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Seismic and stress field characteristics of the Muş Region, Eastern Türkiye: insights into regional seismic hazard 东土耳其穆鲁地区地震和应力场特征:对区域地震危险性的认识
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10399-z
Burçin Didem Tamtaş

Muş region in eastern Türkiye is located within a geodynamically complex region shaped by the interaction of the Anatolian, Arabian, and Eurasian plates. Despite the presence of multiple active fault systems, integrated local-scale studies that jointly address seismicity characteristics, fault kinematics, and the crustal stress field remain limited. This study presents a regional-scale seismotectonic assessment of the Muş region using an earthquake catalog compiled from data from the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute (KOERI), covering the period 1903–2025. Reported magnitudes were homogenized to moment magnitude (Mw) using General Orthogonal Regression (GOR), and dependent events were removed to isolate background seismicity. The Gutenberg–Richter relationship, recurrence parameters, and annual probabilities were derived from the completeness-controlled 2000–2025 dataset, yielding a b-value of 1.08 ± 0.04. Focal mechanism solutions obtained from national and international sources were analyzed to identify dominant faulting styles, and the regional stress tensor was determined through inversion. The results indicate that seismicity in the Muş region is dominated by shallow earthquakes, predominantly strike-slip faulting, and a transpressional stress regime characterized by N–S principal compression. By integrating completeness-controlled seismicity statistics with focal-mechanism classification and stress inversion, this study provides a locally constrained seismotectonic framework for the Muş region. The proposed approach refines the understanding of active deformation processes in this tectonically complex transition zone and offers a transferable methodological basis for future seismic hazard assessments in eastern Türkiye.

基耶东部的muu地区位于一个由安纳托利亚、阿拉伯和欧亚板块相互作用形成的地球动力学复杂区域内。尽管存在多个活动断层系统,但联合处理地震活动性特征、断层运动学和地壳应力场的综合局部尺度研究仍然有限。本研究利用Kandilli天文台和地震研究所(KOERI)编制的1903-2025年期间的地震目录,对muu地区进行了区域尺度的地震构造评估。使用通用正交回归(GOR)将报告的震级均匀化为矩震级(Mw),并去除相关事件以分离背景地震活动性。古腾堡-里希特关系、重现参数和年概率均来自完备性控制的2000-2025数据集,b值为1.08±0.04。通过对国内外震源机制解的分析,确定了主导断裂类型,并通过反演确定了区域应力张量。结果表明,塔里木地区地震活动以浅层地震为主,走滑断裂为主,并具有北-南主压缩的逆挤压应力特征。通过将地震活动性统计与震源机制分类和应力反演相结合,建立了塔里木盆地的局部约束地震构造框架。提出的方法完善了对构造复杂过渡带活动变形过程的理解,并为未来东基耶尔地震危险性评估提供了可转移的方法基础。
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引用次数: 0
Insights into the 2025 Mw 7.7 Myanmar Earthquake using the broadband ground motion simulations 利用宽带地面运动模拟分析2025 Mw 7.7缅甸地震
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10398-0
Jahnabi Basu, Srishti Kushwaha, S. T. G. Raghukanth

The present study brings forth the first comprehensive broadband ground motion simulations for the 2025 Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake, addressing the critical data scarcity in a highly seismic region with sparse strong motion instrumentation. As one of the most devastating events in the region’s history, the earthquake inflicted widespread destruction across Myanmar and neighboring countries. In the absence of a comprehensive strong motion instrumentation specifically along the Sagaing fault (seismic zone V), physics-based simulations offer an essential window into understanding the spatial variability of ground motions and their implications for seismic hazard assessment. In the present study, broadband ground motions are simulated over a near-field domain spanning approximately a 3° × 5° region around the multi-segmented fault plane of the event. To generate these ground motion time histories, the deterministic low-frequency waveforms are combined with stochastic high-frequency components, informed by regional crustal velocity models, topography and detailed source rupture parameters. The reliability of the simulated ground motions is assessed through comparisons with the limited available recordings in the near-field region, with residual analysis quantifying the level of agreement. Furthermore, the ground motions are synthesized on a dense grid of 0.1° × 0.1° and visualized through contour maps of peak ground acceleration (PGA). The highest PGA values are found to be 0.71 g, 0.86 g, and 0.40 g in the EW, NS, and vertical components, respectively. Additionally, the spatial distribution of the peak ground residual displacements is illustrated along with the stations proximal to the fault plane. Finally, the simulated PGAs are compared against global empirical ground motion models developed for subduction zones to evaluate their consistency and regional applicability. Thus, the study demonstrates the importance of simulation-based approaches for seismic hazard evaluation in data-scarce regions, thus offering valuable input for guiding future seismic instrumentation strategies and improving hazard awareness along the Sagaing Fault.

