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Financial Analysis of Eritrean Commercial Bank: CAMEL Model 厄立特里亚商业银行财务分析:CAMEL模型
Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.5296/ifb.v10i1.21005
Hosie G. Tewelde, Hewan Kiflemariam, Natnael Aregawi, Surafiel Ghirmay
Research on Eritrean banking system is scant. Hence, this study’s aim is two-fold. To add literature to this scarce body of knowledge and to initiate the CAMEL model in the Eritrean context. The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the Commercial Bank of Eritrea (CBER) using CAMEL approach. Data are gathered from consolidated financial statements of CBER. The analysis extends for 15 years starting from 2001 up to 2015 by employing two variables from each CAMEL parameter. Based on the selected CAMEL metrics the empirical analysis depicted a satisfactory result but with significant volatilities. Except for Capital Adequacy which is probably tied to its ownership structure Asset Quality, Management Efficiency, Earnings and Liquidity portrayed reasonable outcomes, nonetheless with frequent head and shoulder trends. These sheds light on the strengths and vulnerabilities of the bank, underlining the need to bolster the concerns of the decision makers to improve and increase its soundness.
对厄立特里亚银行体系的研究很少。因此,这项研究的目的是双重的。将文献添加到这一稀缺的知识体系中,并在厄立特里亚背景下启动CAMEL模型。本文的主要目的是利用CAMEL方法对厄立特里亚商业银行(CBER)的绩效进行评估。数据来自CBER的合并财务报表。通过使用每个CAMEL参数中的两个变量,分析时间从2001年到2015年延长了15年。根据所选的CAMEL指标,实证分析得出了令人满意的结果,但存在显著的波动性。除了资本充足率可能与其所有权结构有关外,资产质量、管理效率、收益和流动性表现出合理的结果,但出现了频繁的头肩趋势。这些数据揭示了世行的优势和弱点,强调有必要加强决策者的担忧,以改善和增强世行的稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
FACTORS DETERMINING THE USE OF MOBILE BANKING IN INDONESIA 决定印尼手机银行使用的因素
Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.2.2
Shafa Aqilah, M. Fathoni
This study was aimed at determining the factors that could influence a person’s decision to use mobile banking. In this study, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and perceived credibility were considered exogenous variables, and social factors as mediators. This research used quantitative methods. The population in this study were Indonesian Sharia Bank customers who used BSI mobile banking services in the Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang and Bekasi areas. A sample of 200 people was obtained using the purposive sampling method. The analysis technique used was the inner model, outer model, and hypothesis testing using SmartPLS 3.2.9. The results obtained in this study showed that perceived usefulness had a significant effect on decisions to use mobile banking, perceived ease of use had no significant effect, and perceived credibility had a significant effect. In addition, this study has also shown that social factors did not succeed in mediating other variables in the decision to use mobile banking.
这项研究的目的是确定可能影响一个人决定使用手机银行的因素。在本研究中,感知有用性、感知易用性和感知可信度被认为是外生变量,社会因素作为中介。本研究采用定量方法。本研究的人群是在雅加达、茂物、德波、丹格朗和勿加西地区使用BSI移动银行服务的印尼伊斯兰银行客户。采用目的抽样法,抽取了200人的样本。使用的分析技术为内模型、外模型,并使用SmartPLS 3.2.9进行假设检验。本研究的结果表明,感知有用性对使用手机银行的决策有显著影响,感知易用性没有显著影响,感知可信度有显著影响。此外,这项研究还表明,社会因素并没有成功地中介其他变量在决定使用手机银行。
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引用次数: 0
BEHAVIORAL BIASES AND CREDIT CARD REPAYMENTS AMONG MALAYSIANS 马来西亚人的行为偏见和信用卡还款
Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.2.3
Fazelina Sahul Hamid, Siti Haslina Md Harizan
Analyses done using the survey response of 451 credit cardholders in the northern region of West Malaysia have shown that credit cardholder repayment pattern differed based on their demographic profile. Specifically, the study found that credit cardholders who were younger and earned a lower income tended to make poorer repayment decisions. In contrast, those with higher academic qualifications tended to make better repayment decisions. Further analyses also revealed that behavioral biases were better at predicting those who made full payment of the outstanding balance and those who paid more than the minimum amount, but failed to predict those who only paid the minimum amount or less. In addition, it was found that overspending emerged as the strongest predictor which discriminated among the three repayment groups, followed by risk aversion, myopia and impulsiveness.
