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Resolving the Conflict of Greens: A GIS-Based and Participatory Least-Conflict Sitting Framework for Solar Energy Development in Southwest Taiwan 解决绿色冲突:基于gis、参与式最小冲突的台湾西南太阳能开发框架
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3924314
Hsiao-Wen Wang, Adrienne Dodd, Yekang Ko
Transitions to renewable energy is vital in reducing greenhouse gases and building a sustainable future. As large-scale renewable energy development expands, more land use conflicts are arising. Such conflicts are especially difficult in Taiwan, where the renewable energy goal is ambitious and land availability is limited. In this study, we develop a Participatory Least Conflict Solar Siting Framework which uses place-based stakeholder engagement paired with Analytical Hierarchy Process and Geographic Information System based multi-criteria decision making to identify suitable solar development sites. We use a case study to demonstrate how the framework can be used. The results show that if only 12% of the land with medium to high suitability are developed for solar energy generation, Tainan City and Chiayi County alone could support the government’s solar development goal for the entirety of Taiwan by 2025. Our study also reveals that the use of participatory methods in site evaluation and final site design is important to ensure true suitability. We suggest this framework be used to address the spatial mismatch between national level policy and local implementation, promote a participatory approach that supports place-based renewable energy collocation, and develop policy and regulations to support a just transition toward carbon neutrality.
向可再生能源过渡对于减少温室气体排放和建设可持续发展的未来至关重要。随着大规模可再生能源开发的扩大,越来越多的土地使用冲突出现。这种冲突在台湾尤其困难,因为台湾的可再生能源目标雄心勃勃,而土地供应有限。在本研究中,我们开发了参与式最小冲突太阳能选址框架,该框架使用基于地点的利益相关者参与,结合层次分析法和基于多标准决策的地理信息系统来确定合适的太阳能开发地点。我们将使用一个案例研究来演示如何使用该框架。研究结果显示,只要开发出12%的中、高适宜度太阳能发电用地,仅台南市和嘉义县就能支持政府到2025年整个台湾的太阳能发展目标。我们的研究还表明,在场地评估和最终场地设计中使用参与式方法对于确保真正的适宜性非常重要。我们建议利用这一框架来解决国家层面的政策与地方实施之间的空间不匹配问题,促进支持基于地方的可再生能源配置的参与式方法,并制定政策和法规来支持向碳中和的公正过渡。
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引用次数: 1
Education Quality, Green Technology, and the Economic Impact of Carbon Pricing 教育质量、绿色技术和碳定价的经济影响
Pub Date : 2021-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3942927
H. Patrinos, K. Macdonald
Carbon pricing is increasingly used by governments to reduce emissions. The effect of carbon pricing on economic outcomes as well as mitigating factors has been studied extensively since the early 1990s. One mitigating factor that has received less attention is education quality. If technological change that reduces the reliance of production on emissions is skill-biased, then carbon pricing may increase the skill premium of earnings and subsequent wage inequality; however, a more elastic skill supply through better education quality may mitigate adverse economic outcomes, including wage inequality, and enhance the effect of carbon pricing on technological change and subsequently emissions. A general equilibrium, overlapping-generations model is proposed, with endogenous skill investment in which the average skill level of the workforce can affect the need for emissions in an aggregate production function. This study uses data on industrial emissions linked to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Programme for International Assessment of Adult Competencies dataset for European Union countries. The findings show that, within countries, cognitive skills are positively associated with employment in industries that rely less on emissions for production and in industries that, over time, have been able to reduce their reliance on emissions for production. In the estimated general equilibrium model, higher cognitive skills reduce an economy’s reliance on emissions for production. Having higher quality education—defined as the level of cognitive skills attained by workers per unit of cost—increases the elasticity of skill supply and, as a result, mitigates a carbon tax’s economic costs including output loss and wage inequity, and enhances its effect on emissions reduction. The implication is that investments in education quality are needed for better enabling green technological innovation and adaptation and reducing inequality that results from carbon pricing.