本研究首次对2025年缅甸7.7 Mw地震进行了全面的宽带地震动模拟,利用稀疏的强震仪器解决了高震区数据稀缺的关键问题。作为该地区历史上最具破坏性的事件之一,地震在缅甸和邻国造成了广泛的破坏。在Sagaing断层(地震带V)沿线缺乏全面的强震仪器的情况下,基于物理的模拟为理解地面运动的空间变异性及其对地震危险性评估的影响提供了一个重要的窗口。在本研究中,宽带地面运动在近场域中进行了模拟,该近场域跨越了事件多分段断平面周围约3°× 5°的区域。为了生成这些地震动时程,在区域地壳速度模型、地形和详细的震源破裂参数的指导下,将确定性低频波形与随机高频分量相结合。通过与近场区域有限的可用记录进行比较来评估模拟地面运动的可靠性,并用残差分析量化一致性水平。此外,地面运动在0.1°× 0.1°的密集网格上合成,并通过峰值地面加速度(PGA)等高线图可视化。在EW、NS和垂直分量中PGA值最高,分别为0.71 g、0.86 g和0.40 g。此外,还说明了峰值地面残余位移随断裂面附近台站的空间分布情况。最后,将模拟的pga与全球俯冲带经验地震动模型进行了比较,以评估其一致性和区域适用性。因此,该研究证明了基于模拟的方法对数据稀缺地区地震危险性评估的重要性,从而为指导未来的地震仪器策略和提高Sagaing断层沿线的灾害意识提供了有价值的输入。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic attenuation in North-East India: estimation and analysis of the kappa (κ) parameter 印度东北部地震衰减:kappa (κ)参数的估计与分析
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-05-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10391-7
Lalramnunkimi, Shikha Sharma, Lalruatpuia Tlau, Zosangliana Ralte, Saitluanga Sailo, Utsav Mannu

The seismic attenuation parameter, kappa (κ), is a critical factor in characterizing high-frequency ground motion and plays a vital role in seismic hazard assessment, ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) calibration, and site response modeling. This study investigates the spatial variability of κ in Northeast India, a tectonically active region at the convergence of the Himalayan orogeny and the Indo-Burmese arc, and examines the influence of geological and site conditions using 199 three-component seismic records from 115 earthquakes (Mw 2.5–6.8) at epicentral distances up to 400 km. κ was estimated using strong motion data from PESMOS and local broadband recordings from Mizoram, applying a modified Anderson and Hough (Bull Seismol Soc Am 74(5):1969-1993, 1984) approach with exponential decay fitting to the raw amplitude spectra. The analysis shows κ values ranging from 0.019—0.156 s for the EW component, 0.013—0.134 s for the NS component, and 0.005—0.120 s for the vertical component, with higher attenuation at sites underlain by unconsolidated sediments and alluvium with average κ values between 0.020 and 0.176 s, while hard rock sites show lower averages of 0.030–0.080 s. Vertical components generally yield smaller κ than horizontal components, consistent with global observations. The systematic partitioning analysis further confirms the strong correlation between κ values and lithological heterogeneity. By integrating site-specific κ estimations with regional geological assessments, this study provides critical insights for seismic hazard evaluation, GMPE development, and site-specific seismic design in Northeast India.

地震衰减参数kappa (κ)是表征高频地震动的关键因子,在地震危险性评估、地震动预测方程(GMPE)标定和场地反应建模中起着至关重要的作用。本文研究了印度东北部(喜马拉雅造山带和印度-缅甸弧交汇处的构造活动性地区)κ的空间变异性,并利用115次地震(Mw 2.5-6.8)的199次三分量地震记录考察了地质和现场条件的影响,震中距离达400 km。应用改进的Anderson和Hough (Bull Seismol Soc 74(5):1969- 1993,1984)方法对原始振幅谱进行指数衰减拟合。结果表明,东向分量的κ值为0.019 ~ 0.156 s,南向分量的κ值为0.013 ~ 0.134 s,垂直分量的κ值为0.005 ~ 0.120 s,其中松散沉积物和冲积层下垫点的κ值衰减较大,平均为0.020 ~ 0.176 s,而硬岩部位的κ值较低,为0.030 ~ 0.080 s。垂直分量通常比水平分量产生更小的κ,这与全球观测结果一致。系统分区分析进一步证实了κ值与岩性非均质性之间的强相关性。通过将特定地点的κ估计与区域地质评估相结合,本研究为印度东北部的地震危险性评估、GMPE开发和特定地点的地震设计提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Efficient T-wave generation by small-magnitude earthquakes along the NE Brazil continental margin 巴西东北部大陆边缘小震级地震产生的高效t波
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10393-5
Guilherme W. S. de Melo, Aline C. Tavares