对西马北部地区451名信用卡持卡人的调查结果进行的分析表明,信用卡持卡者的还款模式因其人口结构而异。具体而言,研究发现,年龄较小、收入较低的信用卡持卡人往往会做出更糟糕的还款决定。相比之下,那些学历较高的人往往会做出更好的还款决定。进一步的分析还显示,行为偏见更能预测那些全额支付未偿余额的人和那些支付超过最低金额的人,但无法预测那些只支付最低金额或更少的人。此外,研究发现,超支是区分三个还款群体的最强预测因素,其次是风险厌恶、近视和冲动。
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引用次数: 1
VOLATILITY PERSISTENCE IN INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS IN THE POST COVID-19 ERA 后新冠肺炎时代国际金融市场的波动性
Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.2.4
Samuel Tabot Enow
The long-term behaviour of stock markets are of significant importance to asset managers and financial experts due to its direct link with security price valuation. Volatility persistence has a significant impact on the returns of security prices due to its time varying properties. However, there is no real meaningful effect of current volatility on future security prices and returns if the volatility is transitory and not persistent. The aim of this study was to explore conditional volatility properties and determine whether the current volatile environment would persist in the JSE, S&P 500, Nasdaq Index, SSE, CAC 40 and DAX markets. Using a GARCH 1.1 model and a Markov switching model, the findings revealed that volatility would persist in the JSE, S&P 500, Nasdaq Index, SSE, CAC 40, and the DAX from their ARCH and GARCH coefficients, as well as the delay parameters. In addition, the effects of past volatility in the Nasdaq, CAC 40, and DAX would remain in the forecast of variance. A diversified and broader investment approach should be used in the JSE, S&P 500, Nasdaq Index, SSE, CAC 40, and DAX indexes to mitigate risk, and portfolio formation should not concentrate on any sector or asset classes.
由于股票市场的长期行为与证券价格估值直接相关,因此对资产经理和金融专家来说意义重大。波动性持续性由于其时变特性对证券价格的收益有显著影响。然而,如果波动是暂时的而不是持续的,那么当前波动对未来证券价格和回报没有真正有意义的影响。本研究的目的是探索条件波动特性,并确定当前的波动环境是否会持续存在于JSE、标准普尔500指数、纳斯达克指数、SSE、CAC 40和DAX市场。利用GARCH 1.1模型和马尔可夫切换模型,研究结果表明,从JSE、S&P 500、Nasdaq指数、SSE、CAC 40和DAX的ARCH和GARCH系数以及延迟参数来看,波动性将持续存在。此外,纳斯达克、CAC 40和DAX过去波动的影响将继续存在于方差预测中。应在JSE、标准普尔500指数、纳斯达克指数、上证指数、CAC 40指数和DAX指数中采用多元化和更广泛的投资方法来降低风险,并且投资组合不应集中于任何行业或资产类别。
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引用次数: 0
INSIDER TRADING AND CORPORATE SPINOFFS 内幕交易和公司分拆
Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.2.1
C. Charoenwong, K. Ding, Jing Pan
The study reported here examines insider trading and the issue of undervaluation as a motive behind corporate spinoffs. The results show an unmistakable increase (decrease) in the number of insider purchases (sales) and net purchases (sales) in the four quarters prior to a spinoff announcement. In addition, relative to a benchmark period, insider selling is significantly lower, and their net purchases significantly higher, in the three quarters prior to a spinoff announcement, as compared to other periods. Furthermore, announcement period excess returns for abnormal net insider purchases are significantly higher than excess returns for abnormal net insider sales. However, only firms with abnormal net insider purchases exhibit significant improvement in their long-run market and operating performance after a spinoff. The results seem to suggest that undervaluation is an important motive behind corporate spinoffs and that it is possible to identify the quality of a spinoff firm based on insider trading behavior prior to its announcement.
