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Evaluating personal air quality monitors for PM2.5 and CO2: Insights from a year-long pilot study 评估PM2.5和CO2的个人空气质量监测仪:一项为期一年的试点研究的见解
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-10-01 Epub Date: 2026-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2026.103210
Sotirios Papathanasiou, Christos D. Argyropoulos
This paper presents the use of portable air quality monitors (PAQMs) to measure exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and carbon dioxide (CO2), as well as to investigate their performance and accuracy. It also assesses the practicality of PAQMs, and challenges related to their usage. Two PAQMs were selected to monitor personal exposure in different indoor and outdoor settings in Granada and Almeria, Spain. The obtained measurements showed an annual average PM2.5 exposure at 4.4 μg/m3, which fulfil the World Health Organization (WHO) guideline threshold of 5 μg/m3. However, managing air ventilation was more difficult, resulting in an average annual CO2 concentration of 1077 ppm. This study came across with significant challenges, including data retrieval failures that led to data loss, the difficulty of carrying two devices, inconsistent battery life, and confusing data interpretation for immediate actions, among others. It is concluded that PAQMs are useful for personal environmental awareness, however, their effectiveness is limited by hardware issues and data presentation methods that are not suited for prompting quick behaviour changes. Significant improvements are necessary in device integration, battery longevity and data communication to facilitate and enhance wider use and better results.
介绍了使用的便携式空气质量监控(PAQMs)测量暴露在细颗粒物(PM2.5)和二氧化碳(CO2),以及调查他们的性能和精度。它还评估了paqm的实用性,以及与它们的使用相关的挑战。选择两个PAQMs监测西班牙格拉纳达和阿尔梅里亚不同室内和室外环境下的个人暴露情况。所获得的测量结果显示,年平均PM2.5暴露量为4.4 μg/m3,符合世界卫生组织(WHO)的指导阈值5 μg/m3。然而,管理空气通风更加困难,导致年平均二氧化碳浓度为1077 ppm。这项研究遇到了重大挑战,包括导致数据丢失的数据检索失败,携带两个设备的困难,不一致的电池寿命,以及对立即行动的数据解释混乱等等。结论是PAQMs对个人的环境意识是有用的,然而,它们的有效性受到硬件问题和数据呈现方法的限制,这些方法不适合促进快速的行为改变。需要在设备集成、电池寿命和数据通信方面进行重大改进,以促进和加强更广泛的使用和更好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting ground-level ozone in Shenyang using interpretable machine learning: Interaction between air pollutants and climate factors 利用可解释机器学习预测沈阳市地面臭氧:空气污染物与气候因子的相互作用
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102836
Shenao Fan, Yunfeng Ma
Ground-level ozone (GLO), produced through reactions between
and VOCs under sunlight, is a toxic secondary pollutant that adversely impacts ecosystems and human well-being. This study proposes an interpretable, high-resolution forecasting framework based on a weighted ensemble of machine learning algorithms, including LightGBM, XGBoost, and CatBoost. Using hourly observational data from Shenyang, China (2020–2025), the model incorporates meteorological, temporal, and air quality features to capture annual-scale ozone variability. The ensemble outperformed individual learners, achieving strong predictive accuracy (R2=0.868, MAE = 10.3μg/m3, RMSE = 14.7μg/m3). To enhance interpretability, SHAP analysis was used to reveal nonlinear interactions among meteorological and chemical drivers. High temperatures and moderate humidity were found to promote ozone formation. Seasonal transport patterns identified by concentration-weighted trajectory (CWT) analysis revealed dominant local photochemistry in summer and stronger long-range influence in winter. The proposed framework offers both predictive accuracy and physical interpretability, supporting early warning and targeted ozone control strategies. Its transferable design enables application to other urban regions with complex atmospheric conditions.