各国政府越来越多地利用碳定价来减少排放。自20世纪90年代初以来,碳定价对经济结果的影响以及缓解因素已经得到了广泛的研究。一个受到较少关注的缓解因素是教育质量。如果减少生产对排放依赖的技术变革是技能偏向的,那么碳定价可能会增加收入的技能溢价和随后的工资不平等;然而,通过提高教育质量提供更有弹性的技能供应,可能会缓解不利的经济后果,包括工资不平等,并增强碳定价对技术变革和随后的排放的影响。本文提出了一个一般均衡的重叠世代模型,其中劳动力的平均技能水平可以影响总生产函数中对排放的需求。这项研究使用的工业排放数据与经济合作与发展组织的欧盟国家成人能力国际评估计划数据集有关。研究结果表明,在国家内部,认知技能与在生产中较少依赖排放的行业以及在经过一段时间后能够减少生产中对排放的依赖的行业的就业呈正相关。在估计的一般均衡模型中,较高的认知技能减少了经济对生产排放的依赖。拥有更高质量的教育——定义为工人每单位成本所获得的认知技能水平——会增加技能供给的弹性,从而减轻碳税的经济成本,包括产出损失和工资不平等,并增强其对减排的影响。这意味着,为了更好地实现绿色技术创新和适应,以及减少碳定价造成的不平等,需要对教育质量进行投资。
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引用次数: 0
Burn it or let them bury it? The net social cost of producing district heating from imported waste 烧了还是让他们埋了?利用进口废物生产区域供热系统的净社会成本
Pub Date : 2021-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3942535
Thomas Broberg, E. Dijkgraaf, Sef Meens-Eriksson, Cere Center for Environmental and Resource Economics
In this study, a cost-benefit analysis (CBA) framework is applied to provide insights on policy issues relating to the cross-border trade in waste fuel. We estimate the net social cost of using imported waste fuel in a highly efficient combined heat and power plant (CHP) in a cold climate by considering both private costs and benefits as well as external costs related to energy production, alternative waste management and fuel transport. We conclude that using imported waste fuel under such circumstances is beneficial from a societal perspective given the wide range of assumptions regarding technical, economic and environmental characteristics. The net social cost is mainly determined by fuel cost advantages and the external cost of greenhouse gas emissions. External costs associated with transports only marginally impact the net social cost of waste imports for incineration. The results are robust to variation in the excess heat utilisation rate, which implies that importing waste for incineration would also be beneficial in countries with milder climates where district heating networks already exist.
在本研究中,成本效益分析(CBA)框架应用于提供有关废旧燃料跨境贸易的政策问题的见解。我们通过考虑私人成本和收益以及与能源生产、替代废物管理和燃料运输相关的外部成本,估算了在寒冷气候下在高效热电联产(CHP)中使用进口废燃料的净社会成本。我们的结论是,鉴于有关技术、经济和环境特征的广泛假设,从社会角度来看,在这种情况下使用进口废燃料是有益的。净社会成本主要由燃料成本优势和温室气体排放的外部成本决定。与运输有关的外部成本对进口废物焚烧的净社会成本影响甚微。结果对余热利用率的变化是稳健的,这意味着在已经存在区域供热网络的气候较温和的国家,进口废物进行焚烧也将是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
Using Solar Panels for Business Purposes: Evidence Based on High-Frequency Power Usage Data 将太阳能电池板用于商业目的:基于高频电力使用数据的证据
Pub Date : 2021-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3918196
Christoph Weisser, Friederike Lenel, Yao Lu, Krisztina Kis-Katos, T. Kneib
Access to electricity is typically the main benefit associated with solar panels, but in economically less developed countries, where access to electricity is still very limited, solar panel systems can also serve as means to generate additional income and to diversify income sources. We analyze high-frequency electricity usage and repayment data of around 70,000 households in Tanzania that purchased a solar panel system on credit, in order to (1) determine the extent to which solar panel systems are used for income generation, and (2) explore the link between the usage of the solar system for business purposes and the repayment of the customer credit that finances its purchase. Based on individual patterns of energy consumption within each day, we use XGBoost as a supervised machine learning model combined with labels from a customer survey on business usage to generate out-of-sample predictions of the daily likelihood that customers operate a business. We find a low average predicted business probability; yet there is considerable variation across households and over time. While the majority of households are predicted to use their system primarily for private consumption, our findings suggest that a substantial proportion uses it for income generation purposes occasionally. Our subsequent statistical analysis regresses the occurrence of individual credit delinquency within each month on the monthly average predicted probability of business-like electricity usage, relying on a time-dependent proportional hazards model. Our results show that customers with more business-like electricity usage patterns are significantly less likely to face repayment difficulties, suggesting that using the system to generate additional income can help to alleviate cash constraints and prevent default.