In 2021 and 2022, two offshore small-magnitude earthquakes (3.5 and 3.7) occurred in the northeastern Brazilian continental margin. Both occurrences produced hydroacoustic T-waves, which were recorded by H10N and H10S hydrophone arrays located near Ascension Island and owned by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization. We analyzed hydroacoustic T-waves recorded by the two arrays using cross-correlation of three-hydrophone pairs with a 2D plane-wave fitting approach. Back-azimuth and apparent velocity were derived from slowness vector inversion to locate T-wave excitation points along the northeastern Brazilian continental margin. Despite the powerful acoustic signals, no seismic T-waves were recorded at neighboring coastal land seismic stations. This pattern shows that seismic energy is efficiently coupled into the SOFAR channel from the continental slope. The high acoustic levels for such small magnitudes suggest favorable source conditions, most likely involving thick sediment cover, shallow hypocenters, and fault geometries dominated by normal or reverse motion, which are consistent with regional stress regimes and known offshore faulting systems in other continental margin areas of Brazil. Comparisons with empirical relationships provide support for the theory of greater coupling at the margin-water contact. These results suggest that active faulting likely occurs along the northeastern Brazilian margin and highlight the critical role of margin morphology and sedimentary structures in T-wave generation and coupling efficiency.

在2021年和2022年,巴西大陆边缘东北部发生了两次海上小地震(3.5级和3.7级)。这两次事件都产生了水声t波,由位于阿森松岛附近的H10N和H10S水听器阵列记录下来,该阵列为全面禁止核试验条约组织所有。采用二维平面波拟合方法,利用三个水听器对的相互关联分析了两个阵列记录的水声t波。利用慢度矢量反演得到巴西东北大陆边缘t波激发点的方位和视速度。尽管有强大的声波信号,但邻近的沿海陆地地震台站没有记录到地震t波。这种模式表明地震能量有效地从大陆斜坡耦合到SOFAR通道。如此小震级的高声波水平表明有利的震源条件,最有可能涉及厚沉积物覆盖,浅震源,以及以正运动或反向运动为主的断层几何形状,这与巴西其他大陆边缘地区的区域应力制度和已知的近海断层系统相一致。与经验关系的比较为边界-水接触处更大耦合的理论提供了支持。这些结果表明巴西东北部边缘可能存在活动断裂,并突出了边缘形态和沉积构造对t波产生和耦合效率的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Establishment of baseline for screening abnormal earthquakes in Iran based on P/S spectral ratio 基于P/S谱比的伊朗异常地震筛选基线的建立
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10397-1
Shiban Ding, Hongchun Wang, Xiong Xu, Yuying Xiao

Iran is located in the collision and compression zone between the Arabian Plate and the Eurasian Plate, where earthquakes occur frequently. The tectonic earthquake in north-central Iran on October 5, 2024, was once questioned as a nuclear explosion, drawing widespread attention. P/S spectral ratio was demonstrated to be an effective method for event discrimination. To distinguish whether an event is abnormal, this study established a basic screening baseline via the P/S spectral ratios from earthquakes in Iran with stations both inside and outside Iran. We firstly investigated the amplitude characteristics of regional seismic phases Pn, Pg, Sn, and Lg in Iran. For Iranian seismic events recorded by stations inside Iran, the Pn, Pg, Sn, and Lg phases are well-developed at most stations. For Iranian seismic events recorded by stations outside Iran, the Pn, Pg, Sn, and Lg phases are well-developed for earthquakes in northwestern Iran at many stations. For earthquakes in southern and east-central Iran, the Pn and Sn phases are developed at some stations, while the Pg and Lg phases are not. Based on the phase attenuation characteristics, we calculated the magnitude and distance amplitude corrected P/S ratios for each stations. According to the corrected Pg/Lg, Pn/Lg and Pn/Sn spectral ratios of earthquakes in Iran, we selected stations with relatively smaller P/S ratios as advantageous stations for screening abnormal seismic events. The distributions of Pg/Lg, Pn/Lg, and Pn/Sn spectral ratios for historical tectonic earthquakes in Iran are presented, providing a baseline for rapidly screening of abnormal earthquakes. We calculated the P/S spectral ratio residuals of the earthquake occurred on October 5, 2024 in north-central Iran. The results show that the P/S ratios of the earthquake are similar to the historical tectonic earthquakes in a common region.