地面臭氧(GLO)是一种有毒的二次污染物,对生态系统和人类福祉产生不利影响。本研究提出了一个可解释的、高分辨率的预测框架,该框架基于机器学习算法的加权集合,包括LightGBM、XGBoost和CatBoost。该模式利用中国沈阳每小时(2020-2025)的观测数据,结合气象、时间和空气质量特征来捕捉年尺度的臭氧变率。集合优于个体学习者,预测准确率较高(R2=0.868, MAE = 10.3μg/m3, RMSE = 14.7μg/m3)。为了提高可解释性,利用SHAP分析揭示了气象和化学驱动因素之间的非线性相互作用。高温和中等湿度有利于臭氧的形成。浓度加权轨迹(CWT)分析的季节输送模式表明,夏季对局地光化学反应起主导作用,冬季对长程影响较强。提出的框架提供了预测准确性和物理可解释性,支持早期预警和有针对性的臭氧控制策略。其可转移的设计使其能够应用于具有复杂大气条件的其他城市地区。
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引用次数: 0
Study of VOCs levels and sources in three office buildings in Northern Greece 希腊北部三座办公楼中挥发性有机化合物水平和来源的研究
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102837
Giannis Papadopoulos , Vasiliki Skopeliti , Evangelos Tolis , Dikaia Saraga , Giorgos Panaras
The modern way of life has led humans to consume more than 90 % of their everyday lives in indoor spaces like residences, workplaces and public buildings; thus, ensuring a healthy and comfortable environment is crucial. Indoor air quality is one of the most important parameters directly related to the health and comfort of a building's users. The evaluation of indoor air quality, and more precisely the assessment of the factors that affect it, as well as the correlation between chemical substances and their source of origin, is of great research interest. Determining the sources of indoor air pollution is challenging due to the wide range and high variability of indoor pollutants, the intricate physical and chemical processes that serve as primary sources, sinks, and origins of precursors for secondary pollutant formation, as well as the interactions with outdoor environmental factors. All these can be achieved using Source Appointment methods. In this study, air quality measurements were conducted in three office buildings with different characteristics, in the region of Western Macedonia, to determine the concentration of different volatile organic compounds (VOCs), indoors and outdoors. The analysis of these samples was carried out using the GC/MS method. The results of the analysis were used as input to a receptor model and specifically Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF), to detect the sources that contributed to the measured concentrations. The results identified the main sources of VOCs emissions, which reveal indoor and outdoor sources based on building characteristics, outdoor environment and human activities.
现代生活方式导致人类90%以上的日常生活在室内空间,如住宅、工作场所和公共建筑;因此,确保一个健康和舒适的环境至关重要。室内空气质量是最重要的参数之一,直接关系到建筑物使用者的健康和舒适。对室内空气质量的评价,更确切地说,是对影响空气质量的因素的评价,以及化学物质与其来源之间的关系的评价,是非常有研究意义的。确定室内空气污染的来源是具有挑战性的,因为室内污染物的范围广,变异性高,复杂的物理和化学过程,作为主要来源,汇,和二次污染物形成前体的起源,以及与室外环境因素的相互作用。所有这些都可以使用Source Appointment方法来实现。在这项研究中,在马其顿西部地区的三座不同特征的办公大楼中进行了空气质量测量,以确定室内和室外不同挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)的浓度。采用气相色谱/质谱法对样品进行分析。分析结果被用作受体模型的输入,特别是正矩阵分解(PMF),以检测导致测量浓度的来源。结果表明,基于建筑特征、室外环境和人类活动等因素,确定了VOCs的主要排放源,分为室内源和室外源。
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引用次数: 0
Community based air pollution measurements in Europe: Opportunities and challenges 欧洲基于社区的空气污染测量:机遇与挑战
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102854
Anna-Kaisa Viitanen, Alonso Espinosa Mireles de Villafranca, Jonathon Taylor
Exposure to particles with a diameter smaller than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) poses a threat to human health. Monitoring of PM2.5 often relies on sparse networks of standardized instruments, but in many locations, official networks are supplemented by networks of low-cost PM sensors operated by members of the community. This study aims to evaluate the open low-cost PM2.5 sensor networks across Europe by analysing data from Sensor.Community and OpenAQ, assessing completeness and reliability as well as growth, coverage, locations, and correlation in comparison with official measurements. As of 2023, there were 8735 low-cost PM2.5 sensors in Europe publicly sharing data on these networks, or more than three times the number of official stations. Results indicate these sensors are primarily in residential urban areas with higher population densities, higher income levels, and average levels of ambient PM2.5. The analysis shows that although official measurement stations provide more consistent coverage across Europe, in many cities the low-cost PM2.5 sensor network is denser and can potentially complement the official network and provide insights for authorities, researchers and citizens. The rapid growth of openly available low-cost PM2.5 sensor data presents a growing opportunity to enhance the spatial coverage of monitored PM2.5 exposure estimates and understanding of local PM2.5 sources, both indoors and outdoors. However, challenges exist with inconsistent methods for data quality control, absent metadata, and sensor placement and location biases which need to be addressed for example through harmonized measurement protocols, collecting more complete metadata and with advanced data cleaning and processing methods.