本文报道的这项研究考察了内幕交易和作为公司分拆动机的低估问题。结果显示,在宣布分拆之前的四个季度,内幕交易(销售)和净购买(销售)的数量明显增加(减少)。此外,与基准期相比,在宣布分拆之前的三个季度,与其他时期相比,内部人士的抛售明显较低,净购买明显较高。此外,异常内幕净买入的公告期超额收益显著高于异常内幕净卖出的超额收益。然而,只有内部人净购买异常的公司在分拆后,其长期市场和经营业绩才会有显著改善。研究结果似乎表明,低估值是企业分拆背后的一个重要动机,并且有可能在宣布分拆之前根据内幕交易行为来确定分拆公司的质量。
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引用次数: 1
IS THE KWAP DEFINED BENEFIT PENSION FUND SUSTAINABLE IN THE LONG RUN? 从长远来看,宽保固定收益养老基金是否可持续?
Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.2.5
Wee‐Yeap Lau, Muhammad Irfan Abdul Rahman
The Retirement Fund Incorporated (KWAP) manages the civil servant pension fund. It is a statutory body governed by the Ministry of Finance to manage Malaysia’s civil employees’ pension scheme. In order to examine the fund’s long-term sustainability, this study simulates 560 scenarios to examine the required rate of return needed to fund this defined benefit pension based on four parameters, namely contribution rate, years of service, retirement age and life expectancy. Our results show: First, the minimum years of service for pension eligibility should be increased to 20 years. Second, a contribution rate of at least 13 percent per worker to KWAP is needed. Third, there are no significant changes in the required rate of return even though the retirement age is extended from 55 to 60. Fourth, this study shows that the contribution period is more crucial than the post-retirement period for the sustainability of the pension fund. As a policy suggestion, there is a need for the authority to set a minimum funding ratio for the KWAP pension fund to ensure its long-term sustainability.
退休基金法团管理公务员退休金。它是一个受财政部管辖的法定机构,负责管理马来西亚公务员养老金计划。为了检验该基金的长期可持续性,本研究模拟了560种情景,根据四个参数,即缴费率、服务年限、退休年龄和预期寿命,检验为该固定福利养老金提供资金所需的回报率。我们的研究结果表明:首先,养老金资格的最低服务年限应提高到20年。其次,需要每个工人至少13%的KWAP供款率。第三,即使退休年龄从55岁延长到60岁,所需的回报率也没有显著变化。第四,本研究表明,对于养老基金的可持续性,缴费期比退休后的缴费期更重要。作为一项政策建议,当局有必要为KWAP养老基金设定最低资金比例,以确保其长期可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
THE MODERATING EFFECT OF COST PER LOAN ASSET RATIO ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CREDIT RISK AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF LISTED DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS IN NIGERIA 每笔贷款资产成本比率对尼日利亚上市存款货币银行信用风险与财务绩效关系的调节作用
Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.1.5
I. Shittu, Hannafi Abdulkadir
In recent years, banks in Nigeria have experienced a significant increase in delinquent loan portfolios, which has contributed immensely to the financial difficulties in this sector. Due to the trust of depositors, banks should be responsible for the efficient utilization of resources to achieve cost efficiency, which in turn contributes to raising income. This paper seeks to investigate the moderating role of the cost per loan asset ratio (CLAR) on the relationship between credit risk and return on asset (ROA) of Nigerian deposit money banks (DMBs). This study employs panel data analysis followed by the use of GLS regression models to examine the relationship in question. The population consists of all fifteen (15) listed DMBs in the Nigerian stock market as at December 31st, 2018, while the adjusted population was eleven (11). The results revealed a significant positive moderating relationship between the non-performing loan ratio (NPLR) and capital adequacy ratio (CAR), while the loan loss provision ratio (LLPR) and asset quality ratio (AQR) were negative, but statistically significant. Moreover, the cost per loan asset ratio was found to have an inverse moderating effect on the relationship between the loan and advance ratio (LADR) and the bank’s probability, even though it was not statistically significant. Based on the research findings, the study recommends that policymakers focus on capital regulation as measured by the capital adequacy ratio, risk level, liquidity, and operational cost efficiency. In addition, banks should have effective and efficient strategies to manage credit risks, which might help to enhance their performance.