伊朗位于阿拉伯板块和欧亚板块之间的碰撞挤压带,地震频繁发生。2024年10月5日发生在伊朗中北部的大地构造地震,一度被怀疑是核爆炸,引起了广泛关注。P/S谱比是一种有效的事件判别方法。为了区分一个事件是否异常,本研究通过伊朗境内外地震台站的P/S谱比建立了一个基本的筛选基线。我们首先研究了伊朗区域地震相Pn、Pg、Sn和Lg的振幅特征。对于伊朗境内台站记录的伊朗地震事件,大多数台站的Pn、Pg、Sn和Lg相发育良好。对于伊朗境外台站记录的伊朗地震事件,在伊朗西北部的许多台站,Pn、Pg、Sn和Lg阶段的地震都很发达。在伊朗南部和中东部的地震中,有些台站有Pn期和Sn期,而Pg期和Lg期则没有。根据相位衰减特性,计算了各台站震级和距离振幅校正后的P/S比。根据校正后的伊朗地震Pg/Lg、Pn/Lg和Pn/Sn谱比,选择P/S比相对较小的台站作为筛选异常地震事件的有利台站。给出了伊朗历史构造地震的Pg/Lg、Pn/Lg和Pn/Sn谱比的分布,为快速筛选异常地震提供了基线。我们计算了2024年10月5日伊朗中北部地震的P/S谱比残差。结果表明,地震的P/S比与历史上同一地区的构造地震相似。
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引用次数: 0
Lg wave attenuation characteristics in Northeast India 印度东北部的Lg波衰减特征
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10394-4
Prasad Kasulanati, Bijit Kumar Choudhury

The Northeastern Region of India is one of the most seismically active and tectonically complex regions globally, situated at the convergent boundary of the Indian Plate, the Eurasian Plate, and the Burmese microplate. Reliable characterisation of seismic wave attenuation in this region is critical for seismic hazard assessment and regional ground-motion prediction. In this study, we estimate the frequency-dependent crustal quality factor of Lg waves for Northeast India using spectral amplitude decay of broadband waveforms from regional earthquakes. A total of 1,313 high-quality station–event records were analysed following rigorous quality-control criteria based on signal-to-noise ratio, epicentral distance, and waveform characteristics. A regional-average, frequency-dependent (Q_{textrm{Lg}}) model was derived over the 0.5–8 Hz frequency range and fitted using a power-law relationship, yielding (Q_0 = 502 pm 27) and (eta = 0.80 pm 0.05), indicative of moderate attenuation and strong frequency dependence. Residual and site-term behaviour indicate the presence of unresolved lateral heterogeneity and highlight the limitations of a single uniform attenuation model in a tectonically heterogeneous region. The resulting (Q_{textrm{Lg}}) model provides a robust regional-average baseline for seismic hazard assessment, regional ground-motion modelling, and future attenuation studies in Northeast India.

印度东北部地区位于印度板块、欧亚板块和缅甸微板块的会聚边界上,是全球地震最活跃、构造最复杂的地区之一。该区域地震波衰减的可靠表征对地震危险性评价和区域地震动预报具有重要意义。在这项研究中,我们利用区域地震宽带波形的频谱振幅衰减估计了印度东北部Lg波的频率依赖的地壳质量因子。根据基于信噪比、震中距离和波形特征的严格质量控制标准,共分析了1313个高质量的台站事件记录。在0.5-8 Hz频率范围内推导了一个区域平均的频率依赖(Q_{textrm{Lg}})模型,并使用幂律关系进行拟合,得到(Q_0 = 502 pm 27)和(eta = 0.80 pm 0.05),表明衰减适度,频率依赖性强。残余和场址期行为表明存在未解决的横向非均质性,并突出了构造非均质区单一均匀衰减模型的局限性。由此产生的(Q_{textrm{Lg}})模型为地震危险性评估、区域地面运动建模和未来印度东北部的衰减研究提供了可靠的区域平均基线。
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引用次数: 0
A deep learning prediction model for on-site earthquake early warning system in India 印度地震现场预警系统的深度学习预测模型
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10395-3
Bhargavi Podili, Pavan Mohan Neelamraju, Jahnabi Basu, S. T. G. Raghukanth