暴露在直径小于2.5 μm (PM2.5)的颗粒物中会对人体健康造成威胁。PM2.5的监测通常依赖于稀疏的标准化仪器网络,但在许多地方,官方网络由社区成员操作的低成本PM传感器网络补充。本研究旨在通过分析sensor的数据来评估欧洲各地开放的低成本PM2.5传感器网络。社区和OpenAQ,评估完整性和可靠性,以及增长、覆盖、位置和与官方度量的相关性。截至2023年,欧洲共有8735个低成本PM2.5传感器在这些网络上公开共享数据,是官方监测站数量的三倍多。结果表明,这些传感器主要分布在人口密度高、收入水平高、环境PM2.5平均水平高的居住城市地区。分析表明,尽管官方监测站在整个欧洲提供了更一致的覆盖范围,但在许多城市,低成本的PM2.5传感器网络更密集,可以潜在地补充官方网络,为当局、研究人员和公民提供见解。可公开获取的低成本PM2.5传感器数据的快速增长,为提高监测PM2.5暴露估算的空间覆盖范围和了解当地室内和室外PM2.5来源提供了越来越多的机会。然而,存在数据质量控制方法不一致、元数据缺失以及传感器放置和位置偏差等挑战,需要通过统一的测量协议、收集更完整的元数据以及先进的数据清理和处理方法来解决这些问题。
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引用次数: 0
Atmospheric Black Carbon (BC) characteristics over Indore, a data-deficit region in India 印度数据不足的印多尔地区大气黑碳(BC)特征
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102831
V. Sreekanth , Nivedita Barman , Beatriz Cardenas , Daniel Peters , Ramón A. Alvarez , Prakash Doraiswamy
This study presents a comprehensive characterization of BC pollution over Indore, a data-deficient region in central India. Continuous, year-long real-time measurements using a microAeth were conducted as part of the Clean Air Catalyst (CAC) initiative. These BC measurements were complemented by collocated fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and Carbon Monoxide (CO), and surface meteorological observations. Highest BC levels were recorded during the winter (5.2 μg m−3) and post-monsoon (4.8 μg m−3) seasons, while the monsoon season registered the lowest concentrations (1.9 μg m−3). Fossil fuel combustion was the dominant source, contributing approximately 84 % of the BC mass, while biomass burning accounted for 16 %. BC comprised around 6–12 % of the PM2.5 across different seasons. About 70 % of the observed BC originated from local emission sources, primarily due to vehicular and industrial activities. A comparison of MERRA-2 reanalysis BC data with in-situ measurements revealed significant underestimation by MERRA-2 and a low temporal correlation (r = 0.34). These findings (i) support the adoption of evidence-based air pollution mitigation plans by city administrations, (ii) highlight the need for both city-level and regional scale mitigation efforts, (iii) underscore the inadequacy of global reanalysis datasets in capturing urban BC dynamics in central India, and (iv) advocate for long-term ground-based BC monitoring to inform regional emission inventories and assess the effectiveness of mitigation strategies.
