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Weight of Evidence 证据的重要性
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0010
Dale A. Nance
This chapter analyzes and operationalizes a concept of “weight” as denoting the relative degree to which evidence has been developed on the basis of which to determine disputed claims. This concept was coined by John Maynard Keynes and later applied in the context of judicial proof by a number of scholars. The author distinguishes weight from the degree to which evidence favors one side over the other, and then assays the different ways this concept of weight can be operationalized. He identifies the strengths and weaknesses of various theories, and advocates a conception of weight that emphasizes its connection to fundamental policy choices about the importance of accuracy in litigation and, perhaps, the allocation of the risk of error. He argues that a common failure to appreciate the differences between ordinary decision-making under uncertainty and formal adjudication is responsible for confusion about the role of weight in the latter.
本章对“权重”概念进行了分析和操作,权重表示确定争议主张所依据的证据形成的相对程度。这个概念是由约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯创造的,后来被一些学者应用于司法证据的背景下。作者将权重与证据偏向一方而非另一方的程度区分开来,然后分析了这种权重概念可以操作的不同方式。他指出了各种理论的优缺点,并提倡一种权重概念,强调其与基本政策选择的联系,即诉讼中准确性的重要性,或许还有错误风险的分配。他认为,对不确定情况下的普通决策与正式裁决之间的区别的普遍认识不足,导致了对权重在后者中的作用的混淆。
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引用次数: 0
The Scenario Theory about Evidence in Criminal Law 论刑法证据的情景理论
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0016
A. Mackor, Peter J. van Koppen
In this chapter the Dutch scenario theory is presented, which was developed in the 1990s by Peter van Koppen and Anne Ruth Mackor in collaboration with Willem Wagenaar and Hans Crombag. The scenario theory builds on the descriptive psychological account featuring factfinders who think in terms of a story when they are reasoning about evidence to develop a normative theory of adjudicative factfinding. The theory claims that factfinders ought to assess the strength of the scenario underlying the indictment by reference to alternative scenarios, the evidence, and their general knowledge of the world. The theory ascribes a piece of evidence the status of a discriminating fact when one scenario explains it better than another competing scenario.
本章介绍了荷兰情景理论,该理论是在20世纪90年代由Peter van Koppen和Anne Ruth Mackor与Willem Wagenaar和Hans Crombag合作发展起来的。情景理论建立在描述性心理学的基础上,以事实发现者为特征,他们在对证据进行推理时用故事的方式思考,从而发展出一种规范性的裁决事实发现理论。该理论声称,事实调查人员应该通过参考其他情况、证据和他们对世界的一般了解来评估指控所依据的情况的强度。当一个场景比另一个竞争场景更好地解释它时,该理论将一条证据归因于一个区别事实的地位。
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引用次数: 1
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Evidence Law and Factfinding 证据法与事实认定的成本效益分析
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0011
Talia Fisher
Utility considerations have been central to legal factfinding, at least since the days of Jeremy Bentham, the founding father of utilitarianism and a prominent evidence law theorist. A direct line can be drawn from Bentham’s “principle of utility” to cost-benefit analysis (CBA) so it would seem only natural that the realms of evidence law and judicial factfinding would harbor this type of reasoning. However, when legal scholarship began to incorporate economic reasoning and to address issues from a CBA perspective, evidence law and the practice of judicial factfinding remained very much out of the picture. The object of this chapter is to highlight the prospects for integrating CBA into contemporary evidentiary policy and institutions, and to draw the general contours of the evolving scholarship in these fields of research. It describes and analyzes two economically driven models of evidence and proof: the cost-minimization model, geared toward minimization of the cost of errors and the cost of accuracy as a total sum, and the primary behavior model aiming to incentivize socially optimal behavior and interactions. This analysis identifies the models’ difficulties, engendered, for the most part, by the misalignment between the private and the social costs and benefits of adjudication, and addresses the models’ relationship to the existing evidentiary rules and institutions.
