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Diagnosing landscape-driven coastal carrying capacity degradation for targeted environmental management: Evidence from the Bohai Rim, China.
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131247
Shuai Wu, Xin Qiao, Fushen Zhang, Yadong Zhou, Jingqiu Zhong, Changren Zhang, Wenzhen Zhao, Xiaolu Yan

Coastal landscape transformation can degrade ecosystem-service functions and constrain the capacity of coastal systems to sustain resource provision, environmental regulation, habitat support, and recreational use. Existing studies have advanced coastal carrying capacity assessment, but many rely on aggregate indices or individual landscape metrics, making it difficult to identify which landscape dimensions drive specific functional changes and how such evidence can support targeted environmental management. To address this gap, this study develops an environmental-management-oriented diagnostic framework linking landscape patterns to coastal carrying capacity. Using the Bohai Rim of China as an empirical case, we construct a four-dimensional carrying capacity framework from an ecosystem service supply-demand perspective and integrate SHAP-XGBoost, bivariate spatial autocorrelation, and geographically and temporally weighted regression to identify key landscape drivers, spatial coupling patterns, and spatiotemporal non-stationarity. The results show that landscape morphology mainly constrains resource supply capacity by reducing the continuity of production landscapes; landscape composition has context-dependent effects on environmental regulation and habitat support, depending on whether diversity results from natural habitat enrichment or artificial land-cover intrusion; and fragmentation was predominantly associated with lower travel and leisure carrying capacity by weakening visual continuity and ecological integrity. Spatial coupling and GTWR results reveal increasing polarization between development-intensive coastlines and conservation-dominated ecological patches. Based on these findings, we propose a zoning-dimension-carrying capacity framework to help guide decisions for managing carrying capacity degradation in multifunctional coastal environmental systems.

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引用次数: 0
Contrasting water use stability among dominant woody species across hillslope habitats in an alpine catchment of the upper Heihe River Basin.
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131243
Yang Wang, Xiong Xiao, Jinghui Zhang, Yu Hong

Topographic position modulates soil moisture distribution and seasonal dynamics in alpine ecosystems, thereby shaping vegetation water-use patterns. However, whether dominant woody species occupying different hillslope habitats differ in the stability of their water-use strategies remains poorly understood at the hillslope scale. We investigated two dominant conifers, Picea crassifolia and Juniperus przewalskii, and a widespread alpine shrub, Dasiphora fruticosa across upslope, midslope, and footslope positions during the pre-rainy, rainy, and late-rainy seasons in an alpine catchment of the upper Heihe River Basin. By integrating δ2H and δ18O of soil and xylem water with a MixSIAR Bayesian mixing model, together with leaf δ13C, we quantified water sources for each species and evaluated water-use stability across hillslope positions and seasonal stages. Despite differences in dominant uptake depth, both conifers maintained relatively stable water-use strategies across slope positions and seasons. J. przewalskii persistently relied on deep soil water, which contributed 47% to 53% of total uptake, whereas P. crassifolia predominantly used shallow soil water, accounting for 44% to 65%. In contrast, D. fruticosa showed strong plasticity, with deep water uptake increasing from 16.2% to 41.0%, although this flexibility was constrained at upslope positions where available water was largely confined to shallow soil layers. Variability in leaf δ13C further indicated stronger physiological stability in the two conifer species within their respective hillslope habitats than in the shrub species, particularly at upper slope positions under greater evaporative demand. These findings suggest that water-use stability was associated with the sustained dominance of reliable soil water sources.

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引用次数: 0
Data science in ecosystem-service research: A CICES-based bibliometric mapping and decision-support synthesis.
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131235
Rong-Gang Cong, Zi-Song Ma, Peng Wang