近年来,尼日利亚的银行拖欠贷款组合大幅增加,这极大地加剧了该部门的财政困难。由于存款人的信任,银行应该对资源的有效利用负责,以实现成本效益,从而有助于提高收入。本文旨在探讨每笔贷款资产成本比率(CLAR)对尼日利亚存款货币银行(dmb)信用风险与资产收益率(ROA)关系的调节作用。本研究采用面板数据分析,然后使用GLS回归模型来检验有问题的关系。人口包括截至2018年12月31日在尼日利亚股票市场上市的所有15家dmb,而调整后的人口为11家。结果显示,不良贷款率(NPLR)和资本充足率(CAR)之间存在显著的正向调节关系,而贷款损失拨备率(LLPR)和资产质量率(AQR)之间存在显著的负向调节关系,但具有统计学意义。此外,发现每笔贷款的资产成本比率对贷款和预收比率(LADR)与银行概率之间的关系具有反向调节作用,尽管它在统计上不显著。根据研究结果,该研究建议政策制定者将重点放在资本充足率、风险水平、流动性和运营成本效率等指标的资本监管上。此外,银行应该有有效和高效的策略来管理信贷风险,这可能有助于提高他们的业绩。
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引用次数: 0
DETERMINANTS OF SME SUCCESS OR FAILURE IN FRONTIER MARKETS 中小企业在前沿市场成败的决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.1.1
Muhammad M. Ma’aji, Rob Shrubsall, Ediri O. Anderson
SME competitiveness, financial stability, and and its continuity as a going concern are important considerations for companystakeholders. This research is utilizing logistic regression to examine the determinants of SME business success or failure in Cambodia. A total of 314 successful and 78 failing SMEs were examined. Information was gathered through a survey questionnaire that had been previously validated in various countries based on the financial and non-financial information of SMEs. The study found that four factors, namely the owner’s education level, owner’s marketing skills, customer complaints, and the age of the business were important in determining the success or failure of SMEs. The predictive accuracy of the model was 95.5 percent, with an R-square estimation of 64 percent. Policymakers can use the results of this study to prepare and train aspirant entrepreneurs and current SME proprietors to keep proper records and maintain financial control, and develop marketing and other skills to assist their businesses to succeed. The findings can provide insights for entrepreneurs, especially with respect to efficient resource allocations that may help avert or lessen the rate of failure among SMEs. The findings can also help strengthen the SME sector in Cambodia, by providing more employment opportunities, assisting in better income distribution, and eventually leading to long-term prosperity and competitiveness.