至少从功利主义之父、著名的证据法理论家杰里米·边沁(Jeremy Bentham)时代起,效用考虑就一直是法律事实发现的核心。从边沁的“效用原则”到成本效益分析(CBA),我们可以找到一条直接的联系,因此,证据法和司法事实认定领域将会庇护这种类型的推理似乎是很自然的。然而,当法律学术开始纳入经济推理并从CBA的角度来解决问题时,证据法和司法事实查明的实践仍然非常不受欢迎。本章的目的是强调将CBA纳入当代证据政策和制度的前景,并勾勒出这些研究领域不断发展的学术的总体轮廓。它描述并分析了两种经济驱动的证据和证明模型:成本最小化模型,旨在将错误成本和准确性成本最小化,以及主要行为模型,旨在激励社会最优行为和互动。这一分析指出了这些模型的困难,这些困难在很大程度上是由审判的私人和社会成本和收益之间的不一致造成的,并解决了这些模型与现有证据规则和制度的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Race, Evidence, and Epistemic Injustice 种族、证据和认识上的不公正
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0026
Jasmine B. Gonzales Rose
This chapter starts off with a definition of “racist evidence” that includes: (1) evidence that suggests one racial group is inferior to or superior to another racial group in any way, (2) products of structural racism, (3) racially disparate evidentiary burdens in proving one’s racialized reality, and (4) the ways that racism distorts observation, perception and—accordingly—belief, which is then utilized as a basis of proof in legal proceedings.” Based on this definition, the chapter identifies and analyzes the epistemic problems posed by racialized factfinding and relates them to the broader notion of cultural cognition. This discussion focuses on the epistemic failings of “racial character evidence” and the unequal evidentiary treatment of white—as opposed to Black and Brown—“racialized reality evidence,” especially on matters of structural racism and race relations with law enforcement. While white racialized reality evidence receives “implicit judicial notice” and is fast-tracked to the jury box, the racialized reality evidence of Black and Brown people is subject to the full rigors of evidentiary scrutiny and often times suppressed. This system results in apervasive type of epistemic injustice.
本章从“种族主义证据”的定义开始,它包括:(1)表明一个种族群体在任何方面都不如或优于另一个种族群体的证据,(2)结构性种族主义的产物,(3)证明一个人的种族化现实的种族差异证据负担,以及(4)种族主义扭曲观察、感知和相应的信仰的方式,这些方式随后被用作法律诉讼中的证据基础。基于这一定义,本章确定并分析了种族化事实调查所带来的认识论问题,并将其与更广泛的文化认知概念联系起来。本讨论的重点是“种族特征证据”的认识论上的失败,以及对白人(与黑人和棕色人种相反)的不平等证据待遇——“种族化的现实证据”,特别是在结构性种族主义和种族关系与执法问题上。白人种族化的现实证据会收到“隐性司法通知”,并被迅速送到陪审团席,而黑人和棕色人种的种族化现实证据则要接受严格的证据审查,而且常常被压制。这种制度导致了普遍存在的认知不公。
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引用次数: 1
Second-Personal Evidence
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0008
Alex Stein
This chapter draws on Hohfeld’s scheme of jural opposites and correlatives to identify the irreducibly second-personal nature of legal entitlements and the interplay between the right-holder’s authority and the duty-bearer’s accountability. Based on that insight, the author argues that facts that courts need to ascertain and—critically—the procedures that courts must carry out in ascertaining those facts, ought to be second-personal as well. As a corollary, courts must only rely upon second-personal evidence, that is: upon information concerning the alleged jural relationship between the holder of the underlying entitlement and the bearer of the correlative duty or obligation. Further, this fundamental requirement defines the modus operandi of the Anglo-American system of evidence and its core rules.