Data science (DS) methods have attracted growing attention in ecosystem-services (ES) research, yet their bibliographic visibility across service categories and the implications of this pattern for environmental management remain insufficiently understood. This study combines bibliometric analysis, CICES-based classification, association-rule analysis, and decision-oriented synthesis to examine how DS methods are represented across ES domains. Bibliographic records were retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection for 2015-2025. After LLM-assisted relevance screening, CICES-based classification, and manual validation, 53,227 ES publications were retained. We analyze temporal publication trends, geographical and institutional patterns, collaboration networks, service-domain distributions, and the bibliographic visibility of DS terms in titles, abstracts, author keywords, and Keywords Plus. Association-rule analysis was used to identify recurring ES theme-DS method associations using appearance, lift, and confidence. The results show sustained growth in ES publications and geographically uneven research output. DS-related terms were identified in 9.56% of publications under the broad bibliographic-field indicator and in 3.17% under the keyword-field indicator. Their visibility increased over time but remained concentrated in established methods. Random forest and principal component analysis were prominent among the highest-scoring theme-method associations, whereas deep learning, generative models, and explainable artificial intelligence appeared less prominently. The results suggest that established DS can support prediction, classification, and dimensionality reduction, but effective decision support requires validation, uncertainty characterization, interpretability, representativeness assessment, and accountability safeguards. The findings highlight the need to align ES questions, analytical tasks, data structures, validation strategies, management scales, and intended uses when designing DS applications for environmental management.

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引用次数: 0
Construction of ecological corridors for the Amur tiger (Panthera tigris altaica) and red deer (Cervus elaphus) in the Northeast China Tiger and Leopard National Park and conservation recommendations.
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131047
Yiting Xia, Ruifeng Wang, Shuxin Zhu, Minghui Geng, Jie Peng, Guofa Cui

This study selected an apex predator-Amur tiger (Panthera tigris altaica), and a typical herbivore-red deer (Cervus elaphus) as the focal species to construct ecological corridors in the Northeast China Tiger and Leopard National Park (TLNP). The aim was to build ecological corridors based on the predator-prey relationship, enhance habitat connectivity, promote species dispersal and gene exchange, and mitigate the threat of habitat fragmentation to biodiversity. The resistance surface was constructed based on the habitat preferences of the focal species. Ecological sources were identified by combining Morphological Spatial Pattern Analysis (MSPA) with the dispersal abilities of the species. Finally, ecological corridors and key nodes were identified based on Circuit Theory. The results revealed that (1) There were 9 ecological sources for both the Amur tiger and red deer respectively, which were mostly located near the border in the southeastern and northwestern areas of the TLNP. The Amur tiger and the red deer each had a total of 15 corridors, more than half of which required crossing roads. (2) For the Amur tiger and the red deer, 4 and 32 pinch points were identified, along with 6 and 7 barrier points, respectively. The barrier points of the red deer were primarily found where roads and ecological corridors met; (3) Wildlife passages should be constructed in sections of S502, S318, and G331 with high ecological corridors density. This study can provide a scientific basis for the construction of ecological corridors in the TLNP and hold significant practical value for guiding wildlife passage site selection, mitigating human-wildlife conflict, and promoting transboundary population exchange.

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引用次数: 0
Cadmium partitioning and maize accumulation under coal gangue and cattle manure amendments in two contrasting soils.
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131248
Chengzhong He, Qiang Li, Hedian Yan, Xin Jiang, Jing Liu, Lin Song, Bo Li, Fangdong Zhan, Tianyi Pu, Ting Li, Changqun Duan

Assessing Cd behavior in agricultural soils requires consideration of total soil Cd, its operational partitioning, and crop accumulation. A 122-day greenhouse pot experiment evaluated coal gangue, air-dried cattle manure, and their mixtures in two contrasting composite soils: an acidic lower-Cd soil (LS) and a neutral-to-alkaline higher-Cd soil (HS). After cultivation, total soil Cd averaged 0.648 and 1.825 mg kg-1 in LS and HS, respectively, whereas operationally labile Cd concentrations were similar (0.195 and 0.207 mg kg-1). Residual Cd accounted for 19.97% of fraction-sum Cd in LS and 57.50% in HS, while mean root-associated, stem, and leaf Cd concentrations were consistently higher in LS. Among grain-bearing amended pots, mixed coal gangue-manure treatments had lower grain Cd concentrations than manure-only treatments in both soils. Mean grain Cd mass decreased from 8.94 to 2.49 μg pot-1 in LS and from 6.92 to 1.50 μg pot-1 in HS for manure-only and mixed treatments, respectively. Grain dry mass was comparable between these treatment groups in LS and slightly lower under mixed treatments in HS, indicating that the lower grain Cd was not attributable solely to biomass dilution. Ten of 18 manure-only grain samples, but none of the 29 mixed-treatment samples, exceeded the 0.10 mg kg-1 reference threshold. Because the unamended planted controls produced no grain at harvest, grain-based comparisons were restricted to grain-bearing amended pots. The contrasting soil and plant responses demonstrate that total soil Cd alone does not adequately represent crop Cd behavior. Integrating soil Cd partitioning with grain Cd concentration and Cd mass provides a more informative basis for evaluating amendment responses in soil-maize systems.