本研究对印度中部数据不足的印多尔地区的BC污染进行了全面表征。作为清洁空气催化剂(CAC)计划的一部分,使用microeth进行了长达一年的连续实时测量。这些BC测量得到了细颗粒物(PM2.5)和一氧化碳(CO)以及地面气象观测的补充。BC浓度在冬季(5.2 μg m−3)和季风季节(4.8 μg m−3)最高,季风季节最低(1.9 μg m−3)。化石燃料燃烧是主要来源,贡献了约84%的BC质量,而生物质燃烧占16%。不同季节的PM2.5中,BC约占6 - 12%。观测到的二氧化碳中约有70%来自当地的排放源,主要是由于车辆和工业活动。MERRA-2再分析BC数据与原位测量数据的比较显示MERRA-2显著低估,且时间相关性较低(r = 0.34)。这些调查结果(一)支持城市管理部门采用基于证据的空气污染缓解计划,(二)强调需要在城市一级和区域范围内开展缓解工作,(三)强调全球再分析数据集在捕捉印度中部城市污染动态方面的不足,以及(四)倡导开展长期地面污染监测,为区域排放清单提供信息,并评估缓解战略的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of regional PM2.5 transport dynamics with an adaptive data-driven model 基于自适应数据驱动模型的区域PM2.5输送动态识别
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102859
Chang Yan , Xuanming Zhang , Yan Yu , Xin Zheng , Guangming Shi , Fumo Yang
Regional transport of pollutants imparts fluidity and non-local characteristics to PM2.5 pollution, posing significant challenges for timely air quality management. Traditional approaches for identifying transport pathways rely on accurate and near-real-time wind field data, limiting their applicability for near-real-time analysis. In this study, a fully data-driven deep learning framework was developed to infer the major PM2.5 transport channels without requiring precise wind field inputs. Applied to the Sichuan Basin, a region characterized by complex terrain and frequent haze events, the adaptive graph-generated adjacency structure learned from historical pollutant and meteorological data aligns closely with the prevailing directions of air mass movement. High-weighted stations are primarily located in upwind, neighboring, and downwind regions relative to the receptor site, consistent with observed diffusion patterns. The agreement with HYSPLIT results further confirms the model's ability to identify physically meaningful transport pathways. These findings indicate that, even in the absence of accurate wind field data, historical spatiotemporal variations in pollutant concentrations alone can reveal physically interpretable transport patterns. This approach enables near-real-time identification of regional transport dynamics and provides both methodological innovation and practical value for coordinated air quality management in complex basin environments.
污染物的区域运输赋予了PM2.5污染的流动性和非局部特征,为及时进行空气质量管理带来了重大挑战。传统的运输路径识别方法依赖于精确和近实时的风场数据,限制了它们在近实时分析中的适用性。在本研究中,开发了一个完全数据驱动的深度学习框架,在不需要精确风场输入的情况下推断PM2.5的主要输送通道。应用于地形复杂、雾霾事件频繁的四川盆地,从历史污染物和气象资料中学习的自适应图生成的邻接结构与气团运动的主导方向密切一致。与观测到的扩散模式一致,高权重站点主要位于相对于受体位置的逆风、邻近和下风区域。与HYSPLIT结果的一致进一步证实了该模型识别物理上有意义的运输途径的能力。这些发现表明,即使没有准确的风场数据,仅污染物浓度的历史时空变化就可以揭示物理上可解释的输送模式。该方法能够实现区域运输动态的近实时识别,并为复杂流域环境下的协调空气质量管理提供了方法创新和实用价值。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling urban roads particulate matter and airborne traffic-related metals exposure: AERMOD-Support vector machine hybrid framework for Monte Carlo health risk assessment 模拟城市道路颗粒物和空中交通相关金属暴露:蒙特卡洛健康风险评估的aermod -支持向量机混合框架
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2026.102944
Muhammad Hassan Bashir, Asad Abbas, Hamaad Raza Ahmad, Muhammad Tahir Shehzad
Urban roads air pollution from fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major environmental concern. Toxic metals associated with PM2.5 pose health risks but remain poorly studied in Pakistan. In present investigation, the dust and PM2.5 bound metals pollution with associated health risks were evaluated by cumulative field measurements, dispersion modelling, and machine learning. For this purpose, dust was collected from solar panels, and airborne PM2.5 was gathered using a low volume sampler for dual seasons (June and December). Along urban roads, the PM2.5 dispersion generated by vehicular activities was simulated using the AERMOD Gaussian dispersion model. Then, utilizing AERMOD outputs and Wheater data for Support Vector Machine (SVM) model were trained to forecast metals (As, Cd, Cr, Ni, Pb, and Zn) in both dust and PM2.5. Elevated concentrations of Zn, Cu, and Cd were observed in PM2.5 and deposited dust, and AERMOD modeled PM2.5 mass concentrations peaked at 115.7 μg/m3, exceeding applicable regulatory limits. The SVM approach attained significant predictive accuracy for metal concentrations (R2 = 0.75, 0.81, 0.85 for As, Cd, and Pb). Health risk perspective, hexavalent chromium (Cr (VI)) posed the substantial noncarcinogenic and carcinogenic risk in both seasons. The observed and SVM predicted metals total cancer risk ranged for PM2.5 (TCR ≤10−4) and dust (TCR <10−6), and hazard index varied for PM2.5 (HI > 1) and dust (HI < 1) in both seasons, respectively. The study was limited by minor roads data and lack of local emission standards; future research should include deeper local modelling and extensive traffic emissions databases.