The increased success of earthquake early warning systems (EEWS) worldwide has warranted the need to explore the same for earthquake prone regions such as the active Himalayas of India. While network-based EEWS has been successfully implemented, the scope for on-site EEWS in the region has yet to be investigated. The current study presents a deep learning model, which is aimed at enabling the on-site EEWS in India. The model is developed for predicting broadband spectral acceleration of the expected ground motion using the initial P-wave portion of the seismic recording. By utilizing ground motion parameters derived from the first 3 s of the P-wave, the model can provide rapid and accurate predictions of the associated spectral acceleration between periods 0.01 s and 4.0 s. The research leverages data from multiple seismic networks in the Western Himalayas, encompassing 689 ground motion records from 124 earthquakes with magnitudes ranging from Mw 3.0 to 7.8. The model's performance is evaluated through rigorous sensitivity analyses and validation procedures, demonstrating its potential for real-time application in EEWS.

世界范围内地震早期预警系统(EEWS)的日益成功,证明有必要在地震易发地区(如印度活跃的喜马拉雅山脉)探索同样的预警系统。虽然基于网络的EEWS已经成功实施,但该地区现场EEWS的范围还有待调查。目前的研究提出了一种深度学习模型,旨在实现印度的现场EEWS。该模型是为了利用地震记录的初始纵波部分预测预期地面运动的宽带频谱加速度而开发的。利用纵波前3 s的地震动参数,该模型可以快速准确地预测周期为0.01 s到4.0 s之间的相关谱加速度。该研究利用了西喜马拉雅地区多个地震台网的数据,包括124次地震的689次地面运动记录,震级从3.0到7.8兆瓦不等。该模型的性能通过严格的灵敏度分析和验证程序进行评估,展示了其在EEWS中实时应用的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Standardizing microseismic magnitude determination for near-field microseismic monitoring in Chinese coal mines 规范煤矿近场微震监测微震震级确定
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10390-8
Zibo Wang, Haichen Yin, Ruifeng Liu, Zan Li, Qinying Wang, Min Zhu, Yixiao Zhang

The absence of a standardized magnitude determination framework in China’s coal mine microseismic (MS) monitoring networks has led to substantial discrepancies in magnitude estimates across different mines, as well as systematic deviations from the magnitudes reported by the China Earthquake Networks. These inconsistencies arise primarily from inconsistent methodologies, the complex high-frequency wave propagation characteristics and inappropriate application of regional attenuation models to near-field MS data. Together, these issues undermine the comparability, reliability, and practical utility of MS monitoring results. To address this challenge, we propose a unified magnitude calibration framework specifically designed for coal mine MS monitoring in China, with the goal of aligning MS magnitude estimates with national seismic standards. Based on data from 29 controlled underground blasting experiments conducted at four geologically distinct coal mines using hybrid monitoring networks (surface and underground sensors), we derived site-specific high-resolution calibration functions and calculated the corresponding event magnitudes. Our results revealed that while surface stations exhibit stable attenuation characteristics, underground propagation paths vary significantly between sites. Importantly, vertical component amplitudes showed equivalent reliability to horizontal components, enabling simplified processing approaches. For mines where blasting experiments were unfeasible, empirical average attenuation models were developed based on observational data from four coal mines. Finally, application of the model to a mining-induced high-energy event demonstrated improved magnitude consistency and largely eliminated systematic distance-dependent bias. These findings support the integration of the newly developed magnitude scales into existing mining-induced seismic monitoring systems, which can be calibrated through localized data accumulation. This integration systematically enhances monitoring effectiveness across two critical dimensions—disaster assessment accuracy and early warning timeliness—specifically tailored to address the prevention and control demands of rockbursts and other mining-induced seismic events.