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引用次数: 0
Developing biodiversity indicators for monitoring agricultural sustainability: Insights from a Delphi expert process. 开发监测农业可持续性的生物多样性指标:来自德尔菲专家过程的见解。
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131056
Lisa Arguile, Jo Smith, Richard P Kipling, Victoria J Burton, Katherine Clark, Lorna J Cole, Selva Dhandapani, Karen F Fisher, Michael P D Garratt, Alfred Gathorne-Hardy, Laura J Girling, Robbie D Girling, Felix Herzog, Amelia S C Hood, Hauke Koch, Vince Lea, Mark A Lee, Fergus Lyon, Alice L Mauchline, Niamh M McHugh, Lisa R Norton, Jacqueline A Parker, Simon G Potts, Mark W Ramsden, Deepa Senapathi, William D Simonson, Alison Smith, Barbara M Smith, Pete Smith, Philip C Stevenson, Jonathan Storkey, Cairistiona F E Topp, Alexa Varah, Rosemary Venn, Ben A Woodcock, Nicholas Bardsley, Laurence G Smith

With agricultural activities widely cited as drivers of biodiversity loss globally, it is important to distinguish between agricultural practices that have negative impacts and those with positive impacts on biodiversity. To measure on-farm biodiversity outcomes, the direction and magnitude of impacts need to be assessed. Outcomes can be measured using indicators. However, there is currently a multitude of biodiversity indicators available. This abundance makes monitoring biodiversity outcomes challenging, as farmers lack clarity on what to measure. This study presents a shortlist of biodiversity indicators selected via an expert panel as part of a modified Delphi process. The modified Delphi implemented two scoring approaches across four rounds, exploring the decision-making behind indicator selection. Thirty-nine experts scored 58 indicators based on their appropriateness for evaluating on-farm biodiversity and the practicality of data collection by non-specialists. The variation in scoring approaches helped combat respondent fatigue and build robustness into the indicator selection process. At the end of the study, nine indicators were chosen for monitoring on-farm biodiversity: area of habitat types, a connectivity index, a diversity index (landscape), both a crop and livestock diversity index, in-field crop temporal heterogeneity, indicator species, species richness, and species rarity. A final step considering each indicator's ability to inform on-farm decision-making is likely to have increased the efficacy of the chosen indicators in driving practice change. This would ensure the selected indicators are multifunctional, providing an evaluation of impact while also highlighting the desired direction of travel for the farmer or landowner.

随着农业活动被广泛认为是全球生物多样性丧失的驱动因素,区分对生物多样性有负面影响和积极影响的农业做法非常重要。为了衡量农场生物多样性的结果,需要评估影响的方向和程度。结果可以用指标来衡量。然而,目前有大量的生物多样性指标可用。这种丰富性使得监测生物多样性的结果具有挑战性,因为农民不清楚该测量什么。本研究提出了一个生物多样性指标的候选名单,通过一个专家小组选择,作为改进的德尔菲过程的一部分。改进后的德尔菲在四轮中实施了两种评分方法,探讨了指标选择背后的决策。39名专家根据评估农场生物多样性的适宜性和非专业人员收集数据的实用性,对58项指标进行了评分。评分方法的变化有助于消除受访者的疲劳,并在指标选择过程中建立稳健性。研究最后选择了生境类型面积、连通性指数、多样性指数(景观)、作物和牲畜多样性指数、田间作物时间异质性、指示物种、物种丰富度和物种稀有度9个指标来监测农田生物多样性。最后一步是考虑每个指标为农场决策提供信息的能力,这可能会提高所选指标在推动实践变革方面的效力。这将确保选定的指标是多功能的,既能评价影响,又能突出农民或土地所有者所希望的行动方向。
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引用次数: 0
Insight into the urine progression and DOM transformation mechanism for sustainable nitrogen-water synergistic recovery in space stations. 空间站氮水可持续协同回收的尿液进展及DOM转化机制研究。
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131219
Qiyang Wu, Qingqing Gu, Jianye Jiao, Bart Van der Bruggen, Ho Kyong Shon, Yuansong Wei, Libing Zheng