细颗粒物(PM2.5)造成的城市道路空气污染是一个主要的环境问题。与PM2.5相关的有毒金属构成健康风险,但在巴基斯坦的研究仍然很少。在本研究中,通过累积现场测量、离散模型和机器学习评估了粉尘和PM2.5结合的金属污染与相关健康风险。为此,在两个季节(6月和12月)使用小体积采样器收集太阳能电池板上的粉尘和空气中的PM2.5。采用AERMOD高斯弥散模型模拟城市道路上车辆活动产生的PM2.5弥散。然后,利用AERMOD输出和Wheater数据进行支持向量机(SVM)模型训练,预测粉尘和PM2.5中的金属(As、Cd、Cr、Ni、Pb和Zn)。PM2.5和沉积粉尘中Zn、Cu和Cd浓度升高,AERMOD模拟的PM2.5质量浓度最高达到115.7 μg/m3,超过了适用的监管限值。支持向量机方法对金属浓度的预测精度显著(As, Cd和Pb的R2 = 0.75, 0.81, 0.85)。从健康风险的角度来看,六价铬(Cr (VI))在两个季节都具有显著的非致癌性和致癌性风险。观测值和支持向量机预测PM2.5 (TCR≤10−4)和粉尘(TCR≤10−6)的金属总致癌风险均在不同季节范围内,PM2.5 (HI > 1)和粉尘(HI <1)的危害指数各不相同。这项研究受到次要道路数据和缺乏当地排放标准的限制;未来的研究应该包括更深入的本地建模和广泛的交通排放数据库。
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引用次数: 0
Mortality impacts of long-term PM2.5 and NO2 exposure in Great Britain under national and international air quality limits 在国家和国际空气质量限制下,英国PM2.5和二氧化氮长期暴露对死亡率的影响
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102827
Gillian Flower , Rochelle Schneider , Karen Exley , Christina Mitsakou , Pierre Masselot , Antonio Gasparrini
PM2.5 and NO2 are two of the most dangerous air pollutants, contributing to substantial excess mortality across Europe. In 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) revised its air quality (AQ) guidelines, decreasing the recommended annual limit from 10 μg/m3 to 5 μg/m3 for PM2.5, and from 40 μg/m3 to 10 μg/m3 for NO2.
In this study, we analysed concentrations and associated long-term premature mortality across Great Britain from 2008 to 2018 in relation to multiple AQ limits, as determined by WHO guidelines and international/national regulations.
The percentage of the population exposed to PM2.5 concentrations above 10 μg/m3 decreased from 67.6 % to 38.2 % over the study period, whereas those exposed to NO2 levels above 40 μg/m3 remained low. Levels below the new, lower WHO guidelines for PM2.5 and NO2 were reached in only a handful of locations.
Exposure to PM2.5 in 2018 resulted in 36,403 (30,422–42,640) premature deaths, whereas NO2 exposure contributed to 20,175 (7125–32,281) premature deaths. These numbers could be reduced by 46 % and 44 %, respectively, if exceedances beyond the lower cut-offs were avoided.
These findings indicate that complying with the new WHO recommendations would require considerable effort, but they can lead to substantial health benefits.
PM2.5和二氧化氮是两种最危险的空气污染物,在欧洲造成了大量的超额死亡率。2021年,世界卫生组织(世卫组织)修订了其空气质量指南,将PM2.5的建议年限值从10 μg/m3降至5 μg/m3,将二氧化氮的建议年限值从40 μg/m3降至10 μg/m3。在这项研究中,我们分析了2008年至2018年英国各地与世卫组织指导方针和国际/国家法规确定的多重空气质量限值相关的浓度和相关的长期过早死亡率。在研究期间,PM2.5浓度高于10 μg/m3的人群比例从67.6%下降到38.2%,而二氧化氮浓度高于40 μg/m3的人群比例仍然很低。只有少数地区的PM2.5和二氧化氮水平低于世卫组织新的、较低的指南。2018年,暴露于PM2.5导致36403人(30,422-42,640人)过早死亡,而暴露于二氧化氮导致20,175人(7125-32,281)过早死亡。如果避免超出较低临界值,这些数字可以分别减少46%和44%。这些发现表明,遵守世卫组织的新建议将需要相当大的努力,但它们可以带来实质性的健康益处。
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引用次数: 0
Review of the role of elemental and isotopic composition of lichens in air quality assessment 地衣元素和同位素组成在空气质量评价中的作用综述
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102830
Serpil Yenisoy , Melike Dörter
This review focuses on the efficacy of lichens as biomonitors of atmospheric deposition. It emphasizes the function of lichens in the assessment of trace element pollution and trace element isotope determination in different environments. The importance of foliose and fruticose lichens in lichen biomonitoring, comparison of bulk deposition/aerosol concentrations with the concentrations of transplants and comparison of lichen species with particular reference to the literature of the last decade were investigated. Biomonitoring is a comparatively inexpensive and readily implementable alternative to conventional air sampling methods, although it is subject to certain limitations. While passive biomonitoring uses native organisms, active biomonitoring uses lichens that have been transplanted. The quantitative relationship between the concentrations of elements in lichens and the concentrations in total deposition or in aerosols could be obtained. The accumulation capacity of lichens is influenced by their morphology, substrate and environmental conditions. In addition, the evaluation of trace element isotopes is considered, particularly carbon, nitrogen, sulfur, mercury and lead isotopes, as these are crucial for source apportionment studies. As valuable organisms in environmental monitoring, lichens can contribute to strategies developed to protect public health.