中国煤矿微地震(MS)监测网络缺乏标准化的震级确定框架,导致不同矿井的震级估计值存在巨大差异,并且与中国地震台网报告的震级存在系统性偏差。这些不一致主要是由于方法不一致、复杂的高频波传播特性以及不适当地将区域衰减模型应用于近场质谱数据。总之,这些问题破坏了MS监测结果的可比性、可靠性和实用性。为了应对这一挑战,我们提出了一个专门为中国煤矿质谱监测设计的统一震级校准框架,目的是使质谱震级估算与国家地震标准保持一致。利用混合监测网络(地表和地下传感器)在4个地质条件不同的煤矿进行的29次地下控制爆破实验数据,推导出了特定地点的高分辨率校准函数,并计算出相应的事件震级。我们的研究结果表明,虽然地面台站具有稳定的衰减特征,但地下传播路径在站点之间存在显着差异。重要的是,垂直分量振幅显示出与水平分量相同的可靠性,从而简化了处理方法。对于无法进行爆破试验的矿井,基于4个煤矿的观测数据,建立了经验平均衰减模型。最后,将该模型应用于采矿引起的高能事件,证明了震级一致性的提高,并在很大程度上消除了系统距离依赖偏差。这些发现支持将新开发的震级尺度整合到现有的采矿诱发地震监测系统中,这些系统可以通过局部数据积累进行校准。这种集成系统地提高了两个关键维度的监测效率——灾害评估的准确性和预警的及时性——专门为解决岩爆和其他采矿引起的地震事件的预防和控制需求而定制。
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引用次数: 0
Revision of the magnitude–epicentral intensity–focal depth relation for earthquakes in Croatia and the surrounding areas 克罗地亚及周边地区地震震级-震中烈度-震源深度关系的修正
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10389-1
Marijan Herak, Davorka Herak

We present an updated empirical relationship between moment magnitude (Mw), epicentral intensity (I0, EMS), and macroseismic focal depth (hm, km) for earthquakes in Croatia and its surroundings. The analysis is based on the updated, revised and uniformly processed Croatian Macroseismic Database and the corresponding Croatian Macroseismic Catalogue, which together provide a homogeneous macroseismic dataset spanning the period 1520–2022. From these, 139 triplets (Mw, ℎm, I0) were selected corresponding to events with independently determined moment magnitudes and reliably derived macroseismic parameters. A three-axes weighted orthogonal regression was performed to obtain a symmetric relationship linking the three variables. The resulting triaxial regression plane is expressed as (-0.390 ,{M}_{w}+0.960 logleft({h}_{m}+1right)+0.285,{I}_{0}=1) from which closed-form expressions allow consistent estimation of any one parameter given the other two. The new relations exhibit stable predictive performance under out-of-sample conditions, and provide improved consistency across the full range of observed magnitudes, intensities, and focal depths. They also agree well with the most commonly used Croatian macroseismic relation that relates magnitude to epicentral intensity and focal depth. These results enable coherent reassessment of magnitudes for historical earthquakes and rapid post-event estimation of maximum intensity. Adoption of the new relationships would also support the homogenization of macroseismic magnitudes in the Croatian Earthquake Catalogue and provide a solid foundation for future intensity-based seismic hazard assessments in the region.

我们提出了克罗地亚及其周边地震的矩震级(Mw),震中强度(I0, EMS)和大地震震源深度(hm, km)之间的最新经验关系。该分析基于更新、修订和统一处理的克罗地亚宏观地震数据库和相应的克罗地亚宏观地震目录,它们共同提供了一个跨越1520-2022年的均匀宏观地震数据集。从中选择了139个三联体(Mw, m, I0),对应于具有独立确定的矩级和可靠导出的宏观地震参数的事件。通过三轴加权正交回归得到三个变量之间的对称关系。由此产生的三轴回归平面表示为(-0.390 ,{M}_{w}+0.960 logleft({h}_{m}+1right)+0.285,{I}_{0}=1),其中的封闭形式表达式允许在给定其他两个参数的情况下对任何一个参数进行一致的估计。新的关系在样本外条件下表现出稳定的预测性能,并在整个观测范围内提供更好的一致性震级、强度和震源深度。它们也很好地符合克罗地亚最常用的大震关系,即震级与震中强度和震源深度有关。这些结果使对历史地震的震级进行连贯的重新评估和对最大烈度的快速事后估计成为可能。采用新的关系还将支持克罗地亚地震目录中大震震级的同质化,并为该区域今后基于烈度的地震危险性评估提供坚实的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of thermoelastic strain inferred from a single station ambient noise studies in the context of the Magna M5.7 event in Utah 在犹他州马格纳M5.7事件背景下,单站环境噪声研究推断的热弹性应变的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-04-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-026-10375-7
Shankho Niyogi, Abhijit Ghosh, Taka’aki Taira