Urine represents a critical water resource for closing the water and nitrogen loop in life support systems during manned space exploration. This work focuses on the impacts of pretreatment agents on urine progression and dissolved organic matter (DOM) transformation during long-term storage, with a perspective towards technology innovation for nitrogen-water synergistic recovery from urine in space. Urea hydrolysis, driven by microbial activity, was identified as the primary driver of urine variation, initiating rapid changes within 8 h of storage. The time point of significant DOM variation was prior to urea hydrolysis, and fresh humic-like substance from recent biological activity, which were dominated the variations of DOM. Meanwhile, the increasing NH4+-N and pH can resulted in precipitation, such as MgNH4PO4, which showed potential risks to the urine transport and treatment devices. Both H2SO4 and CrO3 showed excellent urine stabilization performance with urea hydrolysis rates of 0.10∼0.17 within 336 h. However, there have divergent DOM transformation pathways and sediment components: H2SO4 influenced the fresh DOM by microbial inhibition through acidic environment, and uric acid and CaSO4 were the main sediments; CrO3 could enhance the degradation of protein-like substances by strong oxidation, and generate Cr-containing dense sediments. Therefore, the selection criteria for technologies and pretreatment agents on urine recovery are proposed, which encourage the integration of membrane separation and biosynthesis. This work reveals the dynamic variation and the mechanism of pretreatment agents during urine storage, which offers the basis for innovation in urine recovery for deep space exploration.

在载人航天探索过程中,尿液是生命维持系统中关闭水氮循环的关键水资源。本研究主要研究了预处理剂对长期储存过程中尿液进程和溶解有机物(DOM)转化的影响,并展望了空间尿液氮水协同回收技术的创新。在微生物活动的驱动下,尿素水解被认为是尿液变化的主要驱动因素,在8 h的储存时间内开始快速变化。DOM发生显著变化的时间点在尿素水解之前,而新鲜腐殖质样物质在近期生物活性中起主导作用。同时,NH4+-N和pH的增加会导致沉淀,如MgNH4PO4,这对尿液运输和处理装置有潜在的风险。H2SO4和CrO3均表现出优异的尿稳定性能,在336 h内尿素水解率为0.10 ~ 0.17。但DOM的转化途径和沉积物成分存在差异:H2SO4通过酸性环境对微生物的抑制作用影响新鲜DOM,尿酸和CaSO4是主要沉积物;CrO3可以通过强氧化增强对类蛋白物质的降解,生成含cr的致密沉积物。因此,提出了尿回收技术和预处理药剂的选择标准,促进了膜分离和生物合成的结合。本研究揭示了尿液储存过程中预处理剂的动态变化及其机理,为深空探测尿液回收技术的创新提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-scale framework for long-term prediction of algal bloom occurrence using satellite-derived mapping and catchment-scale drivers. 利用卫星制图和流域尺度驱动因素对藻华发生进行长期预测的多尺度框架。
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131223
Ismail Colkesen, Mustafacan Saygi, Osman Yavuz Altuntas, Halil Nurullah Oruc, Meltem Celen

Algal bloom prediction remains challenging in data-scarce lake systems where continuous in-situ bloom observations and long-term external loading records are limited. This study developed an integrated multi-scale framework for predicting algal bloom occurrence in Lake Burdur over the 1987-2024 period by combining satellite-based deep learning (DL), catchment-scale hydrological and water-quality simulation, machine learning, and explainable artificial intelligence. Long-term Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery was used with U-Net DL models to detect algal blooms, achieving test accuracies of 94.91% and 91.53%, respectively. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was implemented to simulate catchment-derived hydrological and water-quality inputs entering the lake, including point and non-point source contributions. These SWAT-derived variables, together with meteorological parameters, were used to train Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Categorical Boosting models under three temporal lag scenarios, namely short-term (t-1 to t-3), medium-term (t-1 to t-6), and long-term (t-1 to t-12). The short-term lag scenario provided the most favorable overall balance between predictive performance, stability, and generalization, with the SVM model achieving an overall accuracy of 89.74% and a balanced accuracy of 90.42%. SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis indicated that short-term bloom prediction was mainly associated with meteorological predictors, particularly Logarithmic Solar Radiation-Wind Speed Index and relative humidity, whereas SWAT-derived external Total Nitrogen to Total Phosphorus loading ratio became more influential under the medium-term scenario. These findings indicate that bloom prediction in Lake Burdur was associated with interacting recent atmospheric conditions and antecedent catchment-derived nutrient inputs. The proposed framework provides an interpretable basis for algal bloom prediction and supports future development toward early-warning applications in data-scarce lake systems.