本文就地衣作为大气沉降生物监测仪的作用进行综述。强调地衣在不同环境中微量元素污染评价和微量元素同位素测定中的作用。本文结合近十年来的文献,研究了foliose地衣和fruticose地衣在地衣生物监测中的重要性,对大量沉积/气溶胶浓度与移植物浓度的比较,以及地衣种类的比较。生物监测是一种相对便宜且易于实施的替代传统空气采样方法,尽管它受到某些限制。被动生物监测使用原生生物,而主动生物监测使用已移植的地衣。可以得到地衣中元素浓度与总沉降浓度或气溶胶中元素浓度之间的定量关系。地衣的积累能力受其形态、基质和环境条件的影响。此外,还考虑了微量元素同位素的评价,特别是碳、氮、硫、汞和铅的同位素,因为这些同位素对来源分配研究至关重要。地衣作为环境监测中的宝贵生物,有助于制定保护公众健康的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated air quality prediction with seasonal index and grey model 基于季节指数和灰色模型的综合空气质量预测
IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102832
Xiaozeng Xu , Yan Liu , Bo Zeng
As the capital of China, Beijing's air quality monitoring and prediction are the focus of social attention. Through the analysis of the air quality index (AQI) in Beijing over the past decade, the changes in air quality are influenced by various uncertain factors, presenting complex and diverse characteristics, with obvious nonlinear and seasonal features, and a long-term downward trend. To this end, an improved second-order adaptive grey prediction model was proposed to predict annual AQI, and combined with seasonal index (SI) to predict monthly AQI, forming an Air Quality Index Prediction System (AQIFS). Compared to traditional grey models, the new model introduces dynamic power functions to optimize background values, thereby better fitting the nonlinear trends in the sequence. And it combines SI decomposition with monthly data to accurately capture seasonal fluctuations. Experimental results show that the proposed model performs the best in terms of annual average relative percentage error (MRPE) are 2.98 % and 3.82 %, root mean square error (RMSE) are 3.3593 and 3.4244, respectively. Its comprehensive performance is significantly better than other models. This study has made a positive contribution to enriching and improving the methodological system of grey prediction models, providing an effective modeling method for predicting seasonal fluctuations in air quality.
作为中国的首都,北京的空气质量监测与预报是社会关注的焦点。通过对近十年北京空气质量指数(AQI)的分析,空气质量的变化受多种不确定因素的影响,呈现出复杂多样的特征,具有明显的非线性和季节性特征,且长期呈下降趋势。为此,提出了一种改进的二阶自适应灰色预测模型,用于预测年度AQI,并结合季节指数(SI)预测月度AQI,形成空气质量指数预测系统(AQIFS)。与传统的灰色模型相比,该模型引入了动态幂函数来优化背景值,从而更好地拟合了序列中的非线性趋势。它将SI分解与月度数据相结合,以准确捕捉季节波动。实验结果表明,该模型的年平均相对百分比误差(MRPE)分别为2.98%和3.82%,均方根误差(RMSE)分别为3.3593和3.4244。其综合性能明显优于其他机型。本研究为丰富和完善灰色预测模型方法体系做出了积极贡献,为预测空气质量季节波动提供了一种有效的建模方法。
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引用次数: 0
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Atmospheric Pollution Research
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