Single station ambient noise analysis provides a practical approach for monitoring seismic velocity changes (dv/v) but its sensitivity to shallow structure makes it susceptible to environmental influences at higher frequencies. We investigate dv/v variations at seismic station UU.NOQ, the nearest three component seismic station to the 2020 M5.7 Magna, Utah earthquake epicenter. We observe a 0.1% coseismic dv/v drop at 1-2 Hz. However at higher frequencies we observe an annual cyclical variations dominating the dv/v signal which obscured the earthquake related dv/v drop. Through cross correlation and coherence analyses comparing dv/v with temperature, precipitation, and GPS derived groundwater proxies, we give evidence that shows temperature as the primary driver of seasonal dv/v variations. Notably the dv/v signal lags surface temperature by approximately 55 days. We apply thermoelastic strain modeling to explain this lag which can be explained due to the presence of an unconsolidated sediment layer that acts as a thermal delay filter. The estimated layer thickness of approximately 1.5 m is independently verified using Horizontal to Vertical Spectral Ratio analysis, which shows a fundamental site frequency above 5 Hz consistent with thin sedimentary cover. Our results demonstrate that thermoelastic strain can significantly influence shallow dv/v measurements in certain scenarios and provide a methodological framework for characterizing temperature induced effects in similar kind of ambient noise monitoring studies.

单站环境噪声分析为监测地震速度变化(dv/v)提供了实用的方法,但其对浅层结构的敏感性使其容易受到较高频率的环境影响。我们研究了地震台站UU的dv/v变化。NOQ是距离2020年犹他州麦格纳5.7级地震震中最近的三分量地震台站。我们观察到在1-2 Hz时同震dv/v下降0.1%。然而,在更高的频率下,我们观察到dv/v信号的年周期性变化,这掩盖了与地震相关的dv/v下降。通过将dv/v与温度、降水和GPS地下水代用物进行相互关联和相干分析,我们给出了温度是季节dv/v变化的主要驱动因素的证据。值得注意的是,dv/v信号滞后于地表温度大约55天。我们应用热弹性应变模型来解释这种滞后,这可以解释为存在作为热延迟过滤器的未固结沉积层。利用水平与垂直谱比分析独立验证了估计的层厚约为1.5 m,表明基本场址频率在5 Hz以上,与薄沉积盖层相一致。我们的研究结果表明,在某些情况下,热弹性应变可以显著影响浅层dv/v测量,并为在类似的环境噪声监测研究中表征温度诱导效应提供了方法框架。
{"title":"Effect of thermoelastic strain inferred from a single station ambient noise studies in the context of the Magna M5.7 event in Utah","authors":"Shankho Niyogi,&nbsp;Abhijit Ghosh,&nbsp;Taka’aki Taira","doi":"10.1007/s10950-026-10375-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10950-026-10375-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Single station ambient noise analysis provides a practical approach for monitoring seismic velocity changes (dv/v) but its sensitivity to shallow structure makes it susceptible to environmental influences at higher frequencies. We investigate dv/v variations at seismic station UU.NOQ, the nearest three component seismic station to the 2020 M5.7 Magna, Utah earthquake epicenter. We observe a 0.1% coseismic dv/v drop at 1-2 Hz. However at higher frequencies we observe an annual cyclical variations dominating the dv/v signal which obscured the earthquake related dv/v drop. Through cross correlation and coherence analyses comparing dv/v with temperature, precipitation, and GPS derived groundwater proxies, we give evidence that shows temperature as the primary driver of seasonal dv/v variations. Notably the dv/v signal lags surface temperature by approximately 55 days. We apply thermoelastic strain modeling to explain this lag which can be explained due to the presence of an unconsolidated sediment layer that acts as a thermal delay filter. The estimated layer thickness of approximately 1.5 m is independently verified using Horizontal to Vertical Spectral Ratio analysis, which shows a fundamental site frequency above 5 Hz consistent with thin sedimentary cover. Our results demonstrate that thermoelastic strain can significantly influence shallow dv/v measurements in certain scenarios and provide a methodological framework for characterizing temperature induced effects in similar kind of ambient noise monitoring studies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":16994,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Seismology","volume":"30 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147642694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Seismology
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