在数据稀缺的湖泊系统中,藻华预测仍然具有挑战性,因为连续的原位藻华观测和长期的外部负荷记录有限。本研究通过结合基于卫星的深度学习(DL)、流域尺度水文和水质模拟、机器学习和可解释的人工智能,开发了一个综合的多尺度框架,用于预测1987-2024年期间布尔杜尔湖的藻华发生。利用长期Landsat和Sentinel-2影像与U-Net DL模型进行藻华检测,测试精度分别达到94.91%和91.53%。利用水土评估工具(SWAT)模拟流域水文和水质输入,包括点源和非点源。这些swat衍生变量与气象参数一起,在短期(t-1至t-3)、中期(t-1至t-6)和长期(t-1至t-12)三种时间滞后情景下训练随机森林、支持向量机(SVM)、极端梯度增强和分类增强模型。短期滞后场景在预测性能、稳定性和泛化之间提供了最有利的整体平衡,支持向量机模型的总体准确率为89.74%,平衡准确率为90.42%。SHapley加性解释分析表明,短期水华预测主要与气象因子相关,特别是对数太阳辐射-风速指数和相对湿度,而swat衍生的外部总氮/总磷负荷比在中期情景下影响更大。这些发现表明,布尔杜尔湖的水华预测与近期大气条件和先前流域来源的养分输入相互作用有关。提出的框架为藻华预测提供了一个可解释的基础,并支持未来在数据稀缺的湖泊系统中向预警应用的发展。
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引用次数: 0
A sensitivity-informed correlation-based framework for detecting runoff pollutant hotspots in grazed catchments: Implications for precision cattle grazing to improve water quality. 一个基于敏感性信息的相关性框架用于检测放牧集水区径流污染物热点:对精确放牧改善水质的影响。
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131190
Afsaneh Kaghazchi, Ali Mirchi, Kasra Khodkar, Ryan Reuter, Kevin Wagner, Andrew Jolin

Cattle grazing is a known source of water pollution. Identifying areas within grazinglands where cattle activity contributes most to downstream water quality impairment is important for effective management. This study presents a framework to detect these runoff pollutant hotspots. The framework is based on Pearson correlation coefficients between cattle presence across the catchment and water quality at the outlet. Cattle locations were recorded at 5-60 min time intervals using Virtual Fencing (VF) technology in three experimental catchments located in north-central Oklahoma, USA, two under rotational grazing and one continuously grazed. Escherichia coli (E. coli), total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN), and total phosphorus (TP) were measured during runoff events between March 2022, and June 2024. The spatial and temporal scales at which runoff quality was most affected by cattle presence were determined through a sensitivity analysis of grid cell size (GCS), time interval (ΔT) between consecutive cattle Global Positioning System (GPS) records, and pollutant half-life (HL) representing manure decay. The strongest grid cell-scale correlations between water quality parameters and cattle presence ranged from 0.48 to 0.83 for E. coli, 0.70 to 0.86 for TKN, and 0.67 to 0.90 for TP. These hotspots were detected using grid cell sizes ranging from 70 m × 70 m to 100 m × 100 m, and half-life values ranging from 3 to 12 days for E. coli, 3-23 days for TKN, and 3-20 days for TP. Compared to the continuously grazed catchment, hotspots in rotationally grazed, VF-managed catchments with cattle exclusion from riparian buffers were fewer, diffused, and located away from streams. Significant positive spatial autocorrelation was observed in five hotspot maps. Hotspot identification was influenced by pollutant persistence and grazing management, with rotational grazing showing fewer and more diffuse hotspots than continuous grazing.