中小企业的竞争力、财务稳定性和持续经营是企业利益相关者的重要考虑因素。本研究利用逻辑回归来检验柬埔寨中小企业成功或失败的决定因素。共调查了314家成功中小企业和78家失败中小企业。根据中小企业的财务和非财务信息,通过一项调查问卷收集信息,该问卷以前在各国得到验证。研究发现,四个因素,即所有者的教育水平,所有者的营销技巧,客户投诉,以及企业的年龄是决定中小企业成败的重要因素。该模型的预测准确率为95.5%,r方估计为64%。政策制定者可以利用这项研究的结果,为有抱负的企业家和现有的中小企业业主做好准备和培训,使他们保持适当的记录和保持财务控制,并发展营销和其他技能,以帮助他们的企业取得成功。这些发现可以为企业家提供见解,特别是在有效的资源分配方面,这可能有助于避免或减少中小企业的失败率。研究结果还有助于加强柬埔寨的中小企业部门,提供更多就业机会,帮助改善收入分配,并最终实现长期繁荣和竞争力。
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引用次数: 2
DYNAMICS OF THE MOROCCAN INDUSTRY INDICES NETWORK BEFORE AND DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC 新冠肺炎大流行前后摩洛哥工业指数网络的动态
Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.1.2
El Msiyah Cherif, Jaouad Madkour
This paper studies the topological properties of the dynamics of the industry indices network at the Moroccan stock exchange by usingnetwork theory. The Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) was constructed from the metric distances which had been calculated for the different pairs of industrial indices. The dynamics of the MST were analysed over the period 2013 to 2020 using the sliding window technique. The period studied was divided into the pre-pandemic Covid-19 period and the pandemic Covid-19 period. Connectivity and centrality indicators were calculated to track the connectivity structure over time and to identify the positioning and the importance of the industry indices studied. The result of this study indicates that the network of industry indices was relatively stable during the pre-pandemic Covid-19 period before observing a sudden rapprochement between industries when the Covid-19 pandemic was officially announced. The formation of star-shaped networks was also observed. These networks were centred on the banking industry, essentially during the pandemic Covid-19 period. The banking industry was also positioned at the centre of the Moroccan industry indices network. 
本文运用网络理论研究了摩洛哥证券交易所行业指数网络动力学的拓扑性质。最小生成树(MST)是根据为不同的工业指数对计算的度量距离构建的。使用滑动窗口技术分析了2013年至2020年期间MST的动态。所研究的时期分为大流行前新冠肺炎时期和大流行前新冠肺炎时期。计算连通性和中心性指标,以跟踪一段时间内的连通性结构,并确定所研究行业指数的定位和重要性。这项研究的结果表明,在新冠肺炎大流行正式宣布之前,行业指数网络在大流行前新冠肺炎期间相对稳定,然后观察到行业之间突然和解。还观察到了星形网络的形成。这些网络主要集中在银行业,主要是在新冠肺炎大流行期间。银行业也处于摩洛哥工业指数网络的中心。
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引用次数: 0
ACCOUNTING CONSERVATISM AND CORPORATE TAX AVOIDANCE 会计稳健性与企业避税
Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.32890/ijbf2023.18.1.3
Hamid Njiddah Sa’ad, Zaid Abubakar, Suleiman Salami
This study investigates the effect of accounting conservatism on the corporate tax avoidance of listed non-financial firms in Nigeria. This study computes corporate tax avoidance based on the cash effective tax rate (CETR), GAAP effective tax rate (GETR) and book taxdifference (BTD). Accounting conservatism was measured using negative accruals. The study employed an ex-post factor researchdesign utilizing unbalanced panel data. The study covered 48 listed non-financial firms during the period between 2014 and 2020. Three regression models were developed and utilized in the study. The study has revealed that accounting conservatism has a negative and significant effect on both the GETR and BTD. It is recommended that the Financial Reporting Council of Nigeria should encourage promulgation of standards which improve conservatism in financial reporting, as it has been empirically proven to reduce tax avoidance practices by non-financial firms in Nigeria.
本研究探讨会计稳健性对尼日利亚非金融上市公司公司避税的影响。本研究基于现金有效税率(CETR)、GAAP有效税率(GETR)和账面税差(BTD)计算企业避税。会计稳健性是用负应计利润来衡量的。本研究采用非平衡面板数据的事后因素研究设计。该研究涵盖了2014年至2020年期间48家上市非金融公司。本研究建立了三种回归模型。研究发现,会计稳健性对企业净资产收益率和账面收益均有显著的负向影响。建议尼日利亚财务报告理事会应鼓励颁布改善财务报告保守性的标准,因为它已被经验证明可以减少尼日利亚非金融公司的避税做法。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Banking and Finance
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