values. However, it is important to note that the approach and methods used in this study are based on a qualitativeliterature review and, therefore, the generalization of the findings across different sectors and corporate governance frameworks may be limited. Additionally, the rapidly evolving nature of AI technologies poses inherent challenges to keeping up with emerging trends and potential risks.
人工智能(AI)的出现标志着公司治理格局的关键性转变,促使人们重新评估传统框架,并有必要在决策、风险管理和道德考量方面采用前瞻性方法。本研究探讨了人工智能对公司治理的多方面影响,对人工智能技术如何改变组织的运营、战略和道德层面进行了细致入微的分析。研究强调了人工智能通过提供先进的分析能力和预测性洞察力,在加强决策过程、优化运营效率和促进创新方面的潜力。然而,文章同时强调了前所未有的挑战的出现,包括数据隐私问题、算法偏见,以及需要强有力的监管框架来降低与人工智能部署相关的风险。文章主张采取积极主动的姿态,重新定义公司治理模式,以适应人工智能的颠覆性,强调在人工智能应用中整合道德考量和透明度。研究呼吁企业领导者、政策制定者和利益相关者通力合作,建立既能发挥人工智能潜力又能防范其固有风险的治理结构。研究报告的建议包括制定符合道德规范的人工智能指导方针,采用透明的人工智能实践,以及对人工智能系统进行持续监控,以确保其符合公司治理目标和社会价值观。不过,必须指出的是,本研究采用的方法和手段是基于定性文献综述,因此,研究结果在不同行业和公司治理框架中的推广可能会受到限制。此外,人工智能技术的快速发展为跟上新兴趋势和潜在风险带来了内在挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Market Reaction to Environmental Disasters 市场对环境灾难的反应
Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.1.2024.37-48
Виктория Артуровна Черкасова, Дарья Захарова
Despite the fact that environmental issues are coming to the fore today, the market reaction to environmental disasters is not strong enough. This article examines the impact of a number of major industrial disasters on the companies’ stock performance, depending on financial health of the companies involved in an accident. We assessed the impact of financial indicators such as: financial leverage, profitability, balance value per share, capital expenditures, market capitalization and revenue on the amplitude of cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR). The sample consists of 32 companies fromthe oil, chemical, mining and energy industries of developed countries involved in 80 major accidents between 2000 and 2020. The majority of disasters occurred in North America (47.5%) and in Europe (26.3%). Using the event study method to assess shareholders’ reaction and regression analysis, we proved that the financial leverage, profitability and book value per share has a positive impact on the amplitude of CAAR, while the ratio of capital expenditures to revenue has a negative impact on cumulative returns. The results showed that market capitalization and revenue growth do not affect the dynamics of stock prices after industrial disasters. In general, our study shows that the impact of all financial indicators on CAARis small (<1%). That is, despite the mandatory publication of climate risk reports, investors did not actively sell shares of companies guilty of industrial disasters. The results of the study are useful in several areas. On the one hand, by forming a diversified investment portfolio, investors taking into account the type of companies that are more sensitive to disasters. On the other hand, knowing such a market reaction, the state should provide financial players with strict rules and penalties for companies responsible for accidents.
尽管当今环境问题日益突出,但市场对环境灾难的反应却不够强烈。本文根据事故企业的财务健康状况,研究了一些重大工业灾难对企业股票表现的影响。我们评估了财务杠杆、盈利能力、每股资产净值、资本支出、市值和收入等财务指标对累计平均异常收益率(CAAR)振幅的影响。样本由发达国家石油、化工、采矿和能源行业的 32 家公司组成,这些公司在 2000 年至 2020 年间发生了 80 起重大事故。大部分灾难发生在北美(47.5%)和欧洲(26.3%)。利用事件研究法评估股东反应并进行回归分析,证明财务杠杆、盈利能力和每股账面价值对 CAAR 的振幅有正向影响,而资本支出与收入的比率对累计收益有负向影响。结果表明,市值和收入增长并不影响工业灾难后的股票价格动态。总体而言,我们的研究表明,所有财务指标对 CAAR 的影响都很小(<1%)。也就是说,尽管强制要求发布气候风险报告,但投资者并未积极抛售发生工业灾难的公司股票。这项研究的结果在几个方面都很有用。一方面,通过形成多元化的投资组合,投资者考虑到了对灾害更敏感的公司类型。另一方面,在了解这种市场反应后,国家应为金融参与者提供严格的规则,并对事故责任公司进行处罚。
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引用次数: 0
Risk Premium for Emerging Market Equities Versus Developed Market Equities 新兴市场股票相对于发达市场股票的风险溢价
Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.18.1.2024.75-92
Светлана Менщикова
The paper provides the most recent view on the difference in ERP (Equity Risk Premiums) across various economic regions, analyzing data sets from the early 2000s to May 2023. The study demonstrates a significant shift in the relationship between ERPs in emerging and developed markets over the past two decades, which runs contrary to the existing research on the matter. The author estimated the average ERPs per country and economic region, analyzed ERPs on the industry level, and conducted the regression analysis using macroeconomic factors and analysis of upside and downside betas. The research established that, following the 2008 economic crisis, developed markets displayed greater resilience to negative economic shocks. Moreover, investing in emerging markets entails higher risks, characterized by elevated negative beta and higher volatility, but also increased upside beta. The regression analysis revealed negative associations between ERP and higher GDP growth and local interest rates, while a positive correlation emerged with a higher unemployment rate. Additionally, the paper incorporates the Democracy Index, indicating that less democratic countries tend to exhibit higher ERPs.
本文分析了 2000 年代初至 2023 年 5 月的数据集,提供了关于不同经济区域股票风险溢价(ERP)差异的最新观点。研究表明,在过去二十年里,新兴市场和发达市场的ERP之间的关系发生了重大变化,这与现有的相关研究背道而驰。作者估算了每个国家和经济区域的平均ERPs,分析了行业层面的ERPs,并利用宏观经济因素进行了回归分析,分析了上行和下行赌注。研究结果表明,2008 年经济危机之后,发达市场对负面经济冲击表现出更强的抵御能力。此外,投资新兴市场会带来更高的风险,其特点是负贝塔值升高、波动性增大,但上行贝塔值也会增加。回归分析表明,企业资源规划与较高的国内生产总值增长率和当地利率之间存在负相关关系,而与较高的失业率之间存在正相关关系。此外,论文还纳入了民主指数,表明民主程度较低的国家往往表现出较高的企业资源规划。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Corporate Finance Research / Корпоративные Финансы | ISSN: 2073-0438
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