获得电力通常是与太阳能电池板有关的主要好处,但在获得电力仍然非常有限的经济欠发达国家,太阳能电池板系统也可以作为产生额外收入和使收入来源多样化的手段。我们分析了坦桑尼亚约7万户以信贷方式购买太阳能电池板系统的家庭的高频用电和还款数据,以便(1)确定太阳能电池板系统用于创收的程度,以及(2)探索用于商业目的的太阳能系统使用与为其购买提供资金的客户信贷还款之间的联系。基于每天能源消耗的个体模式,我们使用XGBoost作为有监督的机器学习模型,结合来自客户业务使用调查的标签,生成客户运营业务的每日可能性的样本外预测。我们发现平均预测业务概率较低;然而,在不同的家庭和不同的时期,存在着相当大的差异。虽然预计大多数家庭主要将其系统用于私人消费,但我们的研究结果表明,有相当一部分家庭偶尔会将其用于创收目的。我们随后的统计分析回归了每个月内个人信用违约的发生,基于每月平均预测商业用电量的概率,依赖于时间依赖的比例风险模型。我们的研究结果表明,使用商业用电模式的客户面临还款困难的可能性显著降低,这表明使用该系统产生额外收入有助于缓解现金紧张和防止违约。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign MNE Subsidiary Emergence, Strategy, Contribution, and Sustainability Practices in Pakistan 外国跨国公司子公司在巴基斯坦的出现、战略、贡献和可持续性实践
Pub Date : 2021-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3916796
Muhammad Mustafa Raziq, Anees Wajid
This research examines the emergence and evolution of foreign Multinational Enterprises (MNEs) subsidiaries, their strategies, contribution, and sustainability practices in Pakistan. Research argues that international business research has failed to answer some big questions regarding the emergence, evolution and strategies of foreign MNEs, and how MNEs from western economies respond to the pressures for sustainability in their international operations in emerging economies which are also referred to as pollution havens due to their cheaper land, resources and labor. Emerging economies are much relevant as the world economic center of gravity and the international business activity are now shifting from west to east, and in this regard, certain ignored contexts such as Pakistan, which is potentially a large and an important marketplace, and can play an important role for the multinational activity, are much interesting. Based on in-depth interviews from CEOs of 22 foreign subsidiaries in Pakistan, the study shows that foreign subsidiaries in Pakistan are well established having their presence in the country for quite some time, however, since the subsidiary entrepreneurial initiatives are mainly focused on the local market, and their innovativeness and contribution to the MNE in terms of knowledge and expertise are limited, they may be seen as rather less evolved in terms of roles and strategies. Furthermore, the foreign MNEs in Pakistan do adopt environmentally, economically, and socially sustainable practices, perhaps just like they do in their home (western) countries, although the foreign subsidiaries also experience pressures to adopt sustainability practices, as well as barriers in the adoption of such practices. Finally, the foreign subsidiaries in Pakistan do not at large have a broader role, although there is much potential for a broader role for subsidiaries. The lack of innovativeness of foreign subsidiaries suggests rather limited contribution on part of the competitiveness of the local industry and, hence, there is much scope for improvement.
本研究考察了外国跨国企业(MNEs)子公司在巴基斯坦的出现和演变、它们的战略、贡献和可持续性实践。研究认为,国际商业研究未能回答有关外国跨国公司的出现、演变和战略的一些重大问题,以及西方经济体的跨国公司如何应对其在新兴经济体开展国际业务的可持续性压力。新兴经济体也被称为污染避风港,因为它们的土地、资源和劳动力更便宜。新兴经济体是非常相关的,因为世界经济重心和国际商业活动现在正在从西方转移到东方,在这方面,某些被忽视的背景,如巴基斯坦,这是一个潜在的巨大而重要的市场,可以在跨国活动中发挥重要作用,非常有趣。基于对巴基斯坦22家外国子公司首席执行官的深入访谈,该研究表明,巴基斯坦的外国子公司在相当长的一段时间内已经在该国建立了良好的业务,然而,由于子公司的创业举措主要集中在当地市场,并且它们在知识和专业知识方面的创新和对跨国公司的贡献有限,因此它们可能被视为在角色和战略方面的发展程度较低。此外,在巴基斯坦的外国跨国公司确实采取了环境、经济和社会可持续的做法,也许就像他们在本国(西方)国家所做的那样,尽管外国子公司也面临着采用可持续做法的压力,以及采用这种做法的障碍。最后,巴基斯坦的外国子公司总体上没有发挥更广泛的作用,尽管子公司有很大可能发挥更广泛的作用。外国子公司缺乏创新,表明对当地工业竞争力的部分贡献相当有限,因此有很大的改进余地。
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引用次数: 0
Employee Stock Ownership Plans and Corporate Environmental Engagement 员工持股计划与企业环境参与
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3915366
Dongmin Kong, Yanan Wang
This study examines the impact of non-executive employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs) on corporate environmental engagement. We show that granting ESOPs to non-executive employees promotes greater corporate environmental engagement in terms of environmental protection expenditures, environmental information disclosure, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) ratings. We adopt the two-way fixed-effects model, the propensity score matching (PSM) method, and the instrumental variable approach to alleviate endogeneity concerns. The positive effect of ESOPs is mainly attributable to high-intensity, broad-based, and long-term plans where the incentive effect of ESOPs is sufficiently large to offset the free-rider effect. Furthermore, our findings are particularly pronounced in companies with more intense labor market competition, companies with greater media exposure, and companies in heavy-polluting industries. Overall, this study reveals new evidence of the incentive effect of ESOPs on corporate environmental engagement.
