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Do incentives matter in elicitation of beliefs? 激励在信念的产生中起作用吗?
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102477
Fulya Y. Ersoy
Beliefs are a critical component of economic decision-making. Since they are not directly observable, they are generally elicited through survey questions. Hence, it is important to know whether and how incentivization affects the elicited beliefs. Using an experiment, this paper tests the effect of incentivized versus unincentivized belief elicitation on students’ beliefs about returns to effort in an educational setting. Initially, incentivization significantly reduces the bias in beliefs, without impacting the accuracy of beliefs. It also reduces the frequency of round answers and increases time spent responding to the belief questions, both of which suggest increased effort. However, these initial effects on bias and response times diminish or become nonexistent in later weeks, suggesting short-lived effects.
信念是经济决策的重要组成部分。由于它们不能直接观察到,所以通常是通过调查问题得出的。因此,了解激励是否以及如何影响诱发的信念是很重要的。本文通过实验,考察了在教育环境下,激励与非激励的信念启发对学生努力回报信念的影响。最初,激励显著减少了信念的偏见,而不影响信念的准确性。它还减少了圆形答案的频率,增加了回答信念问题的时间,这两者都表明增加了努力。然而,这些对偏见和反应时间的最初影响在随后的几周内减弱或不存在,表明影响是短暂的。
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引用次数: 0
Bargaining over taking from a powerless third party: The role of social preferences 从无权无势的第三方手中抢夺的讨价还价:社会偏好的作用
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102429
Haimanti Bhattacharya , Subhasish Dugar , Sumit Sarkar
We experimentally examine how bargainers’ social preferences shape a powerless third party’s well-being when they can appropriate and redistribute its endowment. We explore two sources of social preferences: the feature of our taking game that enables bargainers to unilaterally enforce fairness without the fear of efficiency loss, and four non-monetary interventions aimed at increasing bargainers’ moral costs. We find that fewer than 10 percent of proposals are fair to the third party, yet around 40 percent of bargaining outcomes are fair — mainly because over 80 percent of those fair outcomes result from responders rejecting proposals unfair to the third party. This highlights the importance of unilateral enforcement in promoting fairness. In contrast, non-monetary interventions show minimal impact, suggesting a need for more effective design, possibly involving public visibility or stronger normative framing. Overall, the findings emphasize the role of institutions that enable individuals to ensure fairness for vulnerable parties without sacrificing efficiency.
我们通过实验研究了当一个无能为力的第三方能够占有和重新分配其禀赋时,谈判者的社会偏好是如何塑造其福祉的。我们探讨了社会偏好的两个来源:我们的索取游戏的特征,它使讨价还价者能够单方面执行公平而不必担心效率损失,以及四种旨在增加讨价还价者道德成本的非货币干预。我们发现,只有不到10%的提案对第三方是公平的,但大约40%的议价结果是公平的——主要是因为超过80%的公平结果是由于响应者拒绝了对第三方不公平的提案。这突出了单方面执法对促进公平的重要性。相比之下,非货币干预的影响微乎其微,这表明需要更有效的设计,可能涉及公众知名度或更强有力的规范框架。总的来说,调查结果强调了制度的作用,使个人能够在不牺牲效率的情况下确保弱势群体的公平。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluators’ masculine gender identity may drive gender biases in peer evaluation of business plans 评估者的男性性别认同可能会导致商业计划同行评估中的性别偏见
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102473
Magdalena Adamus , Martin Guzi , Eva Ballová Mikušková
The paper investigates gender biases and differential treatment of women and men in the business start-up phase. A sample of 498 entrepreneurs from Slovakia participated in an online experiment and evaluated three fictitious business plans in terms of the applicants’ competence, likeability, and business ability. Evaluators also indicated the survival chances of each planned business, the amount they would be willing to invest in each of the start-ups, and selected the most promising applicant. The start-ups were positioned in three different sectors—cosmetics production, services provision, and software development—where men’s and women’s chances of success may be viewed differently. Following Goldberg’s paradigm, half of the evaluators received business plans presented as written by female and half by male applicants; otherwise the plans were identical. Although our results show that, in general, female applicants are assessed similarly to male applicants, masculine evaluators assess women’s business plans and their potential in entrepreneurship more critically. Finally, the study shows that caution is advised when recommending to increase the number of female evaluators of business plans at various stages of the evaluation process. If women who become involved in entrepreneurship are excessively masculine and masculinity is associated with a less favourable evaluation of potential female entrepreneurs, such policies could backfire against women, putting them in a more disadvantaged position.