本章借鉴Hohfeld的法律对立物和相关物图式来识别法律权利不可约的第二人称性质,以及权利持有人的权威和义务承当者的责任之间的相互作用。基于这一见解,作者认为,法院需要确定的事实,以及法院在确定这些事实时必须执行的程序,也应该是第二人称的。因此,法院只能依靠第二个人的证据,即关于基本权利的持有人与相关责任或义务的承担者之间所谓的法律关系的资料。这一基本要求进一步界定了英美证据制度的运作方式及其核心规则。
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引用次数: 0
De-Biasing Legal Factfinders 非法进出口
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0027
F. Zenker
This chapter examines the psychological studies of biases and de-biasing measures in human decision-making with special reference to adjudicative factfinding. Research shows that factfinders are prone to cognitive biases (such as anchoring, framing, base-rate neglect, and confirmation bias) as well as social biases. Driven by this research, multiple studies have examined the extent to which those biases can be mitigated by de-biasing measures like “consider the opposite” and “give reasons.” After a brief overview of the research, the author points to the problematic evidential basis and identifies future research needs, and concludes that empirical research on de-biasing measures has so far delivered less than one would hope for.
本章考察了人类决策中偏见和去偏见措施的心理学研究,特别涉及裁决事实调查。研究表明,事实发现者倾向于认知偏见(如锚定、框架、基本率忽视和确认偏见)以及社会偏见。在这项研究的推动下,多项研究调查了通过“考虑相反的方面”和“给出理由”等消除偏见的措施,可以在多大程度上减轻这些偏见。在对研究进行了简要概述之后,作者指出了有问题的证据基础,并确定了未来的研究需求,并得出结论,到目前为止,对去偏措施的实证研究的效果不如人们所希望的那样好。
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引用次数: 0
The Logic of Inference and Decision for Scientific Evidence 科学证据的推理与决策逻辑
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0018
F. Taroni, S. Bozza, A. Biedermann
Uncertainty is an inevitable complication encountered by members of the judiciary who face inference and decision-making as core aspects of their daily activities. Inference, in this context, is mainly inductive and relates to the use of incomplete information, to reason about propositions of interest. Applied to scientific evidence, this means, for example, to reason about whether or not a person of interest is the source of a recovered evidential material and factfinders are required to make decisions about ultimate issues, for example, regarding a defendant’s guilt. The role of forensic scientists, whose duty is to help assess the probative value of scientific findings, is to offer to mandate authorities’ conclusions that are scientifically sound and logically defensible. This chapter lays out the fundamentals of inference and decision-making under uncertainty with regard to forensic evidence. The authors explicate explain the subjectivist version of Bayesianism and analyze the usefulness of the likelihood ratio in for measuring the degree to which the evidence discriminates between competing propositions in a trial. They also underscore emphasize the importance of decision analysis as a framework that forces helps decision-makers to formalize preference structures.
对于以推理和决策为日常活动核心的司法人员来说,不确定性是不可避免地会遇到的复杂问题。在这种情况下,推理主要是归纳的,涉及到使用不完全信息来推理感兴趣的命题。应用于科学证据,这意味着,例如,推断一个有兴趣的人是否是证据材料的来源,事实调查员需要对最终问题做出决定,例如,关于被告的罪行。法医科学家的职责是帮助评估科学发现的证明价值,他们的作用是向当局提出科学上合理、逻辑上站得住脚的结论。本章阐述了不确定条件下司法证据推理和决策的基本原则。作者解释了贝叶斯主义的主观主义版本,并分析了似然比在衡量证据区分试验中竞争命题的程度方面的有用性。他们还强调了决策分析作为一种框架的重要性,这种框架可以迫使决策者将偏好结构正式化。
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引用次数: 0
Proven Facts, Beliefs, and Reasoned Verdicts 已证实的事实、信念和合理的裁决
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0004
Jordi Ferrer Beltrán
Proven Facts, Beliefs and Reasoned Verdicts challenges a subjectivist conception of factfinding by tying the very concept of “proof” and the applicable proof standards and burdens to the duty of giving reasons for trial verdicts. The chapter examines the link between the Roman-Germanic and English-speaking legal traditions and concludes that evidential subjectivism still predominates in civil law countries in the name of the free evaluation of evidence. It aims to demonstrate that there is a close relationship between the concept of proof, standards of proof, and the way in which the duty of giving reasons for trial verdicts, and even the possibility of complying with this duty, are understood. Specifically, it reinforces the fact that if proof is conceptually linked to the beliefs or convictions of the trier of fact, it is impossible to sustain the idea of giving reasons as a justification of the decisions about facts.
