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Robust confidence bands for stochastic processes using simulation 随机过程的鲁棒置信区间模拟
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107384
Timothy C.Y. Chan, Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian
We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our methodology addresses optimization bias within the constraints, avoiding overly narrow confidence bands of existing methods. In our first case study, we show that our approach achieves the desired coverage rates with an order-of-magnitude fewer sample paths than the state-of-the-art baseline approach. In our second case study, we illustrate how our approach can validate stochastic simulation models.
我们提出了一种鲁棒优化方法,用于使用有限数量的模拟样本路径构建随机过程的置信带。我们的方法解决了约束条件下的优化偏差,避免了现有方法过于狭窄的置信区间。在我们的第一个案例研究中,我们展示了我们的方法用比最先进的基线方法少一个数量级的样本路径达到了期望的覆盖率。在我们的第二个案例研究中,我们说明了我们的方法如何验证随机模拟模型。
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引用次数: 0
Monotone convergence of spreading processes on networks 网络上扩展过程的单调收敛性
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107363
Gadi Fibich, Amit Golan, Steven Schochet
We analyze the Bass and SI models for the spreading of innovations and epidemics, respectively, on homogeneous complete networks, on one-dimensional networks, and on heterogeneous two-groups complete networks. We allow the network parameters to be time dependent, which is a prerequisite for the analysis of optimal promotional strategies on networks. Using a novel top-down analysis of the master equations, we present a simple proof for the monotone convergence of these models to their respective infinite-population limits. This leads to explicit expressions for the expected adoption or infection level in the Bass and SI models with time-dependent parameters on infinite homogeneous complete and circular networks, and on heterogeneous two-groups complete networks.
我们分别在同质完全网络、一维网络和异质双群体完全网络上分析了创新和流行病传播的Bass和SI模型。我们允许网络参数是时间相关的,这是分析网络上最优促销策略的先决条件。利用一种新颖的自顶向下的主方程分析方法,我们给出了这些模型在各自的无穷种群极限下单调收敛的简单证明。这导致Bass和SI模型中具有时间依赖参数的无限齐次完全网络和圆形网络以及异构两组完全网络中预期采用或感染水平的显式表达式。
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引用次数: 0
Tandem concavity with application to matching problems 串联凹性及其在匹配问题中的应用
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107380
Satoru Fujishige , Koji Yokote
As a generalization of ordinal concavity we introduce a new notion of discrete concavity called tandem concavity defined for a function over the subsets of a finite set E endowed with an ordered partition (E1,E2). Every function expressed as a lexicographic composition of two ordinally concave functions satisfies tandem concavity. We apply tandem concavity to the rationalization of choice rules in stable matching problems. We show that tandem concavity rationalizes a wider class of choice rules than ordinal concavity.
作为有序凹性的推广,我们引入了离散凹性的一个新概念,称为串联凹性,该概念定义于有限集合E的子集上的函数,该集合具有有序划分(E1,E2)。每一个表示为两个序凹函数的字典组合的函数都满足串联凹性。将串联凹性应用于稳定匹配问题中选择规则的合理化。我们证明了串联凹性比顺序凹性合理化了更广泛的一类选择规则。
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引用次数: 0
Factor based forecasts in universal portfolios via Dirichlet weights 基于Dirichlet权重的通用投资组合因子预测
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107360
Purushottam Parthasarathy , Avinash Bhardwaj , Manjesh K. Hanawal
We revisit the online portfolio allocation problem that seeks to maximize the long term portfolio growth rate. We propose a new technique that modifies the concentration parameter of the Dirichlet distribution to incorporate cross-sectional return forecasts into the universal portfolio. We analytically establish that under certain conditions, the wealth generated by the factor Dirichlet portfolio dominates that generated by its uniform Dirichlet counterpart. We corroborate our analytical results with empirical studies on equity markets.
我们重新审视在线投资组合分配问题,寻求最大化长期投资组合增长率。我们提出了一种新的技术,修改狄利克雷分布的集中参数,将截面收益预测纳入到通用投资组合中。分析证明,在一定条件下,因子狄利克雷投资组合产生的财富优于均匀狄利克雷投资组合产生的财富。我们用股票市场的实证研究证实了我们的分析结果。
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引用次数: 0
VIX options in the SABR model SABR模型中的VIX期权
IF 0.8 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107347
Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu
We study the pricing of VIX options in the SABR model dSt=σtStβdBt,dσt=ωσtdZt where Bt,Zt are standard Brownian motions correlated with correlation ρ<0 and 0β<1. VIX is expressed as a risk-neutral conditional expectation of an integral over the volatility process vt=Stβ1σt. We show that vt is the unique solution to a one-dimensional diffusion process. Using the Feller test, we show that vt explodes in finite time with non-zero probability. As a consequence, VIX futures and VIX call prices are infinite, and VIX put prices are zero for any maturity. As a remedy, we propose a capped volatility process by capping the drift and diffusion terms in the vt process such that it becomes non-explosive and well-behaved, and study the short-maturity asymptotics for the pricing of VIX options.