本文调查了创业阶段的性别偏见和男女差别待遇。来自斯洛伐克的498名企业家参加了一项在线实验,并根据申请人的能力、受欢迎程度和商业能力评估了三个虚构的商业计划。评估人员还指出了每个计划企业的生存机会,他们愿意为每个初创企业投资的金额,并选出了最有前途的申请人。这些初创企业被定位在三个不同的领域——化妆品生产、服务提供和软件开发——在这些领域,男性和女性的成功机会可能被视为不同。按照戈德堡的模式,一半的评估者收到了女性申请人和男性申请人的商业计划书;除此之外,计划都是一样的。虽然我们的研究结果表明,一般来说,女性申请人的评估与男性申请人相似,但男性评估者对女性的商业计划和创业潜力的评估更为严格。最后,研究表明,建议在评估过程的各个阶段增加商业计划的女性评估人员的数量时,应谨慎行事。如果参与创业的妇女过于男性化,而男性化又与对潜在女企业家的不太有利的评价联系在一起,这种政策可能对妇女产生反作用,使她们处于更不利的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Communication and coordination in firms:A lab-in-the-field experiment with small manufacturers in Vietnam 企业的沟通与协调:越南小型制造商的实地实验
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102470
Yuki Higuchi , Vu Hoang Nam , Tetsushi Sonobe
Coordination is crucial for effective collective action; however, it is often challenging to achieve. Understanding the factors that facilitate coordination is particularly relevant for firms that require coordinated efforts for efficient production. In this study, we conducted an incentivized four-person minimum effort game involving 45 Vietnamese firms. Although games have been widely studied, they are typically conducted in laboratory settings. This study is the first to implement the game in real firms, where we invited an owner-manager and three randomly selected workers from each firm. In this game, the payoff depends positively on the minimum effort of the four players and negatively on their own efforts. During the first five rounds, when communication was prohibited, all firms were trapped in coordination failure, with low effort being made. However, when communication was allowed, many firms achieved a Pareto-efficient equilibrium with the highest level of effort in the subsequent five rounds. Importantly, firms that frequently communicate in their daily operations were more likely to achieve successful coordination. Workers in such firms adhere to the owner-manager’s suggestions regarding their level of effort. These findings highlight the importance of communication in facilitating coordination among firms.
协调对有效的集体行动至关重要;然而,实现这一目标往往具有挑战性。了解促进协调的因素对需要协调努力以提高生产效率的公司尤为重要。在本研究中,我们进行了一个涉及45家越南公司的激励四人最小努力博弈。尽管人们对游戏进行了广泛的研究,但它们通常是在实验室环境中进行的。这项研究是第一次在真实的公司中实施这个游戏,我们邀请了一个业主经理和三个随机选择的员工从每个公司。在这个博弈中,收益正取决于四个玩家的最小努力,负取决于他们自己的努力。在前五轮中,由于禁止沟通,所有企业都陷入了协调失败,付出的努力很少。然而,当允许沟通时,许多公司在随后的五轮中以最高水平的努力达到了帕累托效率均衡。重要的是,在日常运营中频繁沟通的公司更有可能实现成功的协调。在这样的公司里,工人们会听从老板经理关于他们努力程度的建议。这些发现突出了沟通在促进企业间协调方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Verification and reputational concerns: An experiment 验证和声誉问题:实验
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102435
Magnus Våge Knutsen
I investigate the interaction between two solutions to the moral hazard problem in experience goods markets: Quality verification and reputational concerns. I set up an experimental market where a long-lived seller interacts with a sequence of short-lived buyers and where buyers observe previous decisions by sellers. I test the effect of letting buyers verify product quality at a cost in two distinctly different environments: One in which reputational concerns for sellers are induced by way of computerized sellers, and one without induced reputational concerns. My equilibrium analysis shows that with induced reputational concerns, costly quality verification may fully crowd out reputational concerns and lead to inferior market outcomes. However, when reputational concerns are not induced, verification can improve market outcomes. Results from the experiment to some extent corroborate these predictions. First, in the environment where reputational concerns are induced, short-run incentives created by verification almost fully crowd out the reputational concerns. Second, in the environment without induced reputational concerns, verification improves market outcomes by increasing quality and overall market surplus.