本研究探讨非执行员工持股计划(ESOPs)对企业环境参与的影响。我们的研究表明,在环保支出、环境信息披露和环境、社会和治理(ESG)评级方面,向非执行员工授予员工持股计划促进了企业更大的环境参与。我们采用双向固定效应模型、倾向得分匹配(PSM)方法和工具变量方法来缓解内生性问题。员工持股计划的积极效应主要来自于高强度、基础广泛和长期的计划,员工持股计划的激励效应足以抵消搭便车效应。此外,我们的发现在劳动力市场竞争更激烈的公司、媒体曝光率更高的公司和重污染行业的公司中尤为明显。总体而言,本研究揭示了员工持股计划对企业环境参与的激励效应的新证据。
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引用次数: 21
Development of Conceptual Model of Project Value Dynamics Analysis in Conditions of Uncertainty 不确定条件下项目价值动态分析概念模型的建立
Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2021.239195
O. Bugrov, O. Bugrova
A conceptual model for analyzing the dynamics of the value of the project, achieved as a result of engineering, under conditions of uncertainty has been developed. In the methodological context, the proposed approach is based on an array of isovalues, each of which corresponds to its own level of optimism in forecasting the cash flow for the project. With the increase in the efficiency of the project due to engineering, the entire array of iso-value lines’ changes its geometrical position, moving further from the origin (in the four-dimensional space "time-benefit-cost-risk"). The proposed model includes three stages. At the first stage, input information is collected and the corresponding analysis is initiated. The result of the second stage is a multivariate cash flow forecast and calculation of the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) and its changes for each scenario. The third stage provides the calculation of the expected BCR and its change, an assessment of the risk of making an erroneous decision and changing this risk as a result of the engineering session. The model makes it possible to calculate the achieved proportion of the static and dynamic vectors of change in the value of the project, which is one of the key manifestations of the scientific novelty of the work. In the example considered, the share of the dynamic vector of growth in the value of the project was found to be 35.47 %. The model has an environmental property - the assessment of the success of value engineering under conditions of uncertainty is carried out on the basis of the annual total benefits and the annual total costs throughout the project cycle. Thus, the analysis takes into account the impact of the project on the environment, which is reflected in the risk assessment. The given case testifies to the feasibility of applying the model in the practice of engineering the value of construction projects.
在不确定条件下,一个用于分析项目价值动态的概念模型已经被开发出来。在方法学方面,建议的方法是基于一系列等值,每一个等值对应于其在预测项目现金流量方面的乐观程度。随着工程效率的提高,整个等值线阵列改变了其几何位置,远离原点(在四维空间“时间-效益-成本-风险”中)。提出的模型包括三个阶段。在第一阶段,收集输入信息并启动相应的分析。第二阶段的结果是多元现金流量预测和计算效益成本比(BCR)及其在每种情景下的变化。第三阶段提供预期BCR及其变化的计算,评估做出错误决策的风险,并作为工程会议的结果更改此风险。该模型可以计算出项目价值中静态和动态变化向量的实现比例,这是工作科学新颖性的关键表现之一。在考虑的例子中,发现项目价值中动态增长向量的份额为35.47%。该模型具有环境属性——在不确定条件下价值工程的成功评估是在整个项目周期的年度总收益和年度总成本的基础上进行的。因此,分析考虑到项目对环境的影响,这反映在风险评估中。通过实例验证了该模型在工程实践中应用的可行性和工程价值。
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引用次数: 0
Underburdened Communities Underburdened社区
Pub Date : 2021-08-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3909318
Rebecca M. Bratspies
Waste is built into modern culture. Yet the problem of what to do with all that waste remains unresolved. The Western over-consumptive lifestyle relies on the highly racialized transfer of the burdens associated with managing waste away from certain communities and onto others. Indeed, our entire way of life hinges on overburdening some communities, so that other communities may be underburdened, and thereby enjoy the benefits of clean air, water, and land. Perhaps the most striking thing about the relationship between overburdened communities, and underburdened communities is that underburdened is not even an English word. By its very absence, the word underburdened encapsulates the way that environmental privilege is invisible, unproblematized, and unconsidered. This article draws back the curtain and shows how communities are systematically either overburdened or underburdened, largely along racial and socio-economic lines. By making visible the way that polluted neighborhoods subsidize clean air and water elsewhere, this article offers suggestions for the kinds of structural change that will be needed to achieve environmental justice.