本文研究了SABR模型中VIX期权的定价问题,其中,Bt、Zt为标准布朗运动,与相关系数ρ<;0和0≤β<;1相关。VIX表示为对波动率过程vt=Stβ−1σt的积分的风险中性条件期望。我们证明了vt是一维扩散过程的唯一解。利用Feller检验,我们证明了vt在有限时间内以非零概率发生爆炸。因此,波动率指数期货和看涨期权的价格是无限的,而任何期限的波动率指数看跌期权的价格都是零。作为补救措施,我们提出了一个上限波动率过程,通过限制波动率过程中的漂移和扩散项,使其变得非爆炸性和表现良好,并研究了VIX期权定价的短期渐近性。
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引用次数: 0
A branch-&-price approach to the unrooted maximum agreement forest problem 无根最大一致林问题的分支-价格方法
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107364
Martin Frohn, Steven Kelk, Simona Vychytilova
We propose the first branch-&-price algorithm for the maximum agreement forest problem on unrooted binary trees: given two unrooted X-labelled binary trees we seek to partition X into a minimum number of blocks such that the induced subtrees are disjoint and have the same topologies in both trees. We provide a dynamic programming algorithm for the weighted maximum agreement subtree problem to solve the pricing problem. When combined with rigorous polynomial-time pre-processing our branch-&-price algorithm exhibits (beyond) state-of-the-art performance.
我们针对无根二叉树上的最大一致森林问题提出了第一个branch-&;-price算法:给定两棵无根X标记的二叉树,我们寻求将X划分为最小数量的块,使得诱导子树不相交,并且在两棵树中具有相同的拓扑结构。针对加权最大协议子树问题,提出了一种求解定价问题的动态规划算法。当与严格的多项式时间预处理相结合时,我们的分支价格算法表现出(超越)最先进的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Jacques Benders and his decomposition algorithm 雅克·本德斯和他的分解算法
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107361
Karen Aardal , Cor Hurkens , Jan Karel Lenstra
Benders is a household name in optimization, but as a person he was hardly known beyond his circle of colleagues and students. In this brief paper, we review his life and work.
Benders在优化领域是一个家喻户晓的名字,但作为一个人,除了他的同事和学生圈子之外,他几乎不为人所知。本文简要回顾了他的生平和工作。
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引用次数: 0
Resource-robust valid inequalities for vehicle routing and related problems 车辆路径及相关问题的资源鲁棒有效不等式
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107355
Ymro N. Hoogendoorn , Kevin Dalmeijer
Branch-price-and-cut algorithms play an important role in solving many vehicle routing problems (VRPs). Adding valid inequalities in this framework can impact the pricing subproblem, for which the literature distinguishes between ‘robust’ and ‘non-robust’ cuts. We define the ‘robust application’ of a cut in a specific context, making this distinction more precise. Next, we define broader ‘resource-robust applications’ that can be handled efficiently in the subproblem. We then introduce new resource-robust valid inequalities and show computational benefits for the capacitated VRP.
分支定价削减算法在求解许多车辆路径问题中起着重要作用。在此框架中添加有效不等式可以影响定价子问题,对此文献区分了“稳健”和“非稳健”削减。我们在特定的上下文中定义了切割的“健壮应用”,使这种区分更加精确。接下来,我们定义可以在子问题中有效处理的更广泛的“资源健壮的应用程序”。然后,我们引入了新的资源鲁棒性有效不等式,并展示了有能力VRP的计算效益。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond efficiency: Exploring the cost effects of prioritizing driver satisfaction in vehicle routing 超越效率:探索车辆路线中优先考虑驾驶员满意度的成本效应
IF 0.8 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107344
Tom Bruinink , Lotte Berghman , Twan Dollevoet
Due to a shortage of drivers and a stronger focus on employee well-being, there is an increasing need to take driver satisfaction explicitly into account when solving the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (CVRPTW). We focus on workload balance and region consistency. In a first attempt to assess the consequences of adding driver satisfaction to the original objective of cost minimization, we evaluate both a two-step approach and an integrated approach using real-life instances from two different companies.
由于司机的短缺和对员工福利的更加关注,在解决有时间窗口的有能力车辆路线问题(CVRPTW)时,越来越需要将司机满意度明确考虑在内。我们专注于工作负载平衡和区域一致性。在首次尝试评估将驾驶员满意度添加到成本最小化的原始目标的后果时,我们使用来自两家不同公司的实际实例评估了两步方法和综合方法。
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引用次数: 0
Some new ordering results on residual life and inactivity time of series systems with two components having statistically dependent lifetimes 具有统计相关寿命的两分量串联系统的剩余寿命和不活动时间的一些新的排序结果
IF 0.9 4区 管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2025.107369
Rui Fang , Xiaohu Li
This study considers two components with statistically dependent lifetimes, and compares the residual lifetime of the series system of them and the lifetime of the series of used components with residual lifetimes. Sufficient and necessary conditions about the usual stochastic order and hazard rate order are developed. The findings reveal that the dependence structure is critical in determining whether the used system is more reliable. The inactivity time is also investigated. Numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the findings.
本文考虑了两个具有统计依赖寿命的部件,并将它们串联系统的剩余寿命与具有剩余寿命的使用部件的系列寿命进行了比较。给出了一般随机序和危险率序的充要条件。研究结果表明,依赖结构是决定所使用系统是否更可靠的关键。研究了不活动时间。数值算例也说明了研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Operations Research Letters
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