放牧是水污染的一个已知来源。确定放牧区内牛群活动对下游水质损害最大的区域对有效管理很重要。本研究提出了一个检测这些径流污染物热点的框架。该框架基于集水区牛群存在与出水口水质之间的Pearson相关系数。利用虚拟围栏(VF)技术,在美国俄克拉荷马州中北部的三个实验集水区以5-60 min的时间间隔记录牛的位置,其中两个是轮牧,一个是连续放牧。测定了2022年3月至2024年6月径流事件中大肠杆菌(E. coli)、总凯氏定氮(TKN)和总磷(TP)的含量。通过对栅格单元大小(GCS)、连续牛全球定位系统(GPS)记录之间的时间间隔(ΔT)和代表粪便腐烂的污染物半衰期(HL)的敏感性分析,确定了牛存在对径流质量影响最大的时空尺度。在网格细胞尺度上,水质参数与牛的存在之间的最强相关性为大肠杆菌0.48 ~ 0.83,TKN 0.70 ~ 0.86, TP 0.67 ~ 0.90。这些热点的网格细胞大小为70 m × 70 m至100 m × 100 m,大肠杆菌的半衰期为3 ~ 12天,TKN为3 ~ 23天,TP为3 ~ 20天。与连续放牧的集水区相比,轮流放牧、vf管理的集水区(将牛排除在河岸缓冲带之外)的热点较少、分散且远离溪流。5个热点图均存在显著的正空间自相关。热点识别受污染物持久性和放牧管理的影响,轮牧比连续放牧热点更少、更分散。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying predictors of resilience in European forests through stakeholders' perceptions. 通过利益相关者的看法确定欧洲森林恢复力的预测因素。
IF 9.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131182
Luciana Jaime, Pilar Hurtado, Josep María Espelta, Lukas Baumbach, Anton Brenko, Elena Cantarello, Tomáš Hlásny, Martin Jankovský, Martina Kičić, Georges Kunstler, Sophie Labonne, Stefanie Linser, Alice Ludvig, Petra Palátová, Mikko Peltoniemi, Juan Picos, Björn Reineking, Blasius Schmid, Aralisa Shedden, Ian Short, Jonathan Spazzi, Dijana Vuletic, Francisco Lloret

Enhancing forest resilience to climate change requires operationalizing resilience assessments and engaging stakeholders to support effective decision-making. Here, we assessed stakeholder perceptions of resilience indicators (i.e., predictors and system variables) and their relevance for promoting the resilience of European forests across ecological and socioeconomic dimensions. Stakeholder profiles and regional systems were considered as complementary contextual dimensions to explore variability in resilience perceptions across different forest social-ecological contexts. Through bipartite networks and ranking analyses, we assessed whether stakeholders perceived modular relationships between resilience predictors and systems variables associated with forest ecosystem services and forest-based value chains, identified the predictors most broadly relevant for promoting resilience, and assessed their perceived operational applicability. Results revealed consistent modules linking biodiversity-related variables with key resilience predictors associated with forest management, conservation and forest structural attributes across stakeholder profiles and regional contexts. By contrast, productivity-related variables were associated with predictors related to harvesting intensity, land use, and forest economics, particularly within the socioeconomic dimension, among value chain actors, and in a central and northern Europe contexts. Forest management and forest structural attributes consistently emerged as the most broadly connected predictors across dimensions, whereas some predictors, such as deadwood, were perceived as having more specialized relationships with biodiversity-related variables. Perceived practicability was moderately correlated with explanatory strength and measurability, suggesting a gap between perceived relevance and operational implementation. Overall, our results highlight the value of perception-based network approaches for identifying resilience priorities and supporting resilience-oriented governance and decision-making under climate change.

增强森林对气候变化的抵御能力需要实施抵御能力评估,并让利益攸关方参与支持有效决策。在这里,我们评估了利益相关者对恢复力指标(即预测因子和系统变量)的看法,以及它们在生态和社会经济层面促进欧洲森林恢复力的相关性。利益相关者概况和区域系统被认为是互补的背景维度,以探索不同森林社会生态背景下恢复力感知的可变性。通过双部网络和排名分析,我们评估了利益相关者是否感知复原力预测因子与森林生态系统服务和森林价值链相关的系统变量之间的模块化关系,确定了与促进复原力最广泛相关的预测因子,并评估了其感知的操作适用性。结果显示,在利益相关者概况和区域背景下,将生物多样性相关变量与与森林管理、保护和森林结构属性相关的关键复原力预测因子联系起来的模块是一致的。相比之下,生产力相关变量与采伐强度、土地利用和森林经济相关的预测因子相关,特别是在价值链参与者和中欧和北欧背景下的社会经济层面。森林管理和森林结构属性始终是各维度上联系最广泛的预测因素,而一些预测因素,如枯木,被认为与生物多样性相关变量有更专门的关系。感知实用性与解释强度和可测量性适度相关,表明感知相关性与操作实施之间存在差距。总体而言,我们的研究结果突出了基于感知的网络方法在气候变化下确定复原力优先事项和支持复原力导向的治理和决策方面的价值。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Environmental Management
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