我研究了体验商品市场中道德风险问题的两种解决方案之间的相互作用:质量验证和声誉问题。我建立了一个实验市场,在这个市场中,一个长寿的卖家与一系列短命的买家互动,买家观察卖家之前的决定。我在两种截然不同的环境中测试了让买家以成本来验证产品质量的效果:一种环境中,卖家的声誉担忧是由计算机化的卖家引起的,另一种环境中没有引发声誉担忧。我的均衡分析表明,在引起声誉关注的情况下,昂贵的质量验证可能会完全挤出声誉关注,并导致劣质的市场结果。然而,当声誉问题没有引起时,验证可以改善市场结果。实验结果在一定程度上证实了这些预测。首先,在引起声誉关注的环境中,由核查产生的短期激励几乎完全排挤了声誉关注。其次,在没有引起声誉担忧的环境中,验证通过提高质量和整体市场剩余来改善市场结果。
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引用次数: 0
Buyer-side gender discrimination in bargaining: Evidence from seed sales in Uganda 讨价还价中的买方性别歧视:来自乌干达种子销售的证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102404
Bjorn Van Campenhout , Leocardia Nabwire
Haggling over prices is a common feature of economic transactions in many societies. This study examines whether the gender of the seller influences buyers’ negotiation strategies and outcomes in bilateral price bargaining. Using a bargaining experiment in eastern Uganda, we analyze interactions between smallholder maize farmers and either a male or female seed seller. Our findings reveal that buyers negotiating with female sellers are less likely to accept the initial offer price and respond with lower counter-bids compared to those bargaining with male sellers. Negotiations also last, on average, one round longer when the seller is a woman, and final transaction prices are nearly 9 percent lower. These results are particularly relevant for rural economies, where restrictive gender norms limit women’s financial autonomy. Given that small agribusinesses often provide one of the few viable income-generating opportunities for women, gender biases in market interactions can have substantial implications for economic empowerment and household welfare.
在许多社会中,讨价还价是经济交易的一个普遍特征。本研究探讨卖方性别是否会影响买方在双边价格议价中的谈判策略和结果。通过在乌干达东部进行的讨价还价实验,我们分析了玉米小农与男性或女性种子销售者之间的互动。我们的研究结果表明,与男性卖家谈判的买家相比,与女性卖家谈判的买家更不可能接受初始报价,并以更低的还价回应。如果卖家是女性,谈判的平均时间也会延长一轮,最终的交易价格也会低近9%。这些结果与农村经济特别相关,在农村,限制性的性别规范限制了妇女的财务自主权。鉴于小型农业综合企业往往为妇女提供为数不多的可行创收机会之一,市场互动中的性别偏见可能对经济赋权和家庭福利产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
When leadership messaging fails to encourage producers’ climate action: Field experiments reveal what works in the real world 当领导力信息无法鼓励生产者采取气候行动时:实地实验揭示了现实世界中行之有效的方法
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102439
Hide-Fumi Yokoo , Takahiro Kubo , Daisuke Kunii , Hiroki Sasaki
If a government highlighted the first producer to adopt green technology, how would the remaining producers react? This study is the first attempt to evaluate the impact of a message about a climate leader sent by the government to an industry. From among 374 wineries in Japan, half were randomly selected and received a message stating that a certain winery was an early adopter of renewable energy. We then observed whether other wineries participated in webinars on carbon footprint measurement to collect information. We find that this message about climate leadership did not encourage the wineries to participate in the webinar. We interpret this result as reflecting both the strategic decisions of competing wineries and the adverse psychological effects of the message. Further analysis reveals a substantial gap between the stated interest and actual participation, suggesting that self-reported intentions may not reliably predict behavior. Overall, this preregistered field experiment highlights the importance of carefully designing supply-side messaging policies and emphasizes the value of collecting behavioral data in real-world settings to better understand actual responses.