已证实的事实、信念和合理的判决挑战了主观主义的事实认定概念,将“证明”的概念以及适用的证明标准和负担与为审判裁决提供理由的义务联系起来。本章考察了罗马-日耳曼和英语法律传统之间的联系,并得出结论,证据主观主义仍以自由评估证据的名义在大陆法系国家占主导地位。它的目的是要证明,在证明的概念、证明的标准和为审判判决提供理由的义务,甚至遵守这一义务的可能性的理解方式之间存在着密切的关系。具体地说,它加强了这样一个事实,即如果证据在概念上与事实审判者的信念或信念联系在一起,那么就不可能维持提出理由作为证明有关事实的决定的理由的想法。
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引用次数: 1
Bayesianism: Objections and Rebuttals 贝叶斯主义:反对和反驳
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0019
N. Fenton, D. Lagnado
While the laws of probability are rarely disputed, the question of how we should interpret probability judgments is less straightforward. Broadly, there are two ways to conceive of probability—either as an objective feature of the world, or as a subjective measure of our uncertainty. Both notions have their place in science, but it is the latter subjective notion (the Bayesian approach) that is crucial in legal reasoning. This chapter explains the advantages of using Bayesian networks in adjudicative factfinding. It addresses a number of common objections to the Bayesian approach, such as “There is no such thing as a probability of a single specified event”; “The Bayesian approach only works with statistical evidence”; “The Bayesian approach is too difficult for legal factfinders to comprehend”; and “A Bayesian network can never capture the full complexity of a legal case.” Fenton and Lagnado offer rebuttals to each of these objections.
虽然概率定律很少受到争议,但我们应该如何解释概率判断的问题就不那么直截了当了。广义地说,有两种方法来理解概率——要么作为世界的客观特征,要么作为我们不确定性的主观衡量。这两种概念在科学中都有其地位,但在后一种主观概念(贝叶斯方法)在法律推理中是至关重要的。本章解释了贝叶斯网络在司法事实发现中的优势。它解决了对贝叶斯方法的一些常见反对意见,例如“不存在单个特定事件的概率”;“贝叶斯方法只适用于统计证据”;“贝叶斯方法对于法律事实发现者来说太难理解了”;以及“贝叶斯网络永远无法捕捉到法律案件的全部复杂性。”芬顿和拉格纳多对这些反对意见都进行了反驳。
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引用次数: 2
Evidence and Truth 证据与真理
Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198859307.003.0002
Hock Lai Ho
This chapter interrogates the traditional—but not universally accepted—view that trials aim primarily at determining the truth of disputed propositions of fact, and that evidentiary rules ought to promote the realization of that goal. Truth is said to be a prerequisite for “rectitude of decision”—an objective only realized when courts correctly combine substantive law with true facts. The author examines this view by addressing the following questions: what do we mean by “truth” in the present context? Is truth the aim of a trial? What other roles or functions might the concept of truth have? How is truth related to justice? If the trial is a system for ascertaining the truth, how should evidentiary rules be designed?
这一章质疑传统但并非普遍接受的观点,即审判的主要目的是确定有争议的事实命题的真实性,证据规则应该促进这一目标的实现。事实被认为是“公正判决”的先决条件——只有当法院正确地将实体法与真实事实结合起来时,才能实现这一目标。作者通过解决以下问题来检验这一观点:在当前上下文中,我们所说的“真理”是什么意思?真理是审判的目的吗?真理的概念还有什么其他的角色或功能?真理与正义是如何联系在一起的?如果审判是一种确定真相的制度,那么证据规则应该如何设计?
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Philosophical Foundations of Evidence Law
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