浪费是现代文化的一部分。然而,如何处理这些废物的问题仍未得到解决。西方过度消费的生活方式依赖于高度种族化的废物管理负担的转移,从某些社区转移到其他社区。事实上,我们的整个生活方式取决于给一些社区增加过多的负担,这样其他社区就可以减轻负担,从而享受清洁的空气、水和土地的好处。也许关于负担过重的社区和负担不足的社区之间的关系,最引人注目的事情是,负担过重的社区甚至不是一个英语单词。由于“负担不足”这个词的缺失,它概括了环境特权是无形的、没有问题的、不被考虑的。这篇文章拉开了帷幕,展示了社区是如何系统地负担过重或负担不足的,主要是沿着种族和社会经济的界限。通过展示受污染的社区补贴其他地方清洁空气和水的方式,本文为实现环境正义所需的各种结构变革提供了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Soaking Up the Sun: Battery Investment, Renewable Energy, and Market Equilibrium 《吸收阳光:电池投资、可再生能源和市场平衡》
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.3386/w29133
R. Butters, J. Dorsey, Gautam Gowrisankaran
We develop a dynamic competitive equilibrium model of battery adoption and operations to evaluate the social value and adoption trajectory of utility-scale batteries and examine policy counterfactuals. The first battery unit breaks even in 2027 when renewable energy share reaches 52% and expected capital costs are $259/kWh. While the competitive market will install 10 MWh by 2030, competitive adoption does not reach 5,000 MWh until 2043 because the marginal value of investment sharply declines in aggregate capacity. California's 1,300 MW battery mandate implies subsidies of 49% and creates deadweight losses of $433 million relative to a competitive battery market. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
我们开发了一个电池采用和运营的动态竞争均衡模型,以评估公用事业规模电池的社会价值和采用轨迹,并检查政策反事实。到2027年,当可再生能源份额达到52%,预计资本成本为259美元/千瓦时时,第一座电池机组将实现收支平衡。虽然竞争性市场到2030年将安装10兆瓦时,但竞争性采用率要到2043年才能达到5000兆瓦时,因为总容量的投资边际价值急剧下降。加州1300兆瓦的电池授权意味着49%的补贴,相对于竞争激烈的电池市场,这将造成4.33亿美元的净损失。国家经济研究局工作论文系列的机构订阅者和发展中国家的居民可以在www.nber.org免费下载本文。
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引用次数: 11
The Economic Standing of Animals 动物的经济地位
Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3891184
Jim Leitzel, S. Shaikh
Should nonhuman animals possess cost-benefit analysis (CBA) standing, and if so, to what extent? A lack of standing for animals does not mean that their interests are ignored; rather, it implies that their interests are only accounted for to the extent that those with standing – humans – feel some regard for animal welfare. This paper addresses farm animal policy in the United States and looks at how CBAs are altered as animal interests range from “no standing” to “human-equivalent” standing. Even with no standing for animals, the degree of animal welfare offered by current animal agricultural practices is inefficiently low: human preferences for animal welfare are less than fully reflected in the economic and political marketplaces. Policies that counter existing shortcomings in the markets for animal welfare could be paired with transparency measures that would help ensure that consumers and voters are better informed about the conditions under which farmed animals are raised. Uncertainty concerning the appropriate degree of animal standing counsels for the avoidance of policies that would be highly undesirable if the proper extent of standing turns out to be significantly smaller or larger than expected.
非人类动物是否应该具有成本效益分析(CBA)资格,如果应该,在多大程度上?缺乏对动物的支持并不意味着忽视了它们的利益;相反,这意味着他们的利益只在那些有地位的人——人类——对动物福利有所关心的程度上得到考虑。本文讨论了美国的农场动物政策,并研究了cba是如何随着动物利益从“无地位”到“与人类同等”地位的变化而改变的。即使没有动物的立场,目前的动物农业实践所提供的动物福利程度也是低效的:人类对动物福利的偏好在经济和政治市场上没有得到充分反映。应对动物福利市场现有缺陷的政策可以与透明度措施相结合,这将有助于确保消费者和选民更好地了解农场动物的饲养条件。关于动物权利的适当程度的不确定性建议,如果适当的权利程度比预期的要小得多或大得多,就会避免非常不受欢迎的政策。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Political Economy - Development: Environment eJournal
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