如果政府强调第一个采用绿色技术的生产商,其余的生产商会作何反应?这项研究是第一次尝试评估政府向一个行业发出的关于气候领袖的信息的影响。在日本的374家酒庄中,随机选择了一半的酒庄,并收到了一条信息,说明某家酒庄是可再生能源的早期采用者。然后,我们观察其他酒庄是否参加了碳足迹测量的网络研讨会,以收集信息。我们发现,这个关于气候领导的信息并没有鼓励酒庄参加网络研讨会。我们将这一结果解释为既反映了竞争酒厂的战略决策,也反映了该信息的不利心理影响。进一步的分析揭示了陈述的兴趣和实际参与之间的巨大差距,这表明自我报告的意图可能无法可靠地预测行为。总的来说,这个预先注册的现场实验强调了仔细设计供应方消息传递策略的重要性,并强调了在现实环境中收集行为数据以更好地理解实际反应的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Return intentions of Ukrainian refugees: The role of national identity and pride 乌克兰难民的回归意向:民族认同与自豪感的作用
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102455
Volodymyr Vakhitov , Nataliia Zaika , Serhiy Kandul
The war in Ukraine has displaced over 6.4 million Ukrainians to neighboring countries. This study investigates the return intentions of Ukrainian refugees, focusing on national identity and pride as psychological factors. Using a large-scale experimental survey, we examined how increasing the salience of these factors affects return decisions. Our findings show that making national identity more salient slightly increases the desire to return, while making pride more salient decreases it, particularly among those with lower pride levels. These results suggest that interventions enhancing national identity could promote return migration, but pride-based strategies should be used cautiously. The study contributes to the literature on forced displacement and identity economics, providing policy insights for facilitating the return of war refugees.
乌克兰的战争使640多万乌克兰人流离失所,逃往邻国。本研究探讨乌克兰难民的返乡意向,重点探讨民族认同和自豪感作为心理因素。通过大规模的实验调查,我们研究了增加这些因素的显著性如何影响回报决策。我们的研究结果表明,让国家认同变得更加突出会略微增加回国的愿望,而让自豪感变得更加突出则会降低这种愿望,尤其是在那些自豪感水平较低的人群中。这些结果表明,加强国家认同的干预措施可以促进回迁,但应谨慎使用基于自豪感的策略。该研究为被迫流离失所和身份经济学的文献做出了贡献,为促进战争难民的回归提供了政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Infrastructure-driven healthcare advancements: Rural Roads and Maternal Health in Ethiopia 基础设施推动的保健进步:埃塞俄比亚的农村道路和孕产妇保健
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102427
Musa Hasen Ahmed , Wondimagegn Mesfin Tesfaye
We examine the link between road accessibility and the use of maternal healthcare services in Ethiopia. Using a quasi-experimental design, we compare maternal health outcomes in villages before and after road construction alongside control villages without such infrastructure. Our analysis suggests that rural road development is associated with increased utilization of maternal healthcare services during the prenatal stage. However, we did not observe significant associations during the birth or postnatal stages. Using data collected before the commencement of the road expansion program, we confirm that the observed association between road access and maternal healthcare utilization can be attributed to the road infrastructure rather than to pre-existing conditions in the villages.
我们检查道路可达性和使用孕产妇保健服务在埃塞俄比亚之间的联系。采用准实验设计,我们比较了道路建设前后村庄与没有此类基础设施的对照村庄的孕产妇健康结果。我们的分析表明,农村道路的发展与产前阶段孕产妇保健服务的利用率增加有关。然而,我们没有观察到在出生或出生后阶段的显著关联。利用在公路扩建计划开始之前收集的数据,我们证实,观察到的公路通行与孕产妇保健利用之间的关联可归因于道路基础设施,而不是村庄原有的条件。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of an increase in unit price on self-set goals in a success-based fee system: Gain and loss domains 在以成功为基础的收费系统中,单位价格的增加对自我设定目标的影响:收益和损失域
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102432
Yasuhiro Nakamoto
In this study, we investigate earnings as a motivational tool on goal setting in economically equivalent gain and loss domains. The main finding indicates that a higher unit price, which corresponds to greater earnings, leads to a higher self-set goal in the Gain treatment but not in the economically equivalent Loss treatment. Using the reference-dependent utility model, one possible explanation is that in the loss domain, the positive effect of an increase in the unit price is weakened due to a corresponding change in the reference point formed by the initial endowment. Additionally, a higher unit price does not lead to greater performance in both the gain and loss domains. Finally, in the gain domain, our experiment finds that low rewards fail to motivate individuals to set goals that closely align with actual performance.
在本研究中,我们研究了在经济等值的收益和损失领域中,收入作为目标设定的激励工具。主要发现表明,较高的单位价格,对应于更大的收益,导致更高的自我设定目标在收益处理,而不是在经济上等效的损失处理。利用参考依赖实用新型,一种可能的解释是,在损失域,由于初始禀赋形成的参考点发生了相应的变化,单位价格增加的积极作用被削弱了。此外,较高的单价并不会导致收益和损失领域的更好表现。最后,在收益领域,我们的实验发现,低奖励不能激励个人设定与实际表现密切相关的